Ukrainian War Developments

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Weaasel

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The latest Russian movements and reinforcements suggest that the Russians are not just focusing on the Donbas. Large armored concentrations are now entering Ukraine around Sumy and Kharkiv as well. This does make sense strategically, since the Russians can't leave the Kharkiv front too exposed, otherwise the Ukrainians might counter-attack along their vulnerable flanks in Luhansk. It seems what's changing is that the Russians are just deploying to the eastern front all along the former border with Ukraine. This makes it easier to resupply their armies and makes the Russian war effort much more focused and concentrated. Kyiv and Chernihiv were disasters from the start, so the Russians were right to get out of there. We'll see if they have better luck around Sumy and Kharkiv the second time around.
Those formations around Sumy and Kharkiv are probably to keep Ukrainians in check there. I doubt that the Russians will truly try to encircle them or take them. The Russians will go very cautiously and deliberately around there if and when they make advances. No more foolish Zerg Rushes well ahead of logistics and supplies and without proper and/or overwhelming air support.

The Russians learned their lessons of the 1st Chechen War that they applied in the 2nd Chechen War after being chastened. The Kyiv- Chernihiv operation was a disaster because they had forgotten their humiliation of the 1st Chechen War and decided to throw away caution assuming or gambling that the Ukrainians would sue for peace the moment the Russians showed up at Kiev's doorstep. They never had remotely close to the number of personnel and equipment necessary to surround, yet alone take Kiev. Having been chastened by that failure, the Russians will act accordingly this time around.
 

Overbom

Brigadier
Registered Member
Putin didn't take this war seriously and instead treated it as a joke or as an easy thing

This is what I posted in day 1-3 of the war when I saw that Russia didnt treat this war as how all wars should be treated, a life or death matter. It still applies today, one month after I posted it
quote-war-is-a-matter-of-vital-importance-to-the-state-the-province-of-life-or-death-the-road-...jpg
 

Stealthflanker

Senior Member
Registered Member
Rogozin appears to be stating the Russians are quitting the International Space Station.

this poor Grandpa really can use spoke person. people on twitter already twist the old man's word and the old man seems happy to troll too.

Other than that.. SpaceX better comes up with solution fast.
 

Overbom

Brigadier
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Intrepid

Major
One thing is clear: as long as Russia occupies parts of Ukraine, all cooperation with Russia will be gradually reduced. Some things happened quickly, as you can see from the sanctions. Other things take longer, like the cooperation in the ISS or the oil and gas deliveries. You can't just turn off the gas tap, you would have to burn the extracted gas on the spot. All boreholes are now gradually being sealed until the last gas has been delivered in a year and a half.

After that, Russia is isolated like North Korea.
 

Overbom

Brigadier
Registered Member
One thing is clear: as long as Russia occupies parts of Ukraine, all cooperation with Russia will be gradually reduced. Some things happened quickly, as you can see from the sanctions. Other things take longer, like the cooperation in the ISS or the oil and gas deliveries. You can't just turn off the gas tap, you would have to burn the extracted gas on the spot. All boreholes are now gradually being sealed until the last gas has been delivered in a year and a half.

After that, Russia is isolated like North Korea.
Damage is done already, there is no turning back from this

As for Europeans celebrating it as a win to have a North Korea next to them... good luck lol.
How about they go and ask S.Korea what it feels like to have N.Korea next them. Make that x10 and that's what the EU will get with Russia next to it.
 
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