Completely agree about not taking war games seriously and to not be overconfident. However these situations are not really connected besides don’t overestimate yourself.
Let’s be real, we have a bunch of anti-imperialists fantasizing about capabilities that certain actors just don’t have. Anyone serious can see why they were wrong even though Israel’s military performance is also kind of bad considering they are having quite a bit of trouble against non state actors backed by a fraudulent regional power which helped create the illusion. It should not take that long even against guerilla warfare because look at who’s supplying the weapons and training vs historical guerilla warfare success.
Hezbollah in particular is not an actual state actor and Lebanon is extremely poor anyways even if they were. Large parts of Syria are not under the control of the state as well. They are not full state actors and have none of the relevant benefits that come with being one. They can’t produce weapons nor do they have any way of even buying them. The fact that Israel is underperforming so hard is kind of incredible because they have a solid economy with some real production and a blank check from the US. Even then, Hezbollah with a decapitated leadership still matched up well on the military side.
