Cause and effect of Chinese GDP & ecnomic growth Worldwide.

solarz

Brigadier
Re: In 1840, CHina has the highest GDP in the world but.....

you do noticed when I mentioned 250k houses I did mention the word "cheapest" before it, right buddy? and could you explain to me how the average Chinese, (not your Beijing living, daddy and uncles are CCP officials, with a MBA from Fudan) have 250k in their savings accounts. I know Chinese have to pay up front for their house most of the time. If this family have kids and elderly, than wow... there is school (super expensive if you want go to good ones), nanny for their parents, food (cheapest part). It is really hard for an average middle class family to save up to buy even the cheapest apartment you can find. I call that a problem. And that is what you call 250k damn cheap right?

Let's do a bit of math here. The average monthly salary of a professional in a 2nd to 3rd tier city is 3k to 5k. That means the average household income is 6k-10k monthly, or 8x12 = 96k yearly, on average. That means a house of about 300k is 3 times their yearly salary. That is a pretty reachable goal. Consider that in toronto, the average condo is 350 - 400k, and the average yearly salary is 50-70k, multiplied by 2 for dual-income households (much less frequent than in China), and the proportion is about the same: 3 to 1. That's not even counting the fact that many companies give their employees housing benefits to offset the costs of buying a house, something that simply doesn't exist here in Toronto.

Why is Chinese real-estate over priced again?


And the houses that are 80,000 RMBs are build by government for homeless and super low income individuals. normal people can't buy it, you have to apply for it. I am saying the government charge homeless and laborers for a 80,000 RMBs apartment are just stupid. How are they going to buy it? sell their poor kid perhaps? (sarcasm)

Oh, so what are you suggesting? That the Chinese government should just *give* those homeless and laborers free houses? FYI, China isn't the only nation on earth with homelessness and poverty issues. Why is there an expectation for China to provide housing for everyone? And not just a place to live, but a place that you own!

The fact that the government is even providing houses at 80k for lower-income families is pretty damn amazing in itself!

Talking about history, you do know that Qing have 7 times the man power (1500) than the Russian (est. 2000) at the Amur river right? and some of the russian forces are cossack cavary that use swords too. Russian's defeat is mainly due to the one and half month long supply line, the weakness of Russian monarch and its internal conflict between peter I and Ivan V, and their court. The main focus of Russia forces at the time are Poland and Sweden, not some small outpost 2 month away in Sibera Asia. and 200 years later who again win over the Amur region? Russian, without firing a shot.
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And what's your point? Being able to field massive manpower *is* a sign of being a superpower, even up to WW2. So what cossack cavalry uses swords? So what if Russia's main focus was in Europe? No nation willingly cedes territory unless they had no other choice. Finally, yes, we all know that the Qing became weak 200 years later. Again I ask, what's your point?

Engineer said:
He didn't. Other people did.

That makes his credentials even more suspicious.

Engineer said:
(... the rest)

Considering that antimatter only posted the summary, and nothing that leads to this guys "actual views", I can only respond to what is there. If you think that's "misinterpreting" his views, blame the summary guy.

Your analysis of China's real estate is really weird. If there weren't enough buyers for the houses, then the housing prices wouldn't have gone up. It's a simple equation of supply vs demand. Even if a lot of those buyers were investors, they: a) still rent the place out to those who do need to live, but can't afford to buy, and b) still means that there are enough "rich" people to buy the houses.

The stock market bubbles aren't created by outside forces, they're created by Chinese speculators who want to make a quick buck by hyping up some stock.

Finally, I don't know about the stock market, but the property prices seem pretty in line with the economy. Housing prices fell in late 2008, early 2009, as the financial crisis first hit, but rebounded in mid 2009 as China's recovery was faster and better than anyone expected.
 

petty officer1

Junior Member
Re: In 1840, CHina has the highest GDP in the world but.....

I do agree with most what you stated, China's defence industry is moving forward. But...

1840s,only several thousand British troops deffeated Qing dynasty,this is a joke,Japanese fleet defeated more powerful Qing North Sea Fleet, this is another joke,because Qing rulers of the corruption and incompetence.
And today's Chinese government and its military are not corrupt?

