Chinese Internal Politics

Eventine

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China’s unspoken question: who will succeed Xi Jinping?​


Yin Li, 62, and Chen Wenqing, 65, a former intelligence officer who now oversees China's legal system, seem to be good candidates.

I believe that Ding Xuexiang and Wang Huning are weak for different reasons, Ding because of a poor professional background and Wang because he has no career in regional administration.

In addition, there seems to be a clear division within the Party's affairs and it is becoming quite obvious: Li Qiang - Economy, Development and Society; Cai Qi - Party and National Security.

Although I think it is still premature to discuss Xi Jinping's succession. The main focus is on Xi Jinping's re-election in 2027 as party leader and in 2028 as head of the country - until 2032-2033, inclusive.

However, it is true that the election cycle has been launched not only for the leader, but also, firstly, for the future premier and, secondly, for the successor, who is expected to be appointed in 2027-2028 as vice-president of the PRC (according to the existing model). More precisely, in the next 2 years, the first round of the game of selecting a successor will take place - the "selection" of those who definitely will not enter, without getting into the Politburo.

The game of the successor may be complicated by a major administrative reform and the reform of the Secretariat of the Central Committee of the Communist Party; for example, the post of Chairman of the Central Committee will appear, like Mao's, the post of General Secretary will become vacant, there will be a Vice-Chairman of the Central Committee, etc.

For now, the obvious successor is the party boss in Shanghai, Chen Jining. But he could, for example, be retained as premier in place of the current Li Qiang.

Otherwise, almost the entire Politburo youth group is ready for endless party games for the next two years, and then for Xi Jinping’s five-year plan.

…And he just didn’t leave in 2033. During the Cultural Revolution, Mao had many favorites and confidants for this role, from the military man Lin Biao to the head of the personal guard Wang Dongxing, who became Mao’s deputy (he ruled the party for 30 years) and could always replace him. There was Mao’s wife, the actress Jiang Qing, etc. For example, children—children in a hereditary monarchy—are the norm. There are people who are not on Xi’s side—that’s a completely different story.
China needs a younger, bolder leader to captain the rough waters ahead. The time of stability is at an end, and in times of war, younger leaders have tended to thrive. The world’s greatest conquerors were merely in their twenties and thirties when they began their campaigns (Alexander, Genghis, etc). While life was shorter back then, even FDR, who led the US through World War 2, was only 51 when he was elected. Like wise, the Han dynasty’s greatest military achievements happened under Han Wudi, who started his campaigns around his early twenties. The Qing had a similar story with utilizing young leaders for war times.
 

Bellum_Romanum

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China needs a younger, bolder leader to captain the rough waters ahead. The time of stability is at an end, and in times of war, younger leaders have tended to thrive. The world’s greatest conquerors were merely in their twenties and thirties when they began their campaigns (Alexander, Genghis, etc). While life was shorter back then, even FDR, who led the US through World War 2, was only 51 when he was elected. Like wise, the Han dynasty’s greatest military achievements happened under Han Wudi, who started his campaigns around his early twenties. The Qing had a similar story with utilizing young leaders for war times.
Who do you have in mind?
 

Eventine

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Who do you have in mind?
Don’t pay attention to Chinese internal politics enough to have an individual in mind, but ideally it should be someone: 1) in their fifties, 2) with a background in emerging technologies leadership, 3) with an affinity for innovative & bold policies. That person should also have strong connections with younger, competent leaders in the industry and military, and be able to build an effective war council that could move quickly and take risks.

While the West is currently in the process of turmoil, it won't stay that way forever - contrary to many people here, I see the current Trump moves not as comical self-destruction, but consolidating power & removing opposition in preparation for a partisan take over of all branches of government. That is to say, Trump is establishing a Republican dictatorship, and he's positioned younger, competent technocrats like Elon Musk to be policy leaders.

Whoever takes charge in China needs to be ready for the worst case scenario of a major conflict launched by the US and its vassals. I have little hope that the situation in the US will improve any time soon. The "radical right" (ie conservative nationalists) have the demographic advantage that they've now transformed into a political monopoly. It'll get worse before it gets better.
 
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W20

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"Trump is establishing a Republican dictatorship"

---

Joe Caligula Biden has fulfilled his purpose: taking the Ukrainian Gambit (1997-) to its ultimate conclusion: sacrificing half a million or a million Ukrainian pawns to gamble on overthrowing Russia with the help of Vladimir Vladimirovich's blindness

And now, if no one stops him, Donald Likud Trump will probably fulfill the purpose for which he was placed in the imperial presidency: attacking Persia.

