The War in the Ukraine

Soldier30

Senior Member
Registered Member
Ukrainian kamikaze UAVs attacked a Russian oil refinery in the city of Tuapse and an oil depot in Novorossiysk this morning. Ukrainian kamikaze drones “Lyuty” from Ukroboronprom, developed in 2023, were used for the attack. The kamikaze UAV "Fierce" is made of fiberglass with epoxy resin, the design uses metal mesh reinforcement and plywood to provide rigidity. The drone has a German 50-horsepower Hirth F-23 gasoline engine.
The UAV is aimed at the target using an inertial system with correction based on a satellite signal. The weight of the UAV is about 300 kg, the mass of the warhead is from 50 to 75 kg, the flight range is up to 1000 km. Cruising speed: 150-180 km/h, flight duration about 8 hours. The price of the "Fierce" UAV is about 200 thousand dollars.

 

MortyandRick

Senior Member
Registered Member
There had already been evidence of destruction of equipment, from images offered from Russian sources

For the unbelievers, who say that "everything is fine", "nothing happens", "they only attacked decoys", nothing better than high quality images, so that they leave their absurd fanatical narrative, and deal with the subject with a little more serious

greetings
I see. So this damage to Russia is for sure definitely true with image proof.

But the patriot radar that got struck a little while back was most definitely a decoy and couldn't be anything else, as mentioned by some members here.

Not to say Russia didn't take damage, but a hard to justify one but not the other.
 

Santamaria

Junior Member
Registered Member
There had already been evidence of destruction of equipment, from images offered from Russian sources

For the unbelievers, who say that "everything is fine", "nothing happens", "they only attacked decoys", nothing better than high quality images, so that they leave their absurd fanatical narrative, and deal with the subject with a little more serious

greetings
You talked about death pilots using a the telegram channel.

Also I don’t know what you try to proof with such photos.

Who can you know that those are real planes used and not some old su27 without any function specially let there as decoys?

You can apply exactly the same logic you were using with Ukraine patriot. They would not let three there so obvious if it would not be a decoy.

Of course your mind is blind of supremacism and Russophobia so you can easily justify this discrepancy saying Russians are stupid.

Also it is pretty funny that you are portraying this as Ukraine inflicting some key damage.
I mean they have destroyed couple of Su27 and Mig29. Pretty old aircrafts that could be even not working and just there.
Only real value is the Mig31 (if is not a decoy :) in your arguments) although less important now that Su34 also can launch Kinzhal.

And for that attack Ukraine is said to have used 20 ATACMS, 20% of the total it has received, as well as the full intel support from NATO planes in Black Sea.

You know which day you will know that some hit is really critical against Russia? The day they will start shooting down the planes over the Black Sea
 

MarKoz81

Junior Member
Registered Member
Hi all, I found this video doing a comparison of NATO tanks and Soviet tanks on the Ukraine battlefield:


I'd be interested in hearing what the video got right, and what it got wrong.

If you can provide transcript for the video I can tell you.

In the meantime:

You can't compare tanks unless you have meaningful parameters and ceteris paribus of:
  • similar doctrine,
  • tactical level,
  • crew training,
  • combined arms support
  • comparable combat scenarios.
For example it is possible to compare T-72 and T-80 in Russian service during this war but not Russian tanks with Ukrainian tanks. They fight too differently.

Furthermore tanks, more than any other ground combat system, are designed for intended use in large numbers - at the very minimum it is the platoon level for NATO tactics (4 tanks) and company level for Russian tactics (10 tanks). Ideally it is a tank battalion for both.

The misconception comes from the fact that many combat systems can be meaningfully compared 1-on-1. People online like to compare aircraft or warships and these work fairly well 1-on-1. But for example even IFVs are different from tanks in that they can be assessed on three levels:
  • as a company-strength AFV formation fighting at a distance - company of IFVs is fighting
  • a platoon-strength mechanised formation closing the distance to deploy its infantry - platoon of IFVs and infantry are fighting
  • a single vehicle supporting its dismounted squad - infantry squad is fighting and IFV is providing support
Tank tactics don't work like this, even though tanks can be used in the above manner with a degree of success. Tanks are like infantry - they operate in packs. Tanks also have a primary mission on the battlefield which is facilitating breakthrough and the resulting penetration raid in the enemy rear. The second mission is combined armour-infantry assault on defended positions which is the stage immediately before the breakthrough and tanks are used as fire support as well as the force executing the penetration raid in case of success. A single tank providing support or fighting another tank, that's an accident, an error of command or poor planning on higher level.

