Found it in net. Not sure if it's true. 76k+killed & 42k+ wounded in Ukr army
This would be the first instance of modern conflict with the dead outnumbering the wounded almost 2:1 when in every other instance it's 1:2 or 1:3, even going as far as WW1.
I analyzed the image in a raster editing software and the "7" in the 76 640 doesn't match the other two in the main text or the other sevens in the document (header, footer etc). Fonts are described by numerical values. You can't have two sevens with a thick top horizontal line, and one seven without it if you are using a computer-generated font. It looks edited in but when I copied the sevens below it looked much more believable. It's as if someone wanted to do a bad job on purpose. Very strange. Perhaps it's deliberate to discover a leak?
16k to 42k would be what I would expect and it is still very high casualty rate for six months of fighting when you consider what actually happens on modern battlefield and how casualties are responded to. Russian armed forces losses would be half of it and LPR, DPR and contractors bring it to parity.
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This is my attempt to map all the aircraft losses - jets and helicopters - from 24 February to 22 August. I used Wikipedia and Lostarmour and cross-referenced both. Icons are described with dd/mm and color for aircraft type. Bottom left is reported losses without location. The placement of icons indicates approximate location. Dashed grey line indicates fighter losses in the Kiyv region and helo losses during the Hostomel assault. Aircraft icons with "explosion" indicate aircraft destroyed in ground strikes.
All images are in thumbnails because of size.
This is the location of Ukrainian tactical aviation and air defense regiments under the Air Force and helicopter brigades under Army Aviation and aviation units of the Russian Aerospace Forces.
All jet losses 24 Feb-22 Aug
All helo losses 24 Feb-22 Aug
Combined jet and helo losses divided into four main phases:
Phase 1: 24 Feb - 28 Feb (initial assault, attempt to establish air supremacy and capture Hostomel)
Phase 2: 1 Mar - 31 Mar (continuing ground assault at Kiyv)
Phase 3: 1 Apr - 31 May (Donbas offensive during the "second phase" of the invasion)
Phase 4: 1 June - 22 Aug (GMLRS strikes begin 25 June)
There is a clear drop-off of Russian aviation activity beginning with the end of April. It is caused mainly by mechanical factors. Two months of continued operations is a very long period of activity and RuAF is not the best in terms of sustainment. That forces an operational pause throughout most of May, June and July with much reduced sortie rates. The recent information was that RuAF flew ~200 sorties per day while UAF flew ~30. Russian number includes all sorties - transport, CAP, bomber etc. Ukrainian number includes combat missions for jets and helos.
The losses are distributed in the above four phases as follows:
UKRAINE
- 24-28/2 - 20 jets,
- 1-31/3 - 14 jets, 14 helos
- 1/4-31/5 - 4 jets, 1 helo
- 1/6-22/8 - 4 jets,
RUSSIA
- 24-28/2 - 2 jets, 6 helos
- 1-31/3 - 15 jets, 11 helos
- 1/4-31/5 - 5 jets, 5 helos
- 1/6-22/8 - 16 jets (including 9 from Saky), 4 helos
The opening assault 24-28/2 follows Desert Storm dynamic but the subsequent month demonstrates:
- Russia couldn't establish control of the skies because of lack of SEAD capability
- Kiyv operation caused air force to take losses while supporting the failed ground assault.
Currently the losses for UAF are estimated at:
- Su-24M: 12 of initial 12-15.
- Su-25: 10 of 30. Additional 4 delivered as aircraft and 14 as parts.
- MiG-29: 14-20 (varies) of 51 (43A + 8UB). Additional 28-40 delivered as parts.
- Su-27: 4 of 32 (26 S/P + 6 UB)
- Mi-24: 1 of (nominal) 48. Additional 15-24 delivered as parts.
- Mi-8: 14 of (nominal) 50+. Additional 24 delivered from US and more as parts.
Wear should be considered as well. At minimum 1 aircraft lost to wear per 1 aircraft lost in combat. It won't show up in the stats but won't take part in combat. Applies to Russia more than Ukraine due to higher number of airframes. Ukrainian aircraft are few but have disproportionate resources directed toward maintaining their operational status.
This means that a maximum of 12 Su-25, 12-16 MiG-29, 12 Su-27, and 1-2 Su-24M should be mission-capable at any time. The biggest problem is shortage of pilots.
Main obstacle is lack of ARH missiles. MiG-29 carries 2 R-27 and 4 R-73. Su-27 carries up to 6 R-27 and 4 R-73. R-27s are SARH but Su-27s have better range and more missiles which allows them to fire (and lose) multiple shots at target. MiGs with 2 R-27 are useful against Su-25s and helos and serve as bait and gap-filler in other situations.
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