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Petrolicious88

Senior Member
Registered Member
Even though I repeated the need for military spending, especially as shown from this ongoing episode, I still maintain that there is a relatively (non-zero) low chance of a war happening before 2024. After 2024 however, I personally see the chance of a war or a military crisis so serious that could lead to it, at >60%.

To sum up, I don't think this Pelosi thing will cause a war
Almost zero chance of war because of Pelosi visit. Now is not the time. Neither US and China is ready.

War starts because Taiwan declares independence not because Pelosi or whatever visits.
 
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coolgod

Major
Registered Member
China, Indonesia deepen ties, inject stability to region, world in international landscape full of uncertainties
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In a cordial and friendly atmosphere, Chinese President Xi Jinping held talks with Indonesian President Joko Widodo on Tuesday in Beijing, hailing a sound China-Indonesia relationship has positive, far-reaching regional and global impacts and stressing the strong commitment of the two sides to growing their bilateral ties as President Widodo is the first head of state China hosts after the Beijing Olympic Winter Games.


CN ask Vietnam to cancel the US carrier visit?
Vietnam hosting US aircraft carriers is playing with fire. Even though the CPC tampers down public sentiments against Vietnam, a lot of Chinese still have recollections of the bloody war against Vietnam.
 
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Petrolicious88

Senior Member
Registered Member
Unfortnautely wars are not fought only when both/either/one sides are "ready"...

US realizes its now or never, ready or not
Accidental wars start that way. But both China and the US are calculated and channel of communication is still open.

Again war starts now because Taiwan declares independence not because Pelosi visits. She may cancel the trip. Who knows.
 
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ironborn

Junior Member
Registered Member
It was last year sometimes after a high-level visit by the US delegation to Taiwan, PLA planes crossed the center line in Taiwan straits. After that, governor of Taiwan province order the military change the ROE. Only return fire after being fired upon, also, the defence minister has to be informed before any actions can be taken.

Now the big speculation is if the old hag does come to visit, and PLA planes escort her ass all the way to Taipei airport, what to do?
 

9dashline

Captain
Registered Member
It was last year sometimes after a high-level visit by the US delegation to Taiwan, PLA planes crossed the center line in Taiwan straits. After that, governor of Taiwan province order the military change the ROE. Only return fire after being fired upon, also, the defence minister has to be informed before any actions can be taken.

Now the big speculation is if the old hag does come to visit, and PLA planes escort her ass all the way to Taipei airport, what to do?
Not to mention the US just stated they will have carrier group protecting the fighter jets escorting Pelosi and Pompous.... this is shaping up to be the showdown of the century...

This has nothing to do with Pelosi or even the Biden admin, this is a bona fide prelude to all out war....
 

FriedButter

Major
Registered Member
Now the big speculation is if the old hag does come to visit, and PLA planes escort her ass all the way to Taipei airport, what to do?

They will have to. If Pelosi goes then the US must send their own jets to escort. If China backs off too earlier then you know the Western Media is going to circle jerk the “brave American empire” of videos of US jets flying over Taipei.
 

Abominable

Major
Registered Member
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I think China expects Pelosi to be visiting, which I do expect as well tbh. Dems and the Neocons have dug themselves into a hole. It’s commit or die for them now.
Americans are afraid to leave the house if the weatherman says it's too hot or cold. Do you really think Pelosi is going to travel to Taiwan if the US military are telling her its too dangerous for her to do so?
 
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