The War in the Ukraine

Tam

Brigadier
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Total of three Abrams tanks have been taken out along with two M1150.

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Third Abrams tank credited to the 30th MR Brigade. This happened in Berdychi where the 47th Mech Brigade of the AFU sprang a counter attack.

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FABs arriving at Zmievka in Kherson.

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Multiple abandoned Ukrainian tanks in the Avdeyevka direction.

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Ukrainian BMP gets taken out by an FPV drone.

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Another captured Bradley.

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Ukrainian Gvozdika gets taken out by Krasnopol.

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US M119 105mm howitzer gets taken out by the 238th Arty Brigade.

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The 155th Marine Brigade raised another flag in Novomikhailovka.

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British AS-90 SPG gets taken out by Krasnopol.

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Very little fortifications and trenchwork beyond Avdeyevka is helping the Russians.

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Russians storming through Bogdanovka and Ivanovo.

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Ukrainian positions in Belgorovka gets bombarded by the 7th Brigade and the Gorb detachment.

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Sever-V tracked Ukrainian troops to a warehouse which was subsequently hit by a precise arty strike.

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Ukrainian vehicle gets taken out by arty from the 238th Brigade near Krasnogorovka using a MSTA-B.

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Ukrainian observation post gets taken out by the 238th in the same area using a Giatsint-B.

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FAB arrivals in Olhatvatka, Kharkhiv region.

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Enestori

New Member
Registered Member
I thought I would write a summary of where I think the Russians hope to next make advances. A lot of this is taken from Rybar. The situation in the south is more promising.

West of Avdeevka
This area is the most promising and where Russia is concentrating right now. Ukraine is in a bit of disarray after losing Avdeevka; Russia has taken several villages. According to Rybar, the best case is that Russia progresses to the Vovcha River. Both sides have immense difficulties crossing rivers in this war. Thus the Vovcha River would mark the endpoint of any Avdeevka-related Russian advance.

The Vovcha River is ~15 kilometres west of Avdeevka and ~40 kilometers east of the border of Donetsk Oblast. There are a seemingly endless amount of towns and cities beyond it. Barring a Ukrainian morale-based collapse, it seems that it would take years to capture the entire oblast.

Donetsk Southern Suburbs
Russia is also making some slow progress. If these suburbs are captured, Ugledar would be threatened from the north.

The current suburbs being fought over are Krasnogorovka and Heorhiivka. These are ~15 kilometres west of Donetsk City and ~45 kilometres east of the border of Donetsk Oblast. Again, there are seemingly endless towns and cities beyond the front line, until the border of Donetsk Oblast.

Robotnye
Russia is correctly straightening the southern line and retaking the minor gains Ukraine made during the 2023 summer offensive. This also badly damages Ukrainian morale. So far, Russia’s retaken around half of Robotnye.



In the north, one big goal is taking the Kramatorsk/Sloviansk urban conglomeration. However, Ukraine has put extensive defences here since the goal is so obvious. Thus progress is slow or mostly stalemated. I do not see these cities being taken this year.

Chasiv Yar
In the north, Russia seems to be making its main effort in this town between Bakhmut and Kramatorsk/Sloviansk. There is progress around settlements near its eastern edge. However, Russia hasn’t yet entered the town.

Even if Chasiv Yar is taken, there are multiple similar towns afterwards on the road to Kramatorsk/Sloviansk.

Seversk
Ukraine continues to hold Seversk. Russia’s made some effort here, nibbling around the edges of the Ukrainian bulge. It seems that Russia is taking its time, and progress is slow.

Liman
I think recapturing Liman is necessary to cut off the northern flank of Kramatorsk/Sloviansk. However, Russia has put this area on the back-burner. There’s been little change for months.
 

Tam

Brigadier
Registered Member
Gepard gets knocked off by Lancet.

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Poor dog. RIP. This artwork in honor of hero dog Balbes, who attacked an FPV drone to defend his hooman. There's a video of it but I'm not going to post it.

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Another 2S1 Gvozdika gets knocked out possibly by Krasnopol in the Sumy region.

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TOS tossed into Ukraine positions by the 26th Regiment.

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Shell from MSTA-B howitzer hits a Ukrainian warehouse in the Sumy region. Again likely a Krasnopol.

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More TOS work this time in the Artemovosk direction.

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M113 gets knocked out by ATGM in Rabotino.

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Transportation of SCALP and Storm Shadow missiles to Ukraine are done using an Audi Q7 SUV.

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Arty attacks on Belogorovka by the 7th Brigade and the Gorb detachment are done by Krasnopol.

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Baba Yagas shot down.

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M777 knocked out by no surprise a Lancet.

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No way Jose on Taurus missiles insists Scholz.

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Ukrainian M113 captured somewhere in Avdeyevka.

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Another M113 captured in Novomikhailovka.

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Report on Nona-SVK on the SMO. The Nona-SVK is a rare but valued vehicle. Self propelled mortars are so underrated here. The gun can also be used like a howitzer and direct fire. I think these units are reserved only for elite VDV units along with the 2S31 Vena.

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Lancet takes out an SPG in Chasiv Yar by the 98th VDV.

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Plastun EW station didn't work on this Lancet as the station gets knocked out somewhere in Zaporyzhye.


Another arty arrival on a Ukrainian position in an apartment. I think this might be another drone control base, this is a Krasnopol targeting it, and this from the 238th Brigade either in Georgievka or Krasnogorovka.

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Ukrainian mortar nest in the Artemovosk front gets hit by artillery.

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FABs arrive in positions unknown.

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Winged FAB-1500 seen arriving at its target in Kherson.

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Three shifts in Uraltransmash making new MSTA-S full blast.

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Two Su-25 flies overhead.

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Four FAB-250 with UMPK arrive at Ukrainian targets in Yuzhno-Donetsk.

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Ukrainian tank gets hit by an FPV drone and burns with internal cook off.


Two Russian tanks, possibly near Berdychi, abandoned and repeatedly hit by Ukrainian FPV drones.

 
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siegecrossbow

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Staff member
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tankphobia

Senior Member
Registered Member
Looks like the Chinese supplied desert cross ATVs are being used for front line duties, I saw 3 being used as part of a failed Russian assualt near Yampolivka, with 2 shown destroyed. Won't post the video since it contains a lot of dead bodies.

But there is first person view from one of those vehicles under attack by FPV drone. Honestly with the prevalence of drones, its not much worse than a BTR, at least it's easier to get out and harder to hit and lower number of casualties.

 
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