Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) and Global South strategic cooperation

daifo

Major
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Fun fact, CPC has tried to persuade NK officials on more than one occasion to introduce economic reforms. For example, In 2006, Guangdong party members invited Kim Jong-il to Shenzhen to showcase the success economic reform had brought to China. It is in China's interest to have a rich and prosperous North Korea because that means more trade, investments and markets for the Chinese export machine. Unfortunately this conflicts with the Kim dynasty's goal of staying in power so NK will remain a basketcase.

Do the general population know how the world is outside of NK like in SK or China? If they do, it seems reforming would be an easier peaceful task than for the population to wake up to that their country has been a lie for the past 40 years.
 

FairAndUnbiased

Brigadier
Registered Member
Lithuania more favorable than Hungary? Wow...
Why surprised? Lithuania has no choice because they're weak puppets and scared of Russia. The people (not politicians, but it's people being polled) don't care about China except with regard to Russia. Hungary has a choice (being middleman with Russia) yet they actively chose racism.

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The campus is also opposed by Mayor of Budapest Gergely Karacsony, who announced earlier this week that he was naming streets in the area after the victims of China's human rights violations.

Among four new street signs include Free Hong Kong Road, Dalai Lama Street and Uyghur Martyrs' Road, after the mainly Muslim ethnic group that international governments say has been the victim of sustained human rights abuses and genocide in Xinjiang, China.

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"When we name public places after social groups and people who are victims of the Chinese state, we are standing up not only for them, but also for the ideal of freedom and solidarity," Karacsony said at the inauguration of the street signs this week.
 

tphuang

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Bosphorus is unimportant to China, it is only important to Russia. Hormuz is where most of China's oil comes from.
It's really easy for China to get its military across to stop any Shenanigans by Iran. Whereas Turkey is a very important part of signature BRI project of rail transportation to Europe
What's the problem with rail going through Russia when going through Turkey requires either sea transshipment through the Caspian, going through Russia anyways, or going through Iran? There's no path that goes to Europe by land that doesn't pass Russia or Iran.
the middle path does not go through Russia or Iran. Please look it up. It goes through Caspian sea. The problem with Russia is a lot of European customers don't want their cargo to go through Russia.
Turkey is a manufacturing economy with low energy resources, just a poorly managed one. China is also a manufacturing economy. Turkey doesn't buy Chinese tools. Thus any Turkish export is a competitor to Chinese exports. Iran has resources and buys Chinese tools, and thus their exports help China directly.
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Turkey imports a lot of tools from China
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You are free to find more up to date data, since you made the initial assertion that Greece has lower approval rates of China than Turkey does.
I'm not the one who said China needs to be closer to Greece because China is more popular there. My belief of importance of Turkey comes from looking at Turkey as a power that can tilt the whole of West Asia and North Africa to China's favor. Turkey has already participated in SCO as observer state. Do you think Greece will do that?
 

FairAndUnbiased

Brigadier
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It's really easy for China to get its military across to stop any Shenanigans by Iran. Whereas Turkey is a very important part of signature BRI project of rail transportation to Europe

the middle path does not go through Russia or Iran. Please look it up. It goes through Caspian sea. The problem with Russia is a lot of European customers don't want their cargo to go through Russia.

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Turkey imports a lot of tools from China
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I'm not the one who said China needs to be closer to Greece because China is more popular there. My belief of importance of Turkey comes from looking at Turkey as a power that can tilt the whole of West Asia and North Africa to China's favor. Turkey has already participated in SCO as observer state. Do you think Greece will do that?
Your Asia Times article doesn't mention tools. The data doesn't differentiate between final products and intermediate products.

Caspian sea is not solely by land. It requires transshipment by low capacity inland shipping rather than highly efficient sea shipping. If Europeans don't want transits of Russia they're free to pick an oceanic route.

No it isn't easy to stop Iran because of the fundamental challenges of operating in the Persian Gulf that even the US acknowledges. But the point is that Iran can resist others from closing the Straits of Hormuz for free, something that Saudi Arabia can't. And neither can Turkey costlessly close the Bosphorus at will.

Iran imports pretty much the same thing. And if volume matters, Russia imports more in every category except chemicals yet you have a problem with Russia.

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It would be nice to have Turkey on side but not necessary and not at the cost of alienating old friends. Saudi also hates Turkey, why risk alienating them?

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And btw, here's updated Greece data including politicians. Greece is the most pro China country in the EU.

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Far more importantly, Turkey has near 0 interest in actually cooperating with China. Turks in Turkey hate China. China has done nothing to deserve their hate either, so it is 100% their fault.

