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FriedButter

FriedButter

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PLA will not sit idly by if Pelosi visits Taiwan island, Chinese defense ministry warns; indicating PLA ‘fully prepared’ for all scenarios

Chinese Defense Ministry on Tuesday vowed that if the US insists, the Chinese military will by no means sit idly by and strong measures will be taken to thwart any external interference and "Taiwan independence" separatist attempts.

Chinese analysts said the strong warnings from the Chinese military meant that the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) is well prepared for all the possible challenges if Pelosi visits the island, and they advised the PLA Rocket Force to conduct drills with new missiles targeting any possible US aircraft carriers and other large military vessels that may be involved in Pelosi's visit.
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Song said he believes the Chinese military should declare the entire Taiwan island as PLA's drill zone intercepting all unauthorized planes flying in the zone if Pelosi visits the island.
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Meanwhile, the PLA Rocket Force could conduct drills with new missiles targeting any possible US aircraft carriers and other large military vessels that may be involved in Pelosi's visit, Song said, noting the drills could be conducted in areas surrounding Taiwan island from the east side.
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I think China expects Pelosi to be visiting, which I do expect as well tbh. Dems and the Neocons have dug themselves into a hole. It’s commit or die for them now.

"Pelosi doesn't care that she might make a big mess of US-China relations, because the executive branch and the military will be the ones forced to take the consequences and deal with the aftermath," he said.
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Overbom

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FriedButter said:
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I think China expects Pelosi to be visiting, which I do expect as well tbh. Dems and the Neocons have dug themselves into a hole. It’s commit or die for them now.
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Funny how everyone suddenly loves to invoke their military in times of need (how truly unexpected...)
Here what I said some time ago:
"Better increase your military spending so that if a war happens you could be in a strong position than not increasing military spending and get caught with your pants down".

I am sure that China would have loved to have, among many others, 5+ extra missiles factories producing ballistic missiles since 2016+. ("But will someone think of the waste!?")

I, Overbom, am available for the CPC upper echelon to hire as a consultant if they want some common sense, big-brain 200 IQ, analysis. Preferred payment currency: Xi-bucks
 
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9dashline

9dashline

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Overbom said:
Funny how everyone suddenly loves to invoke their military in times of need (how truly unexpected...)
Here what I said some time ago:
"Better increase your military spending so that if a war happens you could be in a strong position than not increasing military spending and get caught with your pants down".

I am sure that China would have loved to have 5+ extra missiles factories producing ballistic missiles since 2016+. ("But will someone think of the waste!?")

I, Overbom, am available for the CPC upper echelon to hire as a consultant if they want some common sense, big-brain 200 IQ, analysis. Preferred payment currency: Xi-bucks
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Last year there were still folks on this forum making the arguement that 300 nukes was enough deterrence for China lmao....

Im getting the same vibes as right before the Ukraine war... you acccurately predicted that one, earlier this year I predicted the TW thing will become war too (between US, TW, China) and I recall you said it was premature.

We shall see soon enough, my bet is still August 2022
 
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Overbom

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9dashline said:
Last year there were still folks on this forum making the arguement that 300 nukes was enough deterrence for China lmao....
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I mean, only Pentagon's delusional reports say that China has just 300 nukes. And tbh, I think China's nuclear build up has been perfectly timed.

Sooner, it would had increased Western suspicions before China was ready to counter them techno-economically

Later, a belligerent US, amid heightened tensions, might had resorted to nuclear blackmail because of China's insufficient nuclear deterrence.

So all in all, perfectly timed. No complains from me on this matter, only praise


9dashline said:
earlier this year I predicted the TW thing will become war too (between US, TW, China) and I recall you said it was premature.
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Even though I repeated the need for military spending, especially as shown from this ongoing episode, I still maintain that there is a relatively (non-zero) low chance of a war happening before 2024. After 2024 however, I personally see the chance of a war or a military crisis so serious that could lead to it, at >60%.

To sum up, I don't think this Pelosi thing will cause a war
 
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Petrolicious88

Senior Member
Registered Member
Overbom said:
Even though I repeated the need for military spending, especially as shown from this ongoing episode, I still maintain that there is a relatively (non-zero) low chance of a war happening before 2024. After 2024 however, I personally see the chance of a war or a military crisis so serious that could lead to it, at >60%.

To sum up, I don't think this Pelosi thing will cause a war
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Almost zero chance of war because of Pelosi visit. Now is not the time. Neither US and China is ready.

War starts because Taiwan declares independence not because Pelosi or whatever visits.
 
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