It still a question what are those forces build up in Belarus and apparently Belgorod doing. I'm still thinking taking Sumy and Kharkov are still on the table but who knows.
We don't know what NATO movements in Poland, Baltic states. Russian reinforcements in Belarus could be countering NATO reinforcements in Poland and Baltics, sending a signal to not play tricks against Belarus territory, not necessarily attack Ukraine again from Belarus territory. Also, the element of surprise is completely gone with a Belarus 2.0 springboard, and would only serve to elongate and strain the logistics supply line even further. Russia should just concentrated their forces against a dot, rather than disperse and dilute themselves again.
The video offers this graph.
I don't know whether or not this graph is accurate.
I think Ukraine has 1 million mobilized, whereas Russia began with 200K, lost +100-150K due to expired contracts, then mobilized 300K, so Russia has ~400K-500K total... (not including Russia's announcement of expanding Russian military to 1.5 million, up from 1 million).
Suggesting they don't because they can't is just rediculous
Weren't you the one who suggested that mobolization is impossible because it's economic and political suicidal for Putin? Really, you shouldn't be one gatekeeping ridiculous suggestions.
Seriously people, why would the Russians resort to a mobilization of its population when it's doing just fine using wagner and locals who actually want autonomy enough they risk their lives for it, to do the dirty work supported by Russian professional forces?
People need to stop dreaming that the Russians are desperate to pull all stops and go full blast with tanks into javelins and aircraft into manpads and hidden SPAAGS with full around the clock instantaneous nato ISR support from rivet joints and awacs
Please for my own sanity stop talking about this mythical economic and political suicide that's not going to happen. PLEASE
Instead let's relish the fact that this will likely go on at the current pace for a long time and we can trash talk each side during the whole episode.
