As someone earlier pointed out Ukraine has numerical manpower superiority over the Russians in the Kherson/Nicolaev region. But Russia has the numerical superiority in armored vehicles and artillery. Air superiority is the cherry on top. So with that it was brainless to do an offensive. What Ukraine should do with their manpower advantage is turn Nicolaev into a fortress to slow down any future Russian offensive to Odessa. Instead they are falling for Russian bait to launch offensives to annihilate them. Ukraine’s military and political leadership is brainless like Austria Hungary in world war 1.
I had quoted in that post (
The War in the Ukraine), at least they had to have a numerical advantage of 3:1, the ideal is above 5:1. They tried to make an offensive with a combat ratio equal to or less than 1:1, considering the points and the Russian military organizations that were in the region, around four Brigades (both I mentioned and the 205th and 34th Motorized Brigades), if all the 14th, 28th, 60th and 63rd Units are in action. The Russians' maneuver seemed to me to attract the AFU forces, as many as possible, and increase the combat front to use the greatest amount of troops, with tanks, artillery and aviation to destroy as much equipment and infantry as possible. .
We will follow along to see the total losses the Ukrainians had, but it seems to me that it must have been something like 1/3 or more of the troops involved in the offensives, apart from the bombings behind the lines. Ukraine admits it lost 15 tanks and 20 armored vehicles in the attack on OC "South" headquarters, so imagine the rest. And these are losses that will not be able to be replaced in the short term.
I'm thinking that those T-80UD will provide a Russian invasion of Mykolaiv and the T-62M will go to the DPR or stay in reserve, considering that the threats against these two, in the Mykolaiv region, are few and should be much lower now . The Russians are using the best even in Severodonetsk and Kharkiv.
There is still fighting in the region, but if the Ukrainians passed entire Brigades through Davyrid Brid, they will lose because there is no longer a bridge to retreat, only if the troops abandon their equipment, weapons and vehicles, swimming the river, with the exception of the MT-LB, M113, BTR-80 and BMP, however, the most important and scarce, they will leave behind: tanks.
By the way, the AFU High Command said that the Russians are bombing Snihurivka, Vysokopillia and Zolota Balka, but they are three positions occupied by the Russians.
What's the point of it? Simple, to suggest that these areas were captured by the great AFU Offensive in Kherson. Just now, they issued another statement that they have already liberated 20 towns and settlements in the Mykolaiv and Kherson region. Yes, it's not my joke:
"In the Kherson region from the direction of the Dnipropetrovsk region, the Armed Forces have already liberated more than 20 settlements" - the head of the Kherson Regional State Administration Gennady Laguta
It is simply UNBELIEVABLE! They're trying their hardest to hide the shit they've done!
Meanwhile, troops involved in the Kherson Offensive:
The 18th Battalion is part of the 35th Marine Brigade, which is stationed in Mykolaiv. If involving the 18th Battalion, which is light infantry and was in reserve, imagine what happened with the spearhead Brigades, such as the 14th, 28th, 60th and 63rd...
Edit:
Reports that Russia struck the AFU's 28th Brigade infantry buildup at Kherson.
In this one, 23 dead and 32 men with serious injuries.
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Previously, Severodonetsk was a fortress and "Ukrainian Stalingrad for Putin" has now become a big trap.