This is why Russia lost so many tanks during the first assault on Vuhledar in winter last year - they were attempting to use textbook armoured tactics and massed several tank battalions for the purpose of combined arms assault and attempt at breakthrough on a local level. Ukrainian defenses were too strong and the losses were inevitable.

Talking about western tanks is also meaningless because Ukraine is not only not using tanks the way tanks are meant to be used (see above) but from what I've seen they're using NATO vehicles to execute WarPact tactics. There's a reason why Soviet tanks were primitive - they fit the intended tactics. WarPact tactics were primitive because they relied on mass conscription for offensive warfare. Offensive warfare is more difficult than defensive warfare and you can't train conscripts sufficiently well during their time of service. So WarPact used greater numbers and larger tactical formations to compensate for insufficient number of trained officers and NCOs. This is why until mid-80s the tank regiment was 81 tanks in 5 companies of 16 tanks. Each company had platoons commanded by non-commisioned "praporchiki" and tanks commanded by sargeants who were not professional NCOs! It was only in the 1980s that they started to reform their regiments to the current 3x3x(3x3+1) structure.

In WarPact personnel determined tactics and tactics determined tank design and not the other way around. If you give cheap weapons to expensive soldiers you're wasting soldiers' potential. If you give expensive weapons to cheap soldiers you're wasting the weapon's potential.

Using M1A1 the same way that a T-72 was meant to be used is wasting M1's potential. M1A1 were intended to be used by professional crews in cooperation with M2 with professional dismounts. They were also intended for the defensive, not the offensive.

Ukraine got 31 M1A1 - that's a Soviet 1980s tank battalion. The platoons are not meant to be used individually, the company of 10 tanks is the minimum tactical level. Has anyone seen Ukrainians using 10 M1A1's at the same time? I haven't seen them use Leopard 2s properly and they got over twice as many of them as the Abrams.

Before the war Ukraine was attempting to transition to NATO company model with 14 tanks (3x4 +2) while keeping WarPact mech companies with 10 BMPs but as soon as mobilisation entered the picture they reverted to WarPact doctrine since that's what reserves understand and... it is a doctrine designed for mass mobilisation with limited training after all.

Also talking about tank performance when personnel performance - including command - is unknown is wasting time. Ukrainian 47th brigade had best equipment (M2, L2A6) and they failed miserably near Orikhiv because they had poor quality personnel. At the same time experienced mechanised brigades using M113s and T-72s were having success in other parts of the front.

M113 for example is doing surprisingly well in Ukraine because it is tall enough that dynamic mounting/dismounting of troops is possible. BMP-1/2 and BTR-80s have horrible ergonomics because they were meant to dismount only during assault that was performed with numerical superiority and with tank support, and the dismounting was done at approx. 500m before enemy lines while the vehicles were moving forward. It made sense for WarPact at the time but it's a horrible design to do anything else. M113 or YPR-765 with 12,7mm are preferred to BMP-1s with inaccurate Grom guns because of flexibility. Ukrainians love M2s and CV90s because they're better armoured M113 with bigger guns.

As for tanks the opinions I heard is that they acknowledge that they're better than Soviet designs (M1/L2 are generation newer than T-72/80) but they can't really use them properly because they simply don't have the necessary support to mass and utilise tank formations. So instead we're getting Vuhledar but on a smaller scale.

I've heard and read plenty of meaningful comparisons between personnel carriers and artillery but tanks are simply not used in a way that allows for it. Anyone who claims otherwise while relying on OSINT sources is lying but since lying pays online more and more people do it.
 
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Tam

Brigadier
Registered Member
Huge fire in Odessa still burning after yesterday's Iskander strike.

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Not a Lancet but a new yet unannounced mysterious aircraft type kamekaze drone being used by the Russians, striking a Gvozdika SPG and a pickup.

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A similar plane type drone strikes a dugout used by Ukrainian UAV operators.

