Feb 2, 2023
Kishore Mahbubani - (24 minutes)
This is the problem with what Mahbubani is saying.
We have to understand what he is saying before we can comment on the glaring fault.
ASEAN is sitting on the fence, because they would like the United States to return to being the old United States of the past, who put their money onto those trade deals, like TPP.
The United States actively engaging with ASEAN is a perfect counter balance to China.
Note, that is the difference between ASEAN and the United States.
For ASEAN, China, is China.
For the United States, China is China! China, China, Chyna!
So that is a natural and expected position or goal of ASEAN, keep the Americans engaged in the region in a constructive way, and that would be a counterbalance to China.
What is wrong with this plan or strategy is too obvious.
It is not necessarily a specific thing, just think about it in terms of risk.
Suppose that NATO is on the losing side of that current war. Would the Americans go home? They not overly interested in ASEAN now, why would anyone expect them to be more interested in ASEAN if that war does not turn out well? Remember, Uncle Vlad has not lost a war yet.
Then suppose, President Trump makes a comeback!!! Haha! Haha! Hehehe! That probably is a 50/50 chance. Just thinking about that is too funny!
There could be other unexpected events. Suppose the Chinese announce that they will have their own DUVi and EUV up and running soon. Make that declaration at the same time of both being ready. There will be some major butt hurt in the region if that news breaks. Side with the Americans working with them and this is what we get? Chinese appearance of DUVi and EUV will be black swan events.
The Chinese like to gamble.
The Chinese listen to ASEAN. Think about the risks. Then say, "Okay, that is acceptable to us, we play."
Then ... and then ... the Chinese will support Russia all the way, and work on the DUV and EUV.
The Chinese just are not easy to deal with. It was not even their proposal.
Heh!