We will find out what CCP reactions would be when UK MPs visit Taiwan later this year. However, expectation of serious PRC response has already been made by the public remarks of PRC ambassador to UK. Ambassador Zheng Zeguan used the words "playing with fire" to warn UK in an official press conference.
Fourth Taiwan Strait Crisis
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We will find out what CCP reactions would be when UK MPs visit Taiwan later this year. However, expectation of serious PRC response has already been made by the public remarks of PRC ambassador to UK. Ambassador Zheng Zeguan used the words "playing with fire" to warn UK in an official press conference.
I guess it's just an exaggeration to quell the anger of people on social media...
The air traffic has been rerouted to avoid the NOTAM boxes. Notice there's nothing east of Taiwan. The ship traffic not yet.
What level are these British MPs ? If they are just ordinary MPs, should China take action other than some verbal protest ?
The real question is whether what China is doing now and in the next week or two be enough to deter further visits by, say, EU President, NATO Chief, Modi, Japan PM, Australia PM, US VP etc etc ?
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If my reading of the Chinese response is correct, they don't want to see the visits stop. More visits will allow them to continue and expand the scope of their military exercises until it becomes a regular ongoing event. If the U.S. does not respond to their exercises, it will change the status quo on the ground in due time.
Modi? Lol seriously? Don't think the Indians are that brave despite their expertise in trolling. And who's going to back India? The U.S.? Sure
Its also a tripwire of sorts, if the US does respond and responds above a certain threshold of involvement, it signals to China that it must go straight to full armed reunification.... by but then it would be in a better position to do so vs had it not have encircled Tiawan closer and closer through these series of excercises...
Now that status quo is shattered both sides will accelerate the salami slicing until eventually AR gets triggered
If there is no serious deterrent factor in China's response (to Pelosi's visit) now, it just encourage other countries to arm Taiwan with more weapons that will make it more bloody when the time come for armed reunification.
As pointed out by numerous forum members, the US and her allies do not care about Taiwan's independence. They just want to see any AR will be as bloody and resource draining as possible to drag down China.
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Time will tell but given how South Korea gave the cold shoulder at least some are thinking twice.
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