决定战争胜负的,是人不是物.1950,Korean War, the Chinese troops forced UN troops back to South Korea,in that time,China was so poor and backward.

You right 是人不是物, are you saying those experiences PVAs in Korea that fought Japanese Imperial army when they were kids, and served with warlords that fought each others. Those then fought the American armed Nationalists when they were teenagers. Those who starved since when they were born, live a whole life of sufferings... making them harden veterans since teens, not even mentioning how much experience their commanders have.

compare to our average lazy, single child, materialist, internet addicted, fast food fed kids today in China? How many Chinese high school kids dont need glasses and can run a 5k under 8mins?

The young people in China today can't compete with the Korean War generation when it comes to determination, endurance, fitness and loyalty to its fellow soldier. It is even disrespectful to compare the two.
 

rhino123

Pencil Pusher
VIP Professional
Re: In 1840, CHina has the highest GDP in the world but.....

I doubt you understand Chinese. I don't think you understand what he means in article. Those translation won't be enough apparently.

So, I won't go any further on that.

I am sorry you are wrong there. I am actually some of the members here who understand Chinese, been to China and stuff like that. I think I understand the article... and it is a load of craps. The translation you provide me? I don't even bother reading those.

It would be better if you don't go further on whatever.

Oh... one more thing, I doubt you understand what myself and many people here tried to tell you. You have an opinion that was already drilled into your head and you won't change for whatever reason. So it would really be a waste of time trying to tell you otherwise.

Like I say, only time will tell the final outcome.
 
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rhino123

Pencil Pusher
VIP Professional
Re: In 1840, CHina has the highest GDP in the world but.....

I do agree with most what you stated, China's defence industry is moving forward. But...


And today's Chinese government and its military are not corrupt?



You right 是人不是物, are you saying those experiences PVAs in Korea that fought Japanese Imperial army when they were kids, and served with warlords that fought each others. Those then fought the American armed Nationalists when they were teenagers. Those who starved since when they were born, live a whole life of sufferings... making them harden veterans since teens, not even mentioning how much experience their commanders have.

compare to our average lazy, single child, materialist, internet addicted, fast food fed kids today in China? How many Chinese high school kids dont need glasses and can run a 5k under 8mins?

The young people in China today can't compete with the Korean War generation when it comes to determination, endurance, fitness and loyalty to its fellow soldier. It is even disrespectful to compare the two.

Different tactics and warfare strategies for different era my friend. I can only tell you that. In the korea war, technology is something of a luxury to the Chinese troops. They do not have air support, minimal support of everything, the soldiers basically have their rifle and that was it.

In modern warfare, the Chinese had more than what they use to have. The result will be different in a war with China now.

And it is disrespectful to judge the military of any country without being one first.
 
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rhino123

Pencil Pusher
VIP Professional
Re: In 1840, CHina has the highest GDP in the world but.....

yep, you right I said clearly in my post I heard those story from family members that are in China now. So I can understand if you don't buy it, but I do, since I feel there is no reasons why many of my family members that works in the real estate industy would lie to me at dinner table. And I am also sure you can look on any Chinese website you can find mutiple accounts of government officials confiscating land at local level.

Basically I am not doubting your family members (that would be disrespectful) and I do think they know what they are saying. But I do not think they would get the whole view of the entire china... sorry, about that.

As to the chinese websites... there are a load of craps down there... or in any websites for that matter, people with self agenda, people who hate the governments, people who just like to BS are all there. So I only tend to believe hard evidence, data, figures, etc. All the other are only hearsay. Sorry... I am an engineer and an engineer to do trust words, but reliable references and datas.
 

petty officer1

Junior Member
Re: In 1840, CHina has the highest GDP in the world but.....

Let's do a bit of math here. The average monthly salary of a professional in a 2nd to 3rd tier city is 3k to 5k. That means the average household income is 6k-10k monthly, or 8x12 = 96k yearly, on average. That means a house of about 300k is 3 times their yearly salary. That is a pretty reachable goal. Consider that in toronto, the average condo is 350 - 400k, and the average yearly salary is 50-70k, multiplied by 2 for dual-income households (much less frequent than in China), and the proportion is about the same: 3 to 1. That's not even counting the fact that many companies give their employees housing benefits to offset the costs of buying a house, something that simply doesn't exist here in Toronto.

