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manqiangrexue

Brigadier
Look at these comments... There is not one person who thinks that the killer should be caught or that the CEO didn't deserve to get murdered. I bet you the shooter would be welcomed to shelter in any home during a manhunt. Americans are really only anti-communism pro-capitalism because they don't know what these words mean; they are just taught to love and hate without understanding or reason.
 
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Randomuser

Major
Registered Member
And thus another chapter seems to be ending soon. What I'm amazed is how it just happened so fast. Like not much happened for years and suddenly the government is gone in like 2 weeks.

They had the chance to finish the job but they didn't and now they're paying the price. But to be fair even if they did make the mistake letting the rebels rearm, one would not expect them to just collapse after two weeks.
 

pmc

Colonel
Registered Member
Since the Syrian thread is temporarily shut down, Assad looks like he might lose this time. The collapse is happening unabated. The last major city before Damascus is Homs.

I don't think the Mossad/CIA/Turkey-sponsored jihadists will rule the country. Instead, it will be a free-for-all like Libya. Carved out areas where each sectarian group fights the others. Perpetual chaos but there will be attempts made by Israel and its proxies (the US) to cut off supplies to Hezbollah.

Syria is only something like 10-15% Alevi and add another 10% Christians. Assad's rule was never popular with the conservative Sunni majority, who form two-thirds of the population. Many clearly show themselves willing to ally with Israel and the West as long as they can engage in sectarian conflict against Shias, Christians or Alevis.

The fate of Assad remains up in the air. While he is unlikely to rule Syria, I could see him retreating to Tartus (the Alevi hearland) and become a warlord in service of the Russians. If the Russians don't throw him under the bus or he gets assassinated first.

I think the sanctions did far more harm than most people realised. The state is bankrupt and there are reports of soldiers just switching sides in exchange for bribes. Neither Iran nor Russia seem willing to bail out the regime this time.
two thirds means 66.66% which is a bit off the mark. Sunni by religion will be closer to 90% now. Sunni Arabs greater than 80%.
Syria is not part of Russia North-South Corridor . The Project to gain further Arabic Soft Power. I dont know why Russia associated this long with this leftist government except for Soviet inertia. Large Families of Russia are not just elite of Russia they can remake Islamic world to put it mildly. Its Putin that is in polite schemes.

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GulfLander

Brigadier
Registered Member
Assad is a medical doctor so he has at least somewhat above average IQ.

An intelligent but weak man is sometimes a worse leader than a dumb but decisive brute.

If Assad really went for a govt in exile, will Syria still continue applying for Brics? Or maybe BRI? Its one of the few asian countries facing med. sea right?
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zhangjim

Junior Member
Registered Member
I think the sanctions did far more harm than most people realised. The state is bankrupt and there are reports of soldiers just switching sides in exchange for bribes. Neither Iran nor Russia seem willing to bail out the regime this time.
That is quite severe sanctions, and even our country currently has no willingness to confront the comprehensive sanctions imposed by the US(Of course, this is an economic nuclear weapon that does not distinguish between friend and foe). Many countries have already suffocated in this deadly sanction. Under the pressure of superpowers, small countries are sadly crushed like ants.

The United States' strategy of forcing people to change their stance through extreme blockade has once again been successful. In order to end the days of despair, it seems that Syrians can only choose to step into hell.
If Assad really went for a govt in exile, will Syria still continue applying for Brics? Its one of the few asian countries facing med. sea right?
It is evident that Syria no longer has a future.
Erdogan, the savior of Israel, can he control the situation in Syria? How far is he from becoming the new Ottoman Sultan?
These Arabs still cannot change their sectarian stance and devote all their energy to the endless civil war. They will only become vassals of the United States, Israel and Turkey.

To be honest, can China really achieve its strategic goals in the face of such an extremely divided region? It seems that the enemy's mutual cooperation is impeccable.
 
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