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A ZALA drone of the 14th Spetznaz Brigade catches the moment a Ukrainian UAV Furia gets shot down by a SAM.

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Canadian Rochel Senator APC found destroyed at the entrance to Volchansk. And a Russian soldier posing next to it indicates this particular entrance has been captured.

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Lancet takes out a Pzh2000 howitzer in the Seversk direction.

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Ukrainian dragon's teeth being referred to as baby teeth. They are much smaller than those used by the Russians.

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A Ukrainian SPG is tracked entering to its hanger lair. The entire hanger was quickly subjected to fire by the 40th Marine Brigade, destroying it completely.

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Budyonny Military Academy in St. Petersburg goes boom, injuring seven people. Not an act of terrorism or war, the culprit lies in a WW2 vintage 76mm shell that exploded.

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A large Ukrainian logistics center in Odessa was destroyed by a missile strike. This could have been the source of the huge fire.

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Staritsa up in the north, now captured by the Russians. Down south the news coming that Georgievka has been captured too.

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Ukrainian howitzer knocked out by Lancet in the northern area.

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Ukrainian equipment knocked out by Krasnopol in the northern area.

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A Gvozdika gets taken out by a Lancet in the northern front.

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Ukrainian positions in Urozhayne gets hit hard by nine glide bombs, could be UMPK or UMPB.

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Sever Spetznaz unit takes out two Ukrainian MLRS with Lancets in the northern front responsible for shelling Belgorod.

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FH-70 howitzer gets hit by a Lancet.

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SolarWarden

Junior Member
Registered Member
Well.... Starting to look like opening Kharkiv front has been a total disaster that Putin is now saying....
NEW: Russian President Vladimir Putin framed Russian offensive operations in northern Kharkiv Oblast as part of Russian efforts to create a "buffer zone" to protect Russian border areas from Ukrainian strikes, confirming ISW's previous assessments.
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Even NATO Supreme Commander is being shall we say blunt by saying...
Russia lacks the necessary resources to breakthrough in Kharkiv, says NATO's Supreme Allied Commander in Europe. "They don't have the skill and the capability", says General Cavoli.
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So-40-50k Russian troops that could have been used in Bakhmut and Avdiivka front were sent to Kharkiv to buffer Belgorod? Two divisions worth? Yikes.
 

Sheleah

Junior Member
Registered Member
you talked about death pilots using a the telegram channel.

no, use a telegram channel of aviators and fans of Russian aviation, which, those who know it, know that it is one of the few objective Russian channels, despite being nationalist... I am very sorry that you do not know how to discern between a fanatical propagandist , and thinking people



Also I don’t know what you try to proof with such photos

nothing, they are images that confirm an effective attack on a Russian base... everything is normal, except for the pro-Russian fans who seem to feel offended because their pamphlet version that "nothing is happening" has been denied.


You can apply exactly the same logic you were using with Ukraine patriot. They would not let three there so obvious if it would not be a decoy.
the mediocre game of fallacy is not necessary... I have never mentioned the Patriots attacks case, so if you want to debate with me, at least have the decency not to invent narratives...




Also it is pretty funny that you are portraying this as Ukraine inflicting some key damage

You have not understood anything... I have never tried to say that Ukraine is winning or destroying Russia... I only mention that the Russians, due to ineptitude, have lost to a rival like Ukraine more than anyone ever imagined before. the war... and that while the Ukrainians are improving their strategic attacks, the Russians remain inert in the face of improving their defenses in a base like Belbek, which with each passing day becomes more vulnerable...

Just as Russia has acted, a base like Belbek, faced with an enemy better equipped than Ukraine, will simply be destroyed at the will of its enemy... and we are not talking about just any base, but a first-class base

His diatribe regarding whether the equipment is decoys or real is simply absurd... The attacks are coming, they are hitting infrastructure, killing military personnel and affecting the base's own operations without the defense systems doing what they are supposed to. What they should do, which is precisely to protect the infrastructure and everything that is there.

Looking for an excuse that planes were not lost to invent the Decoys Comic, is totally absurd... it's your consolation prize... I'm sorry


By the way, the guys from @fighterbomber make an analysis regarding the deficiencies at the Belbek base, after years of war, and what has already been mentioned in this forum, investment is required in concrete structures

He also says that they have not seen a new concrete structure in the Russian bases in the last 50 years, that is, one that adapts to the new planes and their operations, that is, fucking laziness.

