Now they are hyping the idea that China is going to nuke testing ( critical or sub-critical?) again.
I forget whether I have posted this news yet, but yea it is a significant discovery IF true.
The shaft is usually for large-yield nuke test, in the other words, the complete nuclear package test instead of just primary. The primary, is usually tested in a tunnel, which they are building as well.
And for the water rocket part, I hope ppl should stop taking it seriously. It could be true but it doesn't really matter. I don't put good faith in US intelligence unless it is leaked.
1. China launch dozens of CZ-2/3 series rocket every year and they are basically DF-5s with strap-on boosters or an additional upper stage. If they are all successful in launch, I see no reason I would lose faith in DF-5 reliability.
2. PBV doesn't work in the way arm control nerd pretends it is. PBV are fueled and sealed in the factory, and it is not worth to replace the fuel with water, either. You can steal around 450t of fuel out of CZ-3B and for PBV each one of them only comes with 1-2t fuel. It is like the embezzelement you put the risk is not even worth buy a pair of shoe.
3. No one does corruption on stealing N2O4/UDMH. It just doesn't make any sense at all. Yes you can have kickback money from not fueling with N2O4 but hundreds of people would notice and imagine the money you have to spend on shutting their mouths. The fuel comes at around $6000 USD per ton it means the maximum you could make is around $1M USD per ICBM and still have to share it with hundreds of personnel, meanwhile got caught then a shot in the head. The risk-return ratio is so terrible that no one would do that unless they are retarded.
Tl;dr The whole idea makes zero sense. And it is published not leaked, I don't have very good faith in US intelligence unless it is leaked/accidentally revealed/forced to present in a court file.