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To the contrary, Pew Research Center polls conducted in Turkey from 2005 to 2019 found that at least 60 percent of the Turkish public has remained skeptical of China. An August 2020 survey conducted by Istanbul Ekonomi Araştırma stated that 61.3 percent of the Turkish public views China either “unfavorably” or “very unfavorably,” as opposed to just 10.6 percent that considers it a friendly country.

I don't understand lmao why do you advocate for cooperation with countries that hate your guts even at the cost of huge concessions, while those countries compete with you, rhetorically hate you and sponsor separatists. Meanwhile you want to fuck over countries that don't compete with you, have never harmed China (at most not provided benefit, but not active harm), advocate for you when they can and sell resources to you. You want to alienate important partners like Saudi, Iran, Russia, etc to suck up to Turkey and India of all countries?

Luckily Chinese leaders don't think like you.
 

TK3600

Major
Registered Member
What are you talking about? I actually don't understand half of the stuff you wrote here.

I think what @BoraTas and @CasualObserver wrote make sense. Every country has their own interest. If Turkish people are tired of US hegemony and meddling (as evidence recently with Erdogan giving the finger to Jeff Flake), then China should use that opportunity to get closer to Turkey. Keep in mind that the opposition party was for closer relationship with China before, so there are room for improved China/Turkey relationship regardless of who wins the election.

I really don't get some people on this forum who are against better relationship with Turkey and India. You don't need to be their best friend, but if they share the mutual goal of weaker American hegemony, then there are places to cooperate. Do you only want to be stuck with losers like Iran and North Korea?
Very few people are against it in a vacuum. Even improved relation with US and Japan are good. But often there is a cost to courting a country. India is far stronger than Pakistan, but even less reliable. If one must pick one I still take Pakistan because despite India is richer they are hostile to business. Ideally if I can have both India and Pakistan I take both, but nothing is free. That is... If India want to improve relation in first place. Cant force them.

In case of Turkey I see good common ground to gain. What would be the cost to gain the common ground I have no clue. Worth a try for sure.
 

56860

Senior Member
Registered Member
Do the general population know how the world is outside of NK like in SK or China? If they do, it seems reforming would be an easier peaceful task than for the population to wake up to that their country has been a lie for the past 40 years.
I have no idea. I would imagine the majority don't, considering the Orwellian levels of brainwashing, surveillance and control the state exerts over every aspect of one's life. Logically delusion on such a scale requires that the vast majority don't know what's really going on, otherwise the whole thing would fall a part.
 

Minm

Junior Member
Registered Member
My belief of importance of Turkey comes from looking at Turkey as a power that can tilt the whole of West Asia and North Africa to China's favor.
Nobody there is going to follow Turkish leadership. The days of the ottoman empire are long gone. There's just one country in West Asia that sees Turkey as a leader: Azerbaijan.

Turkey's real cultural and linguistic connections are with central Asia. It's quite important to keep them out of central Asia so that central Asian countries remain facing east not West.

I think you're overestimating the importance of rail connections to western Europe. The middle east and central Asia group of countries is estimated to have a GDP of 4.8 trillion last year, the EU was only at 16.6 and the European market is much more closed and hostile and competitive. We speak a lot about American decline, but the real decline is happening in Europe. BRI is not just about getting to western countries, it's much more about connecting non western countries with China.
 

tphuang

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Nobody there is going to follow Turkish leadership. The days of the ottoman empire are long gone. There's just one country in West Asia that sees Turkey as a leader: Azerbaijan.

Turkey's real cultural and linguistic connections are with central Asia. It's quite important to keep them out of central Asia so that central Asian countries remain facing east not West.

I think you're overestimating the importance of rail connections to western Europe. The middle east and central Asia group of countries is estimated to have a GDP of 4.8 trillion last year, the EU was only at 16.6 and the European market is much more closed and hostile and competitive. We speak a lot about American decline, but the real decline is happening in Europe. BRI is not just about getting to western countries, it's much more about connecting non western countries with China.
well, China already has saudi arabia, egypt, algeria, iran, iraq, uae, syria .... on its side. The only major powers left in the region are Israel and Turkey. Once it gets Turkey in its corner, it has the entire region under its control.

As for rail with Europe, the goal of that is to leave Europe more dependent on China and more deindustrialized. Everything that China builds with BRI is with the end goal of strengthening its own economic and industrial positioning. Over the course of my adult lifetime, We've gone from a situation where Europe was a dominant power in the world over China to one of increasing irrelevance. Do you think this happens in vacuum?