So when they talk happily about the Russian military budget, and I found out that they have not been able to invest even in hangars, I can't help but think about Russian corruption and negligence in even having the intention of better protecting their systems, other than with tires and improvised cages

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Cult Icon

Junior Member
Registered Member
Well.... Starting to look like opening Kharkiv front has been a total disaster that Putin is now saying....
NEW: Russian President Vladimir Putin framed Russian offensive operations in northern Kharkiv Oblast as part of Russian efforts to create a "buffer zone" to protect Russian border areas from Ukrainian strikes, confirming ISW's previous assessments.
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Even NATO Supreme Commander is being shall we say blunt by saying...
Russia lacks the necessary resources to breakthrough in Kharkiv, says NATO's Supreme Allied Commander in Europe. "They don't have the skill and the capability", says General Cavoli.

So-40-50k Russian troops that could have been used in Bakhmut and Avdiivka front were sent to Kharkiv to buffer Belgorod? Two divisions worth? Yikes.

This whole post makes little sense (I read all the recent ISW) reports which are somewhat reasonable based on what we know through open sources.

ISW claims are that:

1. The Russians intend to re-open the Kharkiv front to weaken the Eastern front and deplete Ukrainian reserves, which is happening. Ukrainians sent reserve forces, peeled off from a large number of formations. How large this force is remains to be seen, Russian sources are claiming up to 30 infantry battalions (~15,000 troops) , while Ukrainian sources (see Militaryland maps) show that they now outnumber the Russians. The Russians sent in a couple of infantry battalions with armor support.

Whatever the case the more Ukrainian troops are tied up in this new front the weaker they will be in the Donbass.

2. The Russians only used approx. 4,000 out of 31,000 troops in the Belgorod direction, and with relatively few troops had significant success. The other 20,000 troops are in the Sumy & C-gov directions. They also successfully jammed Starlink in the Belgorod front sector and are using drone, artillery, and airstrikes to support the infantry forces. Ukraine claims some 1700 Russian causalities but their claims are as usual dubious.

3. The Buffer zone has been claimed by both sides, it's not a new development. Nor do the Russians have enough troops in Army Group North to take a city as large as Kharkiv. Putin still does not want to launch a 2nd round of mobilization so Russian aspirations are limited.

4. Basically the first phase of the Russian operation is successful, and surprisingly easy for them.
 

CMP

Senior Member
Registered Member
This whole post makes little sense (I read all the recent ISW) reports which are somewhat reasonable based on what we know through open sources.

ISW claims are that:

1. The Russians intend to re-open the Kharkiv front to weaken the Eastern front and deplete Ukrainian reserves, which is happening. Ukrainians sent reserve forces, peeled off from a large number of formations. How large this force is remains to be seen, Russian sources are claiming up to 30 infantry battalions (~15,000 troops) , while Ukrainian sources (see Militaryland maps) show that they now outnumber the Russians. The Russians sent in a couple of infantry battalions with armor support.

Whatever the case the more Ukrainian troops are tied up in this new front the weaker they will be in the Donbass.

2. The Russians only used approx. 4,000 out of 31,000 troops in the Belgorod direction, and with relatively few troops had significant success. The other 20,000 troops are in the Sumy & C-gov directions. They also successfully jammed Starlink in the Belgorod front sector and are using drone, artillery, and airstrikes to support the infantry forces. Ukraine claims some 1700 Russian causalities but their claims are as usual dubious.

3. The Buffer zone has been claimed by both sides, it's not a new development. Nor do the Russians have enough troops in Army Group North to take a city as large as Kharkiv. Putin still does not want to launch a 2nd round of mobilization so Russian aspirations are limited.

4. Basically the first phase of the Russian operation is successful, and surprisingly easy for them.

Russia can simply continue to out-attrit the Ukrainians into oblivion and then take strategic locations that become undermanned in their defenses. A second round of mobilization is entirely unnecessary and probably even counterproductive. Successfully translating Ukraine War experiences into relevant training for the fresh or less experienced recruits will reap far greater rewards. Anyone still trying to claim Ukraine has anything but highly unfavorable attrition rates is just a propagandist.
 
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