The War in the Ukraine

Ukrainian trenches towards Konstantinovka (village) under TOS bombardment. It looks more to me that Krasnopol are being applied.


Russians advance in Krasnogorovka. Three ex-DPR brigades are operating here, the 5th, the 110th and the 114th, the latter planted it's flag on several settlements in Avdeyevka sector. Covering them is the 238th, another ex-DPR. Despite not having the state of the art equipment from the Russian army, I regard the performance of the DPR brigades at the highest level in my opinion after all observation.


Just the Viking SPN firing a Kornet with a thermobaric warhead, which is used on Ukrainian infantry groups.


Advancement of Russian forces in the Chasiv Yar microdistrict and in the north of it. The microdistrict is being handled by the 98th VDV Division while the north is covered by the 200th Brigade from Leningrad.


TOS from the 98th VDV hits Soviet constructed five story high rises in Chasiv Yar microdistrict. These high rises are the toughest nuts to crack in any urban warfare. Commonly referred to as 'citadels'. These citadels are taking the worst of Russian firepower, FABs, ODABs, UMPBs, TOS, X-38MLs, Krasnopols, 240mm mortars, 152mm shells, etc,.


Lancet from the 16th Brigade hits a Ukrainian transport, which can either be an EW or UAV control unit.


Ukrainian pickup carrying EW array still managed to get hit by a VT-40 FPV drone from the Vega SPN.


Krab SPG gets taken out by Lancet from the 98th VDV in Chasiv Yar.


This looks like the POV of a Strela-10 taking out a Ukrainian UAV. By the 200th Brigade. Russian Strela-10 have mostly upgraded to using the Verba MANPADS.


UAV strike (unknown) against a Ukrainian tank in the Kharkhiv region. Possible Lancet.


Grachi SPN unit in collaboration with 238th targets and hits a Ukrainian fortification towards Maksimilyanovka, which appears to be the next target of Russian advance.


Lancets takes out two T-64BV in the Kharkhiv front.


Ukrainian forces near Ugledar in a semi encirclement.


More explosions and strikes reported at Ukraine's Mirgorod airbase.


Dead or abandoned Bradley being posed with a Russian soldier.


Train disruptions all over Ukraine as electric grid is hit and damaged.


Ukrainian SPG gets hit by a Lancet. By the 16th Brigade.


An M777 gets Krasnopoled, an AN/TPQ-50 radar gets hit by a Lancet, and a crossing used by Ukrainian logistics hit by a Russian airstrike. By the 1st Tank Army.


FABs landing on Ukrainian positions near Vesele.


Krasnopols hitting Ukrainian targets in Urozhayne.


A Verba MANPADS takes out a Ukrainian Furia UAV.


The 238th bombarding using MSTA-B howitzers.


Baba Yaga under sniper fire and gets shot down.


Leopard 2A4 falls victim to FPV drone attacks.


Strela-10 takes out a Ukrainian Leleka-100.


This T-64BV in the Kharkhiv front gets hit by an FPV drone in the rear, slows down to a stop via damage and gets hit again and again till it's knocked out. There's interference coming out from the tank that points to EW, which doesn't stop the Russian FPV drones.


PZH-2000 taken out in Kherson. It's location was revealed by pro-Russian Ukrainian partisans.

Tam said:

Train disruptions all over Ukraine as electric grid is hit and damaged.

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Ukraine's energy system is disintegrating, this is a serious problem that Ukrainians will have to live with in the coming years, as the country's energy system was and continues to be damaged during the war.

It should be noted that to at least minimally satisfy energy needs, the authorities in Ukraine now need to carry out repair and restoration work, and this takes into account the fact that power cuts will continue.

The next task is to restore affected energy facilities, mainly production, whenever possible (and in most cases it is impossible).

And this will continue for the next year or two. And in the future, the task is to build new energy generation, because already today a number of generation facilities cannot be restored, not only because they were hit by aerial bombings, but also because they were so obsolete that they were dying.

Therefore, there is no point in restoring anything there, they need to build something new and this physically obsolete thermal generation in Ukraine was more than 80%. And the issue of building new production capacities is a case that will take at least 5 years to resolve (we are talking about production deviations necessary in the current circumstances - thermal and hydroelectric energy).

