Perhaps this "visit" will be used by Xi and the supporters of increased military budget as the final impetus to do just that. Perhaps, there are elements within the Chinese government who are still determined to do an incremental increase as to avoid further suspicion from the west, and are maybe eager on trying to normalize the relationship for better economic integration, as well as environment for China. After all, China is still very much keen on developing it's economy for obvious reasons.I mean, only Pentagon's delusional reports say that China has just 300 nukes. And tbh, I think China's nuclear build up has been perfectly timed.
Sooner, it would had increased Western suspicions before China was ready to counter them techno-economically
Later, a belligerent US, amid heightened tensions, might had resorted to nuclear blackmail because of China's insufficient nuclear deterrence.
So all in all, perfectly timed. No complains from me on this matter, only praise
Even though I repeated the need for military spending, especially as shown from this ongoing episode, I still maintain that there is a relatively (non-zero) low chance of a war happening before 2024. After 2024 however, I personally see the chance of a war or a military crisis so serious that could lead to it, at >60%.
To sum up, I don't think this Pelosi thing will cause a war
However, those well-intentioned folks are going to be drowned out due to this latest stunt from crypt keeper a.k.a. Botox Barbie a.k.a. Nancy Pelosi and the vocal minority of Chinese officials wanting to raise the PLA budget would win this time around. Although, we'll find out soon enough the next round of budget announcements in China if the government has indeed taken the U.S. threat much more seriously than ever before.