Why is Chinese real-estate over priced again?

uhhh... Ok, Let me say it again, the 250K is the Cheapest apartment (which you agreed in your pervious post). so the average apartments in China are about 700k to 1 milions or even more. Your average Condos in toronto is affortable by average family. But in China average people can hardly afford a 700k+ average home. Ok? and I am sure in Canada you can have a better morgage plan that are paid off when you are 82, Most Chinese family don't have that. Heck, I can buy a great house right now in Texas, I just have to come up with 10% of the house. Chinese literally have to SAVE and BORROW form family to buy a home. And the saving rate is about 42% so your 96k a year don't have much left.



Oh, so what are you suggesting? That the Chinese government should just *give* those homeless and laborers free houses? FYI, China isn't the only nation on earth with homelessness and poverty issues. Why is there an expectation for China to provide housing for everyone? And not just a place to live, but a place that you own!

The fact that the government is even providing houses at 80k for lower-income families is pretty damn amazing in itself!

Haha. sorry sir I am not a socialist, I never even stated in my post I wish for the government to provide housing for the poor. All I am saying is ASKING a homless person for 80k up front is stupid, it is like asking a 6 years girl to pull$5000 out of her pocket stupid. I just think it is a stupid price, it have nothing to do with government's social obligations.



And what's your point? Being able to field massive manpower *is* a sign of being a superpower, even up to WW2. So what cossack cavalry uses swords? So what if Russia's main focus was in Europe? No nation willingly cedes territory unless they had no other choice. Finally, yes, we all know that the Qing became weak 200 years later. Again I ask, what's your point?

I was refering to one of your post that your directed towards anti
matterOriginally Posted by antimatter
1 Those great dynasties still no match against european cannons and guns if those guy came at those time. Great is a relative term

than you said

FYI, early Qing under Kangxi fought a war with Russia, which did involve guns and canons. The Qing won that war, and with it came a treaty that secured the border for a long time. That border, in fact, was beyond the current border of the PRC.

I was saying Qing's victory is over stated victory. Qing had overwhelming advantage at the time. It didn't mean Qing's sword and spear beat Russian's gun and cannon at the time. If there is a confusion or that is not what you meant to say, I apologize.
 
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petty officer1

Junior Member
Re: In 1840, CHina has the highest GDP in the world but.....

Different tactics and warfare strategies for different era my friend. I can only tell you that. In the korea war, technology is something of a luxury to the Chinese troops. They do not have air support, minimal support of everything, the soldiers basically have their rifle and that was it.

In modern warfare, the Chinese had more than what they use to have. The result will be different in a war with China now.

And it is disrespectful to judge the military of any country without being one first.

I completely agree with you on tactics, hardware have changed. The PLA's club are not the same any more, but I am only worrying about the human factors.

Basically I am not doubting your family members (that would be disrespectful) and I do think they know what they are saying. But I do not think they would get the whole view of the entire china... sorry, about that.

As to the chinese websites... there are a load of craps down there... or in any websites for that matter, people with self agenda, people who hate the governments, people who just like to BS are all there. So I only tend to believe hard evidence, data, figures, etc. All the other are only hearsay. Sorry... I am an engineer and an engineer to do trust words, but reliable references and datas.

Thanks, It is what it is, just a small picture. Not I am saying that is what happens every where in China. we agree to disagree. :)
 

maozedong

Banned Idiot
Re: In 1840, CHina has the highest GDP in the world but.....

I do agree with most what you stated, China's defence industry is moving forward. But...


And today's Chinese government and its military are not corrupt?



You right 是人不是物, are you saying those experiences PVAs in Korea that fought Japanese Imperial army when they were kids, and served with warlords that fought each others. Those then fought the American armed Nationalists when they were teenagers. Those who starved since when they were born, live a whole life of sufferings... making them harden veterans since teens, not even mentioning how much experience their commanders have.

compare to our average lazy, single child, materialist, internet addicted, fast food fed kids today in China? How many Chinese high school kids dont need glasses and can run a 5k under 8mins?

