Fourth Taiwan Strait Crisis

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FairAndUnbiased

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One aspect I don’t think anyone that has commented on is the impact weapons supply to Ukraine will have on Taiwanese inventory. On the plus side US arms manufacturers now have economy of scale, which will allow them to produce arms at a quicker pace. But this comes at the downside of Ukraine eating most of inventoried goods already stockpiled by the US. Reskins to be seen whether deliveries to Taiwan could be made while the war is going on.
Are ground forces all that important for Taiwan? Unless they get SRBMs, even HIMARS gets outranged and suppressed by Chinese MRLS even as early as hour 0, not to mention drones and aircraft.
 

zhangjim

Junior Member
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Are ground forces all that important for Taiwan? Unless they get SRBMs, even HIMARS gets outranged and suppressed by Chinese MRLS even as early as hour 0, not to mention drones and aircraft.
Very important.
In 1996, the navy and air force were undoubtedly key to protecting them from invasion.
But now they had to rely on infantry to stall for time, waiting for the Americans to come to their rescue.
However, it should also be noted that Taiwan's defense program still hopes to preserve most of its air force and command system after being attacked, and to provide protection for the army in resisting invasion.
 
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zhangjim

Junior Member
Registered Member
Lmao, they can try

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"Preventive sanctions"? That sounds great. They should pass this resolution immediately, so that no one in China will oppose military action.

In the past few months, the West has been claiming to impose sanctions on countries (such as China) that do not participate in sanctions against Russia. Now it seems that they are very eager to let us cooperate with Russia.
This will teach all Chinese that the West will not accept any negotiation terms except unconditional surrender.

But I do think it was a serious mistake to allow Perosi a successful visit , they don't let you off the hook just because you don't want to start a serious conflict.
Now I want to see if the leadership has real determination, military exercises alone can no longer contain Americans' offensive intentions, and the production speed of warships, fighter planes and nuclear weapons must be further improved.
 

Bellum_Romanum

Brigadier
Registered Member
"Preventive sanctions"? That sounds great. They should pass this resolution immediately, so that no one in China will oppose military action.

In the past few months, the West has been claiming to impose sanctions on countries (such as China) that do not participate in sanctions against Russia. Now it seems that they are very eager to let us cooperate with Russia.
This will teach all Chinese that the West will not accept any negotiation terms except unconditional surrender.

But I do think it was a serious mistake to allow Perosi a successful visit , they don't let you off the hook just because you don't want to start a serious conflict.
Now I want to see if the leadership has real determination, military exercises alone can no longer contain Americans' offensive intentions, and the production speed of warships, fighter planes and nuclear weapons must be further improved.
We'll see how far reaching and encompassing this alleged plan of sanctions against China before even taking the point of no return. War should always be the last resort especially one that involves the lives of Chinese people on both sides. Taiwanese maybe an annoying bunch of folks, but at the end of the day they are still Chinese. But, if the use of force is committed there should be no quarters for any and all the separatists sympathizers and no half-assed measure or conducting the war like Russia is doing in Ukraine. The CPC/PLA owe it to the Chinese people and motherland nothing but all out effort to defeat the separatists in Taiwan, the U.S./Japan intervention or even the suicidal attacks and dream on conquest by India by trying to capture Tibet or some crazy s...t like that....
 

siegecrossbow

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We'll see how far reaching and encompassing this alleged plan of sanctions against China before even taking the point of no return. War should always be the last resort especially one that involves the lives of Chinese people on both sides. Taiwanese maybe an annoying bunch of folks, but at the end of the day they are still Chinese. But, if the use of force is committed there should be no quarters for any and all the separatists sympathizers and no half-assed measure or conducting the war like Russia is doing in Ukraine. The CPC/PLA owe it to the Chinese people and motherland nothing but all out effort to defeat the separatists in Taiwan, the U.S./Japan intervention or even the suicidal attacks and dream on conquest by India by trying to capture Tibet or some crazy s...t like that....

China will be eventually be pushed to the point of no return, there is no doubt. But it must not be done in a purely reactive manner. All the pieces must be in place. Once the arrow is fired, there is no turning back, and the archer must draw the bow the fullest and aim true.
 

BoraTas

Major
Registered Member
We'll see how far reaching and encompassing this alleged plan of sanctions against China before even taking the point of no return. War should always be the last resort especially one that involves the lives of Chinese people on both sides. Taiwanese maybe an annoying bunch of folks, but at the end of the day they are still Chinese. But, if the use of force is committed there should be no quarters for any and all the separatists sympathizers and no half-assed measure or conducting the war like Russia is doing in Ukraine. The CPC/PLA owe it to the Chinese people and motherland nothing but all out effort to defeat the separatists in Taiwan, the U.S./Japan intervention or even the suicidal attacks and dream on conquest by India by trying to capture Tibet or some crazy s...t like that....
I am not sure if economic sanctions are a good idea at this point at all. China arguably didn't lose anything by not reacting strongly to the US moves. The US sanctions already made their commercial equipment a liability thus China's trade surplus against the USA is at a record high.
On military spending though? It has to increase. There are no ways around it. India, Japan and Taiwan are increasing their budgets so is the USA.
Taiwan topic is more complicated. I am afraid we will reach to the point when launching an invasion will make more sense than waiting in 5 years. Taiwan problem is literally an ongoing civil war in terms of its effects on the Chinese foreign relations.
 

siegecrossbow

General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Interesting times. Seems US is doing everything it can to provoke China into invading Taiwan ASAP.

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“Potentially, the most dangerous scenario would be a grand coalition of China, Russia, and perhaps Iran, an “anti-hegemonic” coalition united not by ideology but by complementary grievances. It would be reminiscent in scale and scope of the challenge once posed by the Sino-Soviet bloc, though this time China would likely be the leader and Russia the follower. Averting this contingency, however remote it may be, will require a display of U.S. geostrategic skill on the western, eastern, and southern perimeters of Eurasia simultaneously.”

RIP Brzezinski. At least you didn't have to see this happen in person, unlike Kissinger.
 
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