The familiar competence with OPSEC we've come to expect from the Russian army:
The War in the Ukraine
- Thread starter SampanViking
- Start date
NATzO jumping in to the meat grinder would be the best scenario. This will give Russia the opportunity to liberate occupied Russian territories in the baltics and in Finland.
Meanwhile, NATzO invasion force attempting to cross river goes BOOM!!
In respect of manpower however. One argue that Ukraine already mobilized, so it wont short out of manpower for training in new weapons. For Western MBT, the best case is they only need to train loader "anew" as that's the only position lacking in their tank forces.
At worst however we will see reduction from 4 tank platoon to 3 tank platoon as 1 tank's crews have to be loader for the other 3 in that platoon.
Aircrafts tho is more complex, and relies on the possibility that Russians wont go all out and crater every single airfield like what they seems to be doing atm (Uzhorod international seems not bombed at all, and it has kind of long runaway suitable for fighters)
At worst however we will see reduction from 4 tank platoon to 3 tank platoon as 1 tank's crews have to be loader for the other 3 in that platoon.
Aircrafts tho is more complex, and relies on the possibility that Russians wont go all out and crater every single airfield like what they seems to be doing atm (Uzhorod international seems not bombed at all, and it has kind of long runaway suitable for fighters)
Strange, not a lot of signal from Mariupol region. Not a lot of troops left behind.
Tanks are a liability for Ukraine. They use too much fuel and engagement range is too short. Tigr chassis Kornet D tank destroyers would eat them alive. Also, Ukraine's only oil refinery was cruise missiled again today. There is no fuel for Ukrainian army for the whole year at the very least. Yeah, you can have a thousand tanks, but without fuel you ain't getting anywhere.
It look a lot like the same bridge location that have been destroyed by Ukrainian ''airpower'' ? At least we have video of the strike if it's the same. It look like a low flying guided missile, doesn't look like artillery.
That would suggest the ukrainians are trying to pass a russian attack as their own. But its hard to tall as riverbanks look all the same.
Reporting pattern has to be followed. Amplify Russian losses and downplay advances.
The way this incident is being reported you'd think they did not cross the river and seize territory on the other side
Mobilization harms the nation as a whole. In WW1 mobilization caused revolution in Germany and Russia as farmers were diverted away from farms causing food shortage. Ukraine cannot afford mobilization indefinitely. On the other hand, Russia is functioning as normal without mobilization. Time is on Russia's side, not on Ukraine's side.
Yeah I think this is basically correct. And one of the best examples of this is the Russian attack on Izium a couple of months back. You may remember that after the Russians captured most of Izium, they were having a hard time beating back the Ukrainian forces ensconced in the southern part of the city, across the Donets River (the Donets runs right through Izium). So the Russians, in one of their more brilliant maneuvers of the war, crossed the Donets River further south and came up on the Ukrainians in the city from the rear. That led to the collapse of the Ukrainian position in the city. Ukrainian propaganda went on about how one of the Russian pontoons had been destroyed. Meanwhile, the Russians got plenty of forces across the river through the other pontoon and captured one of the most important cities in the eastern front!