The War in the Ukraine

Sinnavuuty

Senior Member
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The consequences of another Ukrainian drone attack on the Morozovsk airfield in the Rostov region.

The attack was carried out against a group of Su-34 fighter-bombers, however, it appears that at the time of arrival they were already absent from the scene. At the same time, another drone managed to collapse the roof of what was presumably a light maintenance hangar where other aircraft were being serviced.

The enemy has repeatedly tried to attack this air base with kamikaze drones. One of the last occurred in April and did not reach the target thanks to air defense work, the other occurred in December last year and caused minor damage to an Su-34.

However, these incidents failed to shake the command's reinforced concrete confidence in the futility of aircraft shelters. Apparently they are waiting for ATACMS to arrive.
Another pro-Russian channel is unhappy with the inaction of the VKS in the lack of construction of shelters for aircraft, following attacks with more than 30 Ukrainian drones on the Morozovsk airfield

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Now the US Navy MQ-4C Triton strategic reconnaissance UAV with number 169660 and call sign BLKCAT6, which monitored the situation in the Gaza Strip on June 10, has joined the work in the neutral waters of the Black Sea.

The route is standard.
I think it's a first for the MQ-4C.
 

taxiya

Brigadier
Registered Member
Is the concept of it being a "maneuverable, not ballistic missile" widely recognized? The Wiki for ATACMS calls it a ballistic missile and doesn't make that distinction for example.
That is really a marketting game. The missile is a symetric body with tail fins which gives the missile certain degree of maneuverability. It is the same tech of MARV (maneuverable reentry vehicle). This has been done by many countries such as Russia (iskander) and China (DF-21 series) for example. The "not ballistic missile" is what the manufacturer calls it. I don't know how Russia catagorize iskander, but from my reading of China's papers, it is called ballistic missile with maneuverability. I think I have heard "quassi ballistic missile" being used widely in the western media when referring such missiles.

For military planner and scientists, it doesn't matter how you call it. It only matters for company to sell it, for this purpose "ballistic" is old-fasioned and low tech which you want to stay as far away as possible.
 

Sinnavuuty

Senior Member
Registered Member
That is really a marketting game. The missile is a symetric body with tail fins which gives the missile certain degree of maneuverability. It is the same tech of MARV (maneuverable reentry vehicle). This has been done by many countries such as Russia (iskander) and China (DF-21 series) for example. The "not ballistic missile" is what the manufacturer calls it. I don't know how Russia catagorize iskander, but from my reading of China's papers, it is called ballistic missile with maneuverability. I think I have heard "quassi ballistic missile" being used widely in the western media when referring such missiles.

For military planner and scientists, it doesn't matter how you call it. It only matters for company to sell it, for this purpose "ballistic" is old-fasioned and low tech which you want to stay as far away as possible.
One of the appropriate terms would be semi-ballistic or aero-ballistic missile. In this case, the missile has small wings (which look like fins because they are so small) and flies for some time (of course, horizontally), and when the fuel runs out, it plummets into a ballistic trajectory, for example the ATACMS, Iskander, etc.
 

Sinnavuuty

Senior Member
Registered Member
So this brings me back to me previous question. Why is ATACMS having success against these Russian surface to air missile sites? Did these sites just not have enough interceptors on hand to target the incoming ATACMS barrage? Is ATACMS more effective than previously thought in this role?
Let's highlight here first that the maximum depth of Ukrainian artillery was 90 km with the M-30 and M-31 guided rockets of the MLRS/HIMARS systems. To avoid being exposed, the launchers must be about 30 km from the front line, which gives only 60 km of capacity to attack in depth.

With ATACMS this range will be multiplied by 4.4 times, reaching a depth of 270 km. As a result, long-range SAM systems will either have to move away or be destroyed, because they are clearly high-value targets. The difference is that the ATACMS has the ability to reach Mach 4 and this greatly reduces the probability of the SAM intercepting.

