The plan is not to move on Kiev as of yet, more things must be achieved:
1. Establish and hold a land bridge to Crimea - accomplished
2. Invade and dismantle the Donbass defensive system - in progress
3. Chase them from Donbass across the open steppe, across the left bank, and isolate them as they disperse - will commence after spring according to many analysts
4. Force a 2nd battle for Kiev - end of 2024
5. Move into the right bank of Ukraine - 2025
More or less this is the plan for the MOD and General Staff which Shoigu himself confirmed, the SMO was projected to achieve its goals in 2025
As the winter campaign to damage the electrification stations goes on - it will be less likely the average citizen of Ukraine will keep supporting fighting on unfavorable terms, and thus far we have not seen an insurgency in the south, so we have no reason to believe there will be much resistance once the Ukrainian military collapses in the donbass
Afzalov by the way was appointed as commander of the VKS for this precise campaign, after Surovikin, was promoted, or relieved (depending on what version you believe)
I do believe that what I called for, will be implemented by the VKS, not necessarily wide spread destruction of civilians as we see in Gaza
But certainly, harsh measures to begin maneuver warfare against Ukrainian defenses, as Ukraine transitions into a stationary defense, and begins rebuilding its defenses after the collapse of the Kramatorsk agglomeration, and the Seversk cauldron
They will build new defenses, in the spirit of our own departed Surovikin
Lacking the concrete of Donetsk, you will see greater reliance on trench diggers, mining vehicles, and ATGM, as well as sector wide artillery in the spirit of WW1
The only problem for them, is that Russia will have what they did not before- aviation, and a commander which understands combined warfare from aviation perspective, he was of course an Aerospace officer, not an army general like Surovikin
Noone in the VKS liked to be under Armageddon, even if you don't read about it, the greatest insult was to have the Air and Space forces under some infantry officer
Notice even the VKS operations have improved from perspective of data integration (A50U + S400)
(30 + planes downed in one week)