Ukrainian War Developments

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Abominable

Major
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Once Putin steps down, it could severely weaken United Russia (UR), his political party. If UR cannot find a worthy successor, then that does looks like a serious problem for them.

Having said that, the second most popular political party in Russia after UR is the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (CPRF). If for whatever reason United Russia does poorly the next election, the CPRF is poised to take significant power. Since Putin has already cleaned out many CIA-NED nests in Russia, Western-aligned politicians cannot go very far in Russian elections. An alternative CPRF-led government, or CPRF-UR coalition government still looks quite China-friendly.

Whatever happens after Putin steps down, there is still a strong momentum for anti-West politics in Russia. The West is not likely to ease off trying to colonize and balkanize Russia anytime soon. So that'll sure help to keep that momentum strong.
Ironically, the months before this conflict have been Putin's weakest domestically. Russia was affected very badly by the pandemic, and he withdrew from public for a month. The communists were stronger than they've been since the USSR.

I'd imagine his popularity to improve with his policy on Ukraine.
 

james smith esq

Senior Member
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How serious a threat are those ATGMs to a Russian armoured advance? I tend to think that Ukraine's flat terrain and cold weather would make ATGM teams vulnerable to detection by drones equipped with thermal vision. Thoughts?
Generally tanks don’t advance without infantry or artillery support. They’ll, probably, have attack helo support, as well. Additionally, Russian reactive armor seems to be quite effective.
 

Abominable

Major
Registered Member
How serious a threat are those ATGMs to a Russian armoured advance? I tend to think that Ukraine's flat terrain and cold weather would make ATGM teams vulnerable to detection by drones equipped with thermal vision. Thoughts?
They've had a number of different western platforms delivered to them in the past 3 years. Must be a logistical nightmare, and I wonder how well they've been trained in using them.

For them to work soldiers need to stand and fight. The Ukrainian army failed to do that in the last conflict, I doubt this one will be any different.
 

Overbom

Brigadier
Registered Member
Ironically, the months before this conflict have been Putin's weakest domestically. Russia was affected very badly by the pandemic, and he withdrew from public for a month. The communists were stronger than they've been since the USSR.

I'd imagine his popularity to improve with his policy on Ukraine.
Sanctions seem to be strong this time (if he fully invades) so I am not sure how high his popularity will be if he fully invades Ukraine.

Question time:
Anyone knowns the policies supported by the communist party in Russia? Are they similar with the CPC ?
 

Abominable

Major
Registered Member
Sanctions seem to be strong this time (if he fully invades) so I am not sure how high his popularity will be if he fully invades Ukraine.

Question time:
Anyone knowns the policies supported by the communist party in Russia? Are they similar with the CPC ?
Domestically they are socialist but committed to democracy. Most of the old USSR era party has been dismantled. They want to be tough on the oligarchs.

On foreign policy they are very hawkish. Like Putin on steroids.

Not much like the CPC.
 

solarz

Brigadier
Domestically they are socialist but committed to democracy. Most of the old USSR era party has been dismantled. They want to be tough on the oligarchs.

On foreign policy they are very hawkish. Like Putin on steroids.

Not much like the CPC.

The problem is, it doesn't matter what their purported policy is, without a strong leadership, any party is prone to being corrupted.
 
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