Moving on, Syria from Homs up is under HTS and Turkish proxy control, and Damascus will almost certainly fall to the "Southern Operations Room" of factions from the less Islamist Southern Front, which apparently were left completely intact when they formed a truce with the government a few years ago and now switched sides again. Difficult to imagine the latter, especially the Druze forces in the southern mountains, accepting the authority of HTS (or HTS leading democratic elections while cracking down on dissent just moments ago! Shocking how easily propagandists reminding you of Ba'ath atrocities can't seem to remember al-Nusra's, or bizarrely taking the "we've changed!" pleas at face value) The Revolutionary Commando Army under US protection at Tanf is also seizing Palmyra and the border, and I am assuming that they are the same group that has appeared north and northeast of Damascus.
and again, the SAA retreating without fighting from Homs
and Hezbollah also retreating to Lebanon
while the Ba'ath leaders fleeing from Homs to the Alawite coast, which they should have done from the beginning.
That leaves us with a 4-way division of a second civil war, one in each cardinal direction: Alawite Arabs, Sunni Syrian Arabs, Kurds, and foreign Sunnis. The first may not exist for long, either politically or ethnically, a fate that no group in Syria had to contemplate before now. The Arab Winter marches on.
