China ICBM/SLBM, nuclear arms thread

[by78]

Does anyone have a video of this or can verify its veracity? Allegedly a new anti-ballistic missile test, and it's speculated by some to have been two kill vehicles/interceptors.

 

[daifo]

Allege video from the new year surprise

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1874480979089482026

 

[3SonsAndaPhD]

Their report is kinda missing the forest for tree.

For example they are emphasizing the dual-use capability of DF-26 and giving them 54 nuclear warheads but it is very likely to be much more exaggerating than reality. Possibly because arm control nerdies are naturally discouraging all sort of dual use IRBM and hyping its threat.

Meanwhile they still believe that each brigade only operates around 6 launchers/missiles.
In their report, they count 12 DF-31 brigades and 3 DF-41 brigade as well as 90 DF-31 series missiles and 28 DF-41 missiles. Te be honest here that it is just illogical, how it is possible that DF-41 brigade is operating with more ICBM launchers than DF-31 brigades?

My estimation:

Missile	No. of brigade	No. of missile	Nuclear warheads
DF-21A	0	Retired	0
DF-26	5 or 6	240/20 nuclear capable	20
DF-5A	1	6	6
DF-5B	2	12	48
DF-31 series	9	108	108
DF-41 series	7	84	252
JL-2 series	6 SSBNs	72	72
H-6N	N/A	10-20	10-20
Total	N/A	312	526

2030 Prospect:

Missile	No. of brigade	No. of missile	Nuclear warheads
DF-26	5 or 6	240/20 nuclear capable	20
DF-5B	2	12	48
DF-5C	3	36	216
DF-31 series	3	54	54
DF-41	14	168	500
JL-2/JL-3 series	8 SSBNs	96	96
Silo ICBM (DF-41)	3	320	960
H-20	N/A	20	20
Total	N/A	708/688 if not counting DF-26	1914

Actually there is a lot of wiggle room on 2030 Prospect, for instance there could be a heavy solid ICBM to bring another 960 warheads into arsenal and enable MIRV capability on SLBM by reducing yield of each warheads.

Even this is a huge understimate !!

Remember China is going to have 8 096 SSBN by 2030, that's over 1000 warheads on them alone !!

Plus, there is already over 1000 DF-26, as of now !!

 

[ACuriousPLAFan]

Even this is a huge understimate !!

Remember China is going to have 8 096 SSBN by 2030, that's over 1000 warheads on them alone !!

Plus, there is already over 1000 DF-26, as of now !!

What makes you think that China will build 8x 096 SSBNs by 2030 - And more so, that the 8x 096 SSBNs will have over 1000 warheads "on them alone"?

Also, why do you think that there is already over 1000 DF-26s by now?

 

[leibowitz]

What makes you think that China will build 8x 096 SSBNs by 2030 - And more so, that the 8x 096 SSBNs will have over 1000 warheads "on them alone"?

Also, why do you think that there is already over 1000 DF-26s by now?

He's a troll, ignore

 

[Deino]

Even this is a huge understimate !!

Remember China is going to have 8 096 SSBN by 2030, that's over 1000 warheads on them alone !!

Plus, there is already over 1000 DF-26, as of now !!

Ok, this is not the way to discuss here - aka by coming up with exaggerated claims, that contradict everything and (like an Indian) telling something maybe in 2030 a fact that would now demonstrate any superiority.
So either you argue, prove what you claims or at least explain why you think that way or better do not post. Take this as a final warning since it is already your second one due to similar nonsense claims, country bashing or boasting the own nationalism!

 

[ACuriousPLAFan]

One of China's counterpart to the PAVE PAWS early-warning radar system, located somewhere in the WTC. Posted by @sugar_wsnbn on Twitter.

 

[Ironhide]

China's counterpart to the PAVE PAWS early-warning radar system

Geolocated at Jiamusi

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1883184337463759014

 

[ismellcopium]

So it's in NTC then?

Looks absolutely colossal compared to shipborne arrays.

 

[vincent]

So it's in NTC then?

Looks absolutely colossal compared to shipborne arrays.

The radar needs to be online 24x7x365. Durability is paramount.