As a result, in the coming years it will be much more profitable and safer for Ukrainians, however strange it may sound, to live near one of the remaining nuclear power plants.

The authorities themselves have already said that there will be power cuts of 5 to 6 hours, which could increase due to the disintegration and collapse of the energy system, this will get even worse in the winter and if the Russians are really going to start aggressively bombing the energy system in the fall, the Ukrainians will face serious energy problems in winter.

An MQ-4 that was flying over the Black Sea returned to Italy after declaring an emergency while flying infront of Crimea

In addition to the fact that drone wars actually began in Ukraine, cases of soldiers being taken prisoner when threatened with a drone attack began to be noted. Footage of the surrender of several soldiers of the Ukrainian reconnaissance sabotage group in the Zaporozhye direction has been published. It is worth noting that, apart from cartridges with a mesh for shotguns, nothing has been invented to destroy drones at close range.

sheogorath said:

An MQ-4 that was flying over the Black Sea returned to Italy after declaring an emergency while flying infront of Crimea

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1801686961750741442

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Reports emerged after Trion's emergency declaration that a group of U.S. Army UH-60M Blackhawk military transport helicopters had been operating off the Black Sea coast of Romania.

Sinnavuuty said:

Ukraine's energy system is disintegrating, this is a serious problem that Ukrainians will have to live with in the coming years, as the country's energy system was and continues to be damaged during the war.

It should be noted that to at least minimally satisfy energy needs, the authorities in Ukraine now need to carry out repair and restoration work, and this takes into account the fact that power cuts will continue.

The next task is to restore affected energy facilities, mainly production, whenever possible (and in most cases it is impossible).

And this will continue for the next year or two. And in the future, the task is to build new energy generation, because already today a number of generation facilities cannot be restored, not only because they were hit by aerial bombings, but also because they were so obsolete that they were dying.

Therefore, there is no point in restoring anything there, they need to build something new and this physically obsolete thermal generation in Ukraine was more than 80%. And the issue of building new production capacities is a case that will take at least 5 years to resolve (we are talking about production deviations necessary in the current circumstances - thermal and hydroelectric energy).

As a result, in the coming years it will be much more profitable and safer for Ukrainians, however strange it may sound, to live near one of the remaining nuclear power plants.

The authorities themselves have already said that there will be power cuts of 5 to 6 hours, which could increase due to the disintegration and collapse of the energy system, this will get even worse in the winter and if the Russians are really going to start aggressively bombing the energy system in the fall, the Ukrainians will face serious energy problems in winter.

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Ukrainians were trying to use portable power generators, hence the Russians bombed the fuel facilities around several areas, Kiev, Dnipropetrovsk among them.

At first I thought the Russians bombed the huge fuel facility near the airfield in Kiev to prevent the use of aircraft, but it's seems it's really now more about denying fuel for these power generators.

The whole of Ukrainian society is now headed to a point it cannot function.

sheogorath said:

An MQ-4 that was flying over the Black Sea returned to Italy after declaring an emergency while flying infront of Crimea

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1801686961750741442

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if Russia attack NATO assets like UAV, do you think NATO would escalate the conflict?

generalmeng said:

if Russia attack NATO assets like UAV, do you think NATO would escalate the conflict?

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They already done that with one Predator and apparently several US UAV's during Syrian conflict. I guess it's case-by case basis.

There is no reason why Russians cant attack Global Hawk UAV's patrolling the Black Sea unless there are certain deals done in the dark.

generalmeng said:

if Russia attack NATO assets like UAV, do you think NATO would escalate the conflict?

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I doubt it. Too much risk of further escalation.

The way the US operates those drones seems like they are largely viewed as "disposable". Domestically nobody seems to really care when they are shot down, so there is little internal political pressure to react.

Stealthflanker said:

They already done that with one Predator and apparently several US UAV's during Syrian conflict. I guess it's case-by case basis.

There is no reason why Russians cant attack Global Hawk UAV's patrolling the Black Sea unless there are certain deals done in the dark.

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I believe that Russia does not have the right to shoot down any type of object over international maritime waters. Even more so when Russia has not even declared war against Ukraine. The interception would occur without any legal basis from the Russians, this would be a very big escalation, but there are methods to make this more diplomatically comfortable.