Your Asia Times article doesn't mention tools. The data doesn't differentiate between final products and intermediate products.

I gave you two links, lol. it's not my fault you didn't look into the first one
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Turkey Imports from ChinaValueYear
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$9.03B2022
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$9.03B2022

now comparing that to Iran
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In 2022, the total value of Chinese exports to Iran reached $9.47 billion,
so China's export of machineries and electrical equipment to Turkey alone was twice as much as all of its exports to Iran

Caspian sea is not solely by land. It requires transshipment by low capacity inland shipping rather than highly efficient sea shipping. If Europeans don't want transits of Russia they're free to pick an oceanic route.
yet, that's the path BRI has taken. BRI railway passage does not go through Iran. Please read up on this

No it isn't easy to stop Iran because of the fundamental challenges of operating in the Persian Gulf that even the US acknowledges. But the point is that Iran can resist others from closing the Straits of Hormuz for free, something that Saudi Arabia can't. And neither can Turkey costlessly close the Bosphorus at will.
China can easily destroy Iran. Let's be clear here

Iran imports pretty much the same thing. And if volume matters, Russia imports more in every category except chemicals yet you have a problem with Russia.
I have no problem with Russia. Russia is a great market and keep getting better

It would be nice to have Turkey on side but not necessary and not at the cost of alienating old friends. Saudi also hates Turkey, why risk alienating them?

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I agree that Turkey relationship cannot be at the risk of alienating Saudis. But given the entire rapprochement in the region, there is no reason why the 2 countries can't get along. After all, Saudis have achieved peace with Iran. And these countries are all negotiating a peaceful transition for Syria.
And btw, here's updated Greece data including politicians. Greece is the most pro China country in the EU.

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still in the negative ratings

I don't understand lmao why do you advocate for cooperation with countries that hate your guts even at the cost of huge concessions, while those countries compete with you, rhetorically hate you and sponsor separatists. Meanwhile you want to fuck over countries that don't compete with you, have never harmed China (at most not provided benefit, but not active harm), advocate for you when they can and sell resources to you. You want to alienate important partners like Saudi, Iran, Russia, etc to suck up to Turkey and India of all countries?

Luckily Chinese leaders don't think like you.
What are these huge concessions that I'm offering Turkey? How is Turkey competing against China?
hmm, how am I sucking up to Turkey and India? How is having better relationship with India or Turkey going to hurt relationship with Saudi, Iran & Russia? lol, you are drawing a lot of conclusions here.

You see, Iran has no other choice. So China doesn't have to treat it well. It just needs to offer Iran the bare minimum and that's already better than what everyone else is offering Iran.

China needs to work with any non-aligned country that's interested in multi-polarism. multi-polar world needs to be China's main goal until that's achieved.
 

resistance

Junior Member
Registered Member
well, China already has saudi arabia, egypt, algeria, iran, iraq, uae, syria .... on its side. The only major powers left in the region are Israel and Turkey. Once it gets Turkey in its corner, it has the entire region under its control.

As for rail with Europe, the goal of that is to leave Europe more dependent on China and more deindustrialized. Everything that China builds with BRI is with the end goal of strengthening its own economic and industrial positioning. Over the course of my adult lifetime, We've gone from a situation where Europe was a dominant power in the world over China to one of increasing irrelevance. Do you think this happens in vacuum?



I agree that Turkey relationship cannot be at the risk of alienating Saudis. But given the entire rapprochement in the region, there is no reason why the 2 countries can't get along. After all, Saudis have achieved peace with Iran. And these countries are all negotiating a peaceful transition for Syria.


What are these huge concessions that I'm offering Turkey? How is Turkey competing against China?
hmm, how am I sucking up to Turkey and India? How is having better relationship with India or Turkey going to hurt relationship with Saudi, Iran & Russia? lol, you are drawing a lot of conclusions here.

You see, Iran has no other choice. So China doesn't have to treat it well. It just needs to offer Iran the bare minimum and that's already better than what everyone else is offering Iran.

China needs to work with any non-aligned country that's interested in multi-polarism. multi-polar world needs to be China's main goal until that's achieved.
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The huge concession you gonna give is Greece as to get turkey. This will definitely alienate Saudis and Egypt as they try to sway Greece to join them.

Iran is north Korea of middle east. Iran security is china security. You can do anything Iran don't like but you must not do anything that harm Iran

The reason to get Greece over turkey is not only get Greece itself, it's to get Western EU countries more favorable to china and skeptical to US as US support turkey against china.
 
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