The political show industry in The West Empire is for the entertainment and confusion of the plebs (and for servile European politicians who, as vassals, cannot afford the luxury of their bosses' cynicism)
 
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W20

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2016

It was the year of the very very big controversy within the supremacist oligarchy of this colossal, deadly, and decadent empire, heir to the British Empire.

The West Empire

Pharisee-type Zionists nominated Hillary Clinton as their candidate, eager to attack Russia.

Sadducee-type Zionists nominated Donald Likud Trump as their candidate, wanting to see better relations between Washington and Moscow to attack Syria, Lebanon, Yemen, and Persia.
 

drowingfish

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China’s unspoken question: who will succeed Xi Jinping?​


Yin Li, 62, and Chen Wenqing, 65, a former intelligence officer who now oversees China's legal system, seem to be good candidates.

I believe that Ding Xuexiang and Wang Huning are weak for different reasons, Ding because of a poor professional background and Wang because he has no career in regional administration.

In addition, there seems to be a clear division within the Party's affairs and it is becoming quite obvious: Li Qiang - Economy, Development and Society; Cai Qi - Party and National Security.

Although I think it is still premature to discuss Xi Jinping's succession. The main focus is on Xi Jinping's re-election in 2027 as party leader and in 2028 as head of the country - until 2032-2033, inclusive.

However, it is true that the election cycle has been launched not only for the leader, but also, firstly, for the future premier and, secondly, for the successor, who is expected to be appointed in 2027-2028 as vice-president of the PRC (according to the existing model). More precisely, in the next 2 years, the first round of the game of selecting a successor will take place - the "selection" of those who definitely will not enter, without getting into the Politburo.

The game of the successor may be complicated by a major administrative reform and the reform of the Secretariat of the Central Committee of the Communist Party; for example, the post of Chairman of the Central Committee will appear, like Mao's, the post of General Secretary will become vacant, there will be a Vice-Chairman of the Central Committee, etc.

For now, the obvious successor is the party boss in Shanghai, Chen Jining. But he could, for example, be retained as premier in place of the current Li Qiang.

Otherwise, almost the entire Politburo youth group is ready for endless party games for the next two years, and then for Xi Jinping’s five-year plan.

…And he just didn’t leave in 2033. During the Cultural Revolution, Mao had many favorites and confidants for this role, from the military man Lin Biao to the head of the personal guard Wang Dongxing, who became Mao’s deputy (he ruled the party for 30 years) and could always replace him. There was Mao’s wife, the actress Jiang Qing, etc. For example, children—children in a hereditary monarchy—are the norm. There are people who are not on Xi’s side—that’s a completely different story.
none of the names you mentioned are close, maybe Chen Jining has a chance but he still lacks experience at the local level. the real contender likely hasn't emerged yet.
 

GulfLander

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China’s unspoken question: who will succeed Xi Jinping?​


Yin Li, 62, and Chen Wenqing, 65, a former intelligence officer who now oversees China's legal system, seem to be good candidates.

I believe that Ding Xuexiang and Wang Huning are weak for different reasons, Ding because of a poor professional background and Wang because he has no career in regional administration.

In addition, there seems to be a clear division within the Party's affairs and it is becoming quite obvious: Li Qiang - Economy, Development and Society; Cai Qi - Party and National Security.

Although I think it is still premature to discuss Xi Jinping's succession. The main focus is on Xi Jinping's re-election in 2027 as party leader and in 2028 as head of the country - until 2032-2033, inclusive.

However, it is true that the election cycle has been launched not only for the leader, but also, firstly, for the future premier and, secondly, for the successor, who is expected to be appointed in 2027-2028 as vice-president of the PRC (according to the existing model). More precisely, in the next 2 years, the first round of the game of selecting a successor will take place - the "selection" of those who definitely will not enter, without getting into the Politburo.

The game of the successor may be complicated by a major administrative reform and the reform of the Secretariat of the Central Committee of the Communist Party; for example, the post of Chairman of the Central Committee will appear, like Mao's, the post of General Secretary will become vacant, there will be a Vice-Chairman of the Central Committee, etc.

For now, the obvious successor is the party boss in Shanghai, Chen Jining. But he could, for example, be retained as premier in place of the current Li Qiang.

