Lessons for China to learn from Ukraine conflict for Taiwan scenario

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escobar

escobar

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plawolf said:
The US will test the waters with unmanned ISR first. Shoot those down and dare them to send in manned ISR.

If China is taking Taiwan back, it must assume the US will get directly involved militarily and be ready to fight and win.

Under than assumption, it may be beneficial to trigger direct conflict sooner rather than later, while the US is still gathering its forces as opposed to when it is good and ready.

I’m not suggesting a Pearl harbour reenactment, but if the US sends manned assets to test Chinese NFZ, the PLAAF must intercept them and force them to land at a Chinese airport under threat of shoot down for non-compliance. If they don’t obey, shoot them down. If the US escalates, retaliate and escalate in kind and obliterate the US base(s) that launched aircraft to attack China or Chinese assets. Leave the Americans a ladder to climb down with, but never back down or show weakness as that will only embolden the Americans to push their luck.

China has fought the US directly in open warfare before. It must show it is not afraid to do so again if needed over Taiwan.
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One lesson of this war is CN really need a massive expansion of its military to make US scared and back down.
Another one is CN will certainly lose the PR war lol
 
Coalescence

Coalescence

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Michaelsinodef said:
This should have been know by everyone even before the Russo-Ukraine war.
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They have the option to cut the internet and electricity off in Taiwan. So I think without access to images or videos on the ground, their media will have less to work with, which means the coverage will be much weaker and slower. Though there's no changing the bad pr and demonization from it, but at least they can't pull false flags and atrocity propaganda like they're doing now.
 
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Michaelsinodef

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Coalescence said:
They have the option to cut the internet and electricity off in Taiwan. So I think without access to images or videos on the ground, their media will have less to work with, which means the coverage will be much weaker and slower. Though there's no changing the bad pr and demonization from it, but at least they can't pull false flags and atrocity propaganda like they're doing now.
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They kinda might want to 'hijack' it and post a lot of 'Surrender now', 'life won't be that different' etc.

Also, videos of missiles raining down on various military equipment on Taiwan can also serve as more propanga to weaken morale as well.

At the end of the day, not completely sure whether it be better to temporarily cut electricity and internet or not.
 
Confusionism

Confusionism

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Coalescence said:
They have the option to cut the internet and electricity off in Taiwan. So I think without access to images or videos on the ground, their media will have less to work with, which means the coverage will be much weaker and slower. Though there's no changing the bad pr and demonization from it, but at least they can't pull false flags and atrocity propaganda like they're doing now.
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You forgot Starlink. Satellite communications are not that easy to cut off.
With Taiwan's population density and ownership of mobile smart devices, you can really experience the full range of live 24/7 war scenes.
 
Coalescence

Coalescence

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Michaelsinodef said:
They kinda might want to 'hijack' it and post a lot of 'Surrender now', 'life won't be that different' etc.

Also, videos of missiles raining down on various military equipment on Taiwan can also serve as more propanga to weaken morale as well.

At the end of the day, not completely sure whether it be better to temporarily cut electricity and internet or not.
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They could hijack their broadcasting towers and radios if they want to disseminate propaganda. Another option would be to have WIFI being emitted from their drone as well, like they did during last year's flood, but that would require resources allocated to keep the drones running.

I think they should cut it not only to prevent PR materials from reaching the west and for their own OPSEC, but also to prevent the possibility of TSMC and other high-tech industries' trade secret from being transferred to the US. Also this is an insignificant factor, but this would close down Taiwan's stock exchange, to prevent capital flight from happening, they might want to freeze the stocks and assets until Taiwan is stabilized and other problems resolved.
 
Coalescence

Coalescence

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FriedButter said:
Starlink has already been discussed previously and they depend on ground fatalities to operate.
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They could also be jammed with EW as well, as stated from one of the source I sent on GPS being jammed in Ukraine, sent in the Ukraine war thread. However the article did mention that Starlink announced a "firmware update" which is supposed to solve this problem, but I'm speculating they simply switched the encryption. I wonder if those satellites can be hacked or overloaded.
 
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