Ukrainian War Developments

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anzha

Senior Member
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But in the big picture, it's pretty insignificant.

I agree, actually. It's just surprising.

This will be great for morale: don't underestimate that, actually. That is a win for the Ukrainians.

If this becomes a common action, then it will be a big deal. Unless, the Russians have overcentralized and don't have backup facilities. I doubt that, but I've been wildly wrong on the actual logistics and performance of the Russian Armed Forces so far.

They'll probably make a movie out of it mark my words ;)

Oh gawd. I can see it now. Tom Cruise as Maverick who hops in a chopper to should the Ukrainians how its done along with his renegade Ukrainian AF buddy. This allows the Ukrainians to go on to win. I'm...gonna be sick now. Hollywood? if you're listening, you know this guy a fsck ton of money and a very large toilet for me to vomit in.

Well played, @lapain . Well, played.
 

Overbom

Brigadier
Registered Member
Russia parked 2 A-50s in Belarus but apparently aren't watching their own back yard.
To be fair, it is possible Ukr chopper attacked in between gaps of AWAC patrols, they'd be waiting for NATO intel for when that happens.

I'm assuming Russian does have regular AWAC patrol, it may not be true at all.... I assume they do, because it is not only needed for air defense, it is also needed to spot many other stuffs on the ground, like MLRS/ballistic missile launches.
Wikipedia says they only have 15 AWACs. Take into account maintenance issues and that they have to cover the entire country and to guard against US/NATO shenanigans, and you soon realise that AWACs are a very limited resource for Russia.

All the bad past procurement decisions are now coming back to bite them
 

lapain

New Member
Registered Member
I hope after this event, they would take this more seriously and reflect on their weaknesses and mistakes. This war has shown what Russia lacks in and is incompetent in.

Russia sure has had some mishaps, but unpopular opinion here, this one event is not really incompetence. It happens when war is fought in large areas between evenly matched adversaries. The F-117 shot down over Serbia might have been incompetence, I think not, it's what happens when the other side mobilizes some ressources, some know how and some guts.
 

anzha

Senior Member
Registered Member
Fine, that means we will just going to have to let them fight each other until one side come out victorious.

You have two of the most stubborn cultures I've encountered in my life at actual war with each other. Yes, JB. Yes. This is the only way it will play out.

The F-117 shot down over Serbia might have been incompetence,

Off topic for this thread, but the F-117 shoot down was absolutely incompetence. The aircraft used the same flight path EVERY night. That's a failure on the case of mission planners. That was a failure on the case of the pilot. Hubris might have been what fed that incompetence, but was it was incompetence all the same.
 

tygyg1111

Captain
Registered Member
Ukrainian Air Force just had its own big brain moment hahahaha

"We have not received the tools we need to defend our sky and achieve victory.
In the sky, the greatest need is for fighter jets - F-15s and F-16s of the fourth generation or higher would be sufficient; pilots can learn to fly these with just 2-3 weeks of training. (12/16)"
reminds me of this:
 

pmc

Major
Registered Member
What's most impressive is actually the fact that they have the strategic intelligence to conduct such an operation. This is quite strategic. As this fuel station would be an important logistic node supporting the Russian operations against Kharkov. I think they are backed by US intelligence.
I dont know why its strategic. when satellites can see where the airdefense systems located and they planned for gaps inside.
The fact that could not use missile or MLRS but need to send choppers for oil storage show more desperation.
 

Weaasel

Senior Member
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Well more than just some mishaps... Especially in the North... I do not know whether Russia has finally readjusted to the realities of those mishaps at the onset of the war - especially the lack of caution and assuming the the Ukrainians were an absolute push over and thinking they'd actually just surrender if the Russians showed up.

Russia had better get much nastier, while retaining caution in the East. They are still fighting a limited style war there against the largest and well armed concentration of the enemy's forces instead of bringing the full effect of their combined arms conventional fire power to bear.
 

RottenPanzer

Junior Member
Registered Member
The ERA tile got hit, but I have no idea why a fire broke out at the lower section. My wild guess is part of the undetonated warhead caught on fire in that area.
A possibility that the tank was knocked out? This is my assumption from seeing the fire came out of the lower turret section
Russia sure has had some mishaps, but unpopular opinion here, this one event is not really incompetence. It happens when war is fought in large areas between evenly matched adversaries. The F-117 shot down over Serbia might have been incompetence, I think not, it's what happens when the other side mobilizes some ressources, some know how and some guts.
Pretty sure F-117 shot down was purely because of luck and "coincidences"
 
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