The War in the Ukraine

Tam

Brigadier
Registered Member
Ukrainians are saying this is the Russians bombing their own village of Kozinka due to the Ukrainian incursion of Belgorod area. However...

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...This is in fact the Russians bombing AFU warehouses in Malaya Volchya.

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Lancet takes out engineering or demining machines BAT-2 used in the incursion. The reason why the Ukrainians have to bring mine clearing machines is because the Russians use remote mine layers to lay minefields behind every Ukrainian advance, cutting the route from reinforcement, resupply or retreat.

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Another Ukrainian S-300 gets taken out in the Slavyansk region, including 9A83 launcher and 9C32 guidance station.

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36D6M air search radar of the AFU gets taken out by what appears to be a Krasnopol with an Orlan lasing. This in the Chernihiv region, and the distance to the front is about 37km. Conversely, this can also be the work of an X-38ML, which is also laser guided. After the strike that takes out the radar this is followed by a cluster munitions attack, similar to the ones used on the temporary helicopter airfield. This attack I suspect comes from an Uragan MLRS. Due to the ability of the radar to detect low flying objects, destruction of such has a potentially profound effect on the air and drone power balance.

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Shelling of Belgorod from an RM-70 Vampire MLRS.

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Russian 2S3 Akasya at work.

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Destroyed M113.

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Krasnopol destroys AFU equipment in Kalynivka by the 98th VDV.

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Russian artillery takes out Ukrainian supply truck in Chasiv Yar by the Sever-V

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FAB takes out Ukrainian deployment point in Volchansk.

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Krasnopol hits Ukrainian tank in Stupochky.

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... actually more like a Ukrainian SPG.

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Iskander hits a right wing battalion's base in Odessa, taking out it's commander.

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Ukrainian positions being hit by Krasnopols.

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plawolf

Lieutenant General
It’s quite striking (excuse the pun) how many Ukrainian long range SAM batteries the Russians have killed recently*.

It almost feels like a paradigm shift has occurred somehow despite the loss of the A50. Or maybe that’s precisely the intent behind the kill cam release timing.

As we can see from the footage of the first confirmed killed HIMARs, there can be a significant time delay from when something happens and when the Russians release footage of it, almost certainly for opsec reasons to avoid tipping off the Ukrainians on how kills were achieved etc.

As such, just because we are seeing footage of SAM kills now doesn’t necessarily mean the SAM were killed recently or in quick succession as the footage release pattern would imply. It could be that the Ukrainian SAMs were killed over a long period and footage only batch released now. If that is the case, then this steady erosion of Ukrainian air defences might have been what is now allowing the Russians to rain FABs all over the front.

But if the released footage of the SAM kills are all recent, it could mean the Ukrainians are in for a far worse time on the front if they just lost a lot of their air defences, allowing the Russians to rain down even more FABs and other PGMs.
 

supersnoop

Major
Registered Member
That has to be photoshopped right? Like how would that even work in the first place? What internet connection is it using?
That is not just a photoshop, it is a sh*t photoshop

1. The perspective is wrong, the camera is clearly not attached perpendicular to the wing
2. You can see that they tried to compensate that aspect by photoshopping 2 mounts (original is a ceiling mount security cam), but they don't really attach to each other
3. The proportions are all wrong. A Shaheed 136 has like a 250 cm wing span, pretty big, but those cameras are 10cm wide tops. You should be able to fit 25 cameras, but clearly you can't.

I was doing better photoshop when I was 12 years old and copy and pasted WS-1 MLRS on Type-90II and said it was a new China super tank

Anyone who thought this was real for more than 10 seconds should either get their eyes checked or brain checked.
 

SolarWarden

Junior Member
Registered Member
It’s quite striking (excuse the pun) how many Ukrainian long range SAM batteries the Russians have killed recently*.

It almost feels like a paradigm shift has occurred somehow despite the loss of the A50. Or maybe that’s precisely the intent behind the kill cam release timing.

As we can see from the footage of the first confirmed killed HIMARs, there can be a significant time delay from when something happens and when the Russians release footage of it, almost certainly for opsec reasons to avoid tipping off the Ukrainians on how kills were achieved etc.

As such, just because we are seeing footage of SAM kills now doesn’t necessarily mean the SAM were killed recently or in quick succession as the footage release pattern would imply. It could be that the Ukrainian SAMs were killed over a long period and footage only batch released now. If that is the case, then this steady erosion of Ukrainian air defences might have been what is now allowing the Russians to rain FABs all over the front.

But if the released footage of the SAM kills are all recent, it could mean the Ukrainians are in for a far worse time on the front if they just lost a lot of their air defences, allowing the Russians to rain down even more FABs and other PGMs.
Yes all those "batteries" taken out yet no air superiority over the areas where they supposedly took out these batteries. I mean Ukraine only has 2 PAC batteries and folks in here have been posting that a PAC battery has been taken out so there shouldn't be any issue with Russian air force having air superiority over the frontlines since it is the PAC that has been giving flankers the most problems. The only PAC battery left is in Kyiv.
 

TK3600

Major
Registered Member
Yes all those "batteries" taken out yet no air superiority over the areas where they supposedly took out these batteries. I mean Ukraine only has 2 PAC batteries and folks in here have been posting that a PAC battery has been taken out so there shouldn't be any issue with Russian air force having air superiority over the frontlines since it is the PAC that has been giving flankers the most problems. The only PAC battery left is in Kyiv.
We do see a ramp up of airstrikes since then. However SHORAD systems still exists. Russia cannot bomb with impunity even with Patriot battery and S-300 out of action. We are not sure if latter is still active despite large loss.
 
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lych470

Junior Member
Registered Member
Yes all those "batteries" taken out yet no air superiority over the areas where they supposedly took out these batteries. I mean Ukraine only has 2 PAC batteries and folks in here have been posting that a PAC battery has been taken out so there shouldn't be any issue with Russian air force having air superiority over the frontlines since it is the PAC that has been giving flankers the most problems. The only PAC battery left is in Kyiv.
VVS is dropping FABs whenever, wherever they want on the front lines. Sounds like air superiority to me.
 
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