As there are no long-range SAM batteries, air superiority is established on the Ukrainian side and the implementation of CAS becomes possible. Better if it is done by the F-16.

Docked ships would be easy prey. But there is a version of the ATACMS with a 230 kg unitary warhead that can act in 3 ways: penetration (delay fuze), explosion at ground level (contact fuze) and explosion in the air (proximity fuze).

If it is against air defenses, the ideal would be to program the missile to explode in the air, launching shrapnel over a very wide area, which appears to be what is happening.

If it is against ships, you can opt for a contact or penetration explosion.

If it is a bunker or a building, the penetration blast is better.

In theory, such Russian SAMs are capable of shooting down. The S-400 system and the S-300V are said to be capable of intercepting missiles with speeds of the order of 3 km/s. ATACMS peaks at 1.3 km/s. But we know that intercepting ballistic and semi-ballistic missiles is not an exact science.

As we are seeing the performance of ATACMS vs Russian SAMs, regardless of any loss claims, ATACMS is doing very well. Systems like the S-400 and S-300V were made exactly to intercept missiles like the ATACMS.

Russian SAMs were performing reasonably well against M-30/31, HIMARS rockets are much easier to intercept than ATACMS. Their speed does not exceed Mach 2 and they are ballistic (even guided rockets have little maneuverability, only in the terminal phase and enough to refine aim), while the ATACMS is semi-ballistic (aero-ballistic), with some maneuverability in the different phases of the trajectory and speed of Mach 4. Basically the HIMARS rockets would have to be intercepted by systems like Pantsir which is more appropriate for the C-RAM function. But what also ended up affecting the performance of the M-30/31 was degradation of accuracy through EW.
 

taxiya

Brigadier
Registered Member
There can be multiple salvos of various types of ammunitions launched from same launchers, ATACMS, GLSDB and standard HIMARs ammunition, all can be timed to reach target around same time, GLSDB can gluide around and approach target from multiple angles etc.

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Biden, Zelensky to sign 10-year U.S.-Ukraine security deal at G-7 summit​

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I think if there was any hesitation and delays in last few months, now it's clear, they'll have Russia dogged down for years and years in Ukraine. They will keep escalating as needed to keep this war going on for as long as necessary.
So the west "confesticated" Russian money for "invasion of Ukraine" but kept the money for themselves, then put debt on Ukraine for using the Russian money. If we look from Ukrainian's perspective, it is getting indebtted for its "own" moeny, that reminds me of the saying "被卖了还替别人数钱". From the western perspective, I can't think of any "ingenious" way of getting rich than this one. I must say that both Ukraine and the west deserves each other.
 

Atomicfrog

Major
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Detailed report on the drone attack at Morosovsk AB:

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VKS look like they don't care a lot about losses when you have one years to react and let your base without basic passive aircrafts protection...

Russian army put barns on tanks... can VKS just build steel barns to put their fighter in ? It would stop most shrapnels at least...
 

SolarWarden

Junior Member
Registered Member
They hit the airfield with drones so where's the Russian CAP?

Unlike the US the Russians and Chinese pretty much keep quiet on the MCR (Mission Capable Rate) of their Flanker fleet but the rumors have been that Flankers are hangar queens and now in time of war it could be the rumor is true. It doesn't make sense for a top 3 air force after two years of war to not have CAP at least the general area where there is war. At least have an AWACS flying so that it can scramble fighters to intercept incoming drones.
 

supersnoop

Major
Registered Member
They hit the airfield with drones so where's the Russian CAP?

Unlike the US the Russians and Chinese pretty much keep quiet on the MCR (Mission Capable Rate) of their Flanker fleet but the rumors have been that Flankers are hangar queens and now in time of war it could be the rumor is true. It doesn't make sense for a top 3 air force after two years of war to not have CAP at least the general area where there is war. At least have an AWACS flying so that it can scramble fighters to intercept incoming drones.

Are you joking? China keeps quiet on a lot of things. We know the Chinese Flankers are flying regularly, just ask the Taiwan Airspace monitors.
 
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