The young people in China today can't compete with the Korean War generation when it comes to determination, endurance, fitness and loyalty to its fellow soldier. It is even disrespectful to compare the two.

All the world's countries have corruption, take a look at Japan, every prime minister of corruption.
Like the United States of corruption, such as New York governor, as well as their members of Congress, should not accept the interest groups affected? The U.S. financial tsunami, what is formed?
Chinese government has adopted measures to attack corruption, it will take time.China's current system and the Qing Dynasty the same? emperor have oppressed the people, lived a life of shameless debauchery, ignoring affairs of state. Landlords own all the land, while the farmers nothing, times of hardship, opium continued to flow into China, this is the case it.
you only see some young people life style now, do you see so many young people work hard? if not, how cand so many goods export to oversea? every thing " make in China", now,China's rapid economic development, which is given by God do? Chinese people since so lazy, why will become the world's industrial centers, why not the investors go to foreign cournties?
Whether at any time, advanced weapons,need the people to man them,in particular, the information age, from the people plow hands,War and strategic decisions, operational modes, seize the opportunity and the decision by the people.
The U.S. submarine collided with another one amphibious ship, after investigation, the U.S. sailors were on duty were sleeping, the other sailors with headphones listening to music.prior to this, they had several submarine collision.
U.S. soldiers in Okinawa, Japan, South Korea repeatedly raped women,have you heard of the PLA garrison in Hong Kong in rape of woman?
think about this.
 

rhino123

Pencil Pusher
VIP Professional
Re: In 1840, CHina has the highest GDP in the world but.....

To Petty Officer 1:

Human factors is an important factor in any country's military, that you are correct. However when we look at human factors we must look much deeper into it then just at the corruption level of a said country.

Humans are generally selfish (I think you can agreed with on this), whatever they do, are for their own personal gains... so I could safely deduce that a general or particular government will gain more if his or her subjects do not revolt or die due to the corruption of them.

In war, or any country who would want to attack China... the participating councils will also gain more if they manage to push back the adversaries. China do have the necessary weapons and hardware though... and close to 3 million regulars forces, even if only a fraction of them are loyal to the nation... it would be say... something around 1 million? coupled with good hardware... I believe China can stand on her own.

Now when we come to the real estate problem that many had been arguing. I acknowledged that the housing is getting ridiculously high in some cities such as Beijing and Shanghai - heck, even in Shenzhen and Qingdao. But if you looked at those cities... they are highly developed. Investment came from both domestic and overseas to build building - because they could make money out of it. If the average chinese or most chinese couldn't afford to buy those property, why in the world would they build those building? There must be a market for it...

Okay, lets take it back a step. Say if the real estate sector is getting overheated at those coastal cities and Beijing for example. What is the necessary action that the government should take?

1) Build on the infrastructure that would lead to the inner China. Building of these infrastructure do not come automatically - labours are needed? And so job will be provided to these people.

2) With the infrastructure being developed, only then could they attract investment to flow into the inner China both domestically and foreign owned.

Only with the investment being flow back into the country, could China actually curb the influx of her population from crowding the few coastal cities, (I have explain this in my previous posts somewhere. If you have the time, go and read it.).

With less people in the coastal area, the pressure on the real estate will be relieved, thus it will also somehow curb overheating... because we have take away the demand for the building.

Finally... China is a big country, no matter what Antimatter wanted to believe, she had the land and the population... and the only way to curb all her problem now is not the distribution of wealth... but the distribution of developement throughout the country. With developement you will see population movement and distribution... more or less evenly depending on the stage of development in all area.
 

bladerunner

Banned Idiot
Re: In 1840, CHina has the highest GDP in the world but.....

, why will become the world's industrial centers, why not the investors go to foreign cournties?

They can still do that. Multinational Corps loyalty is only to the dollar. India is slowly becoming a attractive alternative, eg Ford,.

Its current infrastructure might not be very good, but neither was China's 35-40yrs ago, so you can't assume China will remain the Worlds manufacturing workshop indefinitely.
 
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