Otherwise, almost the entire Politburo youth group is ready for endless party games for the next two years, and then for Xi Jinping’s five-year plan.

…And he just didn’t leave in 2033. During the Cultural Revolution, Mao had many favorites and confidants for this role, from the military man Lin Biao to the head of the personal guard Wang Dongxing, who became Mao’s deputy (he ruled the party for 30 years) and could always replace him. There was Mao’s wife, the actress Jiang Qing, etc. For example, children—children in a hereditary monarchy—are the norm. There are people who are not on Xi’s side—that’s a completely different story.
Curious article from FT.
 

Bellum_Romanum

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What are the best results or policies during current premier, which only 2 years so far ?
Li Qiang - CHINA's 8th Premiere under the leadership and stewardship of the Communist Party of China (CPC).

Response has been provided by DeepSearch feature of Perplexity AI:

What are Li Qiang's key policies since becoming Premier

Li Qiang's Policy Framework as Premier of China: A Comprehensive Analysis

Part I: Introduction and Economic Stimulus Measures
Since assuming the role of Premier in March 2023, Li Qiang has shaped a policy agenda that balances economic modernization, social stability, and environmental sustainability, all under the overarching directives of President Xi Jinping's centralized governance model. His tenure has been marked by a pragmatic approach to structural reforms, aggressive green energy transitions, and assertive foreign policy postures, reflecting both continuity with party priorities and adaptations to emerging challenges. Below is a detailed examination of his key policy initiatives.

Economic Stabilization and Structural Reforms
Incremental Stimulus and Fiscal Prudence
Li Qiang's economic strategy emphasizes targeted stimulus to stabilize growth while avoiding large-scale fiscal expansions that could exacerbate debt risks. In October 2024, he called for the "prompt implementation of incremental policies" to address economic headwinds, urging local governments to accelerate existing measures and devise new plans to meet annual GDP targets. His approach includes tax relief for small businesses, infrastructure investments in transportation and energy, and support for private enterprises through improved access to financing. Despite setting a 5% GDP growth target for 2025—mirroring 2024's goal—Li has maintained a cautious fiscal stance, with the official deficit capped at 4% of GDP, supplemented by off-budget allocations.

Tackling Overcapacity and Market Fragmentation
A critical challenge has been managing overcapacity in strategic sectors like solar photovoltaics (PV) and electric vehicles (EVs), where rapid expansion led to price wars and profit declines. At the 2025 Two Sessions, Li announced stricter market entry standards and a "negative list" to curb redundant investments in emerging industries. This policy aims to reduce cutthroat competition fueled by local governments' rush to attract renewable energy projects, which have driven down solar panel prices by up to 49% since 2023.
 

Bellum_Romanum

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What are the best results or policies during current premier, which only 2 years so far ?
Part II: Economic Restructuring and Green Development
Tackling Overcapacity and Market Fragmentation (continued)

By promoting consolidation and innovation, Li seeks to transition these industries from volume-driven growth to value-added production.

Urbanization and Rural Revitalization
Li has advanced President Xi's dual emphasis on urbanization and rural revitalization as engines of domestic demand. The 2025 Government Work Report (GWR) outlines plans to integrate 100 million rural migrants into cities through housing upgrades, digital infrastructure, and public service improvements. Concurrently, rural reforms focus on land tenure security, agricultural modernization, and poverty alleviation, with measures to expand rural collective economies and attract private investment. These policies aim to bridge the urban-rural income gap, which remains a persistent issue despite decades of growth.

Green Transition and Sustainable Development
The "New Trio" of Industries

Central to Li's environmental agenda is the shift from traditional manufacturing (the "old trio" of clothing, furniture, and appliances) to the "new trio"—solar PV, EVs, and lithium batteries. Under his direction, China has accelerated investments in renewable energy, commissioning as much solar capacity in 2023 as the rest of the world combined. This pivot aligns with the goal of achieving carbon neutrality by 2060, leveraging China's industrial scale and R&D capabilities to dominate global supply chains.

Carbon Market and Ecological Projects
Building on his prior experience in Zhejiang and Jiangsu, Li has prioritized market mechanisms to drive decarbonization. In 2023, he oversaw reforms to the national carbon market, advocating for its expansion into a global carbon trading hub. Additionally, he championed large-scale ecological projects like the Three-North Shelterbelt Forest Program, a desertification control initiative spanning northern China, and promoted integrated wind-solar-agriculture projects in Inner Mongolia to synergize energy production with land restoration.
 
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