The US's 155mm monthly production goals for early 2024 has been revised down from 57k to 38k rounds
One or two days worth of shell in a month ? How will they able to replenish stocks ?The US's 155mm monthly production goals for early 2024 has been revised down from 57k to 38k rounds
The link don't actually show the 2025 invading across the river plan. I believe Russia aim to grind down rest of Donbass is pretty obvious. There is no mention of 2nd battle of Kiev and invading west of river.here is the link of what the MOD said.
Zelensky was begging, "please give us money, and if you cannot give us financial assistance then please give us credit, and we will pay you back after the war" And what struck me, was that the western media places him in a light which it never did before. He really looks alone, but the striking part was that the west has no intention of giving him any more assistance. And here basically it means Russia is free to decide what the terms of the war will be - I think Shoigu said 2025 as the end of the SMO because it is a realistic timeline
Without Donbass, Ukraine will not have a defensive strategy, the JFO showed they staked defense of the nation on this battlefield
This is why if you look at any order of battle map in Ukraine, 90+% of all of their units are stationed in the donbass with other units behind them for rotation purposes.This is where the war is happening, being fought, and will be won and from where conditions will be imposed on Kiev and we do see that these NAFO accounts are disappearing en masse. We see politicians being ruined or flipped by the conflict
We see all western media declaring Ukraine is out of manpower and must hold peace talks, before they lose more territory, which was usually a trope of pro russian media, and now has become a headline on western MSM. And we see how the battles between Arestovich, Zelensky, Zaluzhny and other figures are starting to erupt. It's really up to Russia how long they will keep this tragic comedy going.
With the muddy season in place we should already be seeing new Ukrainian units being formed but again it looks like 90% of their forces are in the frontlines, while Russians are forming new units in their own country. Zaluzhnyi talks of man shortage should not be ignored.
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This war is already lost for Ukraine, all we are doing is just waiting for all the dominoes to fall.
the only value of these two towns is to reinforce bakhmut's southern flank. even if the tweet were true russia is only improving its defensive posture.Russians are making big land grabs, I guess that shows how much forces Ukraine has left and raising the ukrainian conscript age from 33 to 43 years old in a 20 month timeframe according to Time magazine. Can 50+ year olds put up a good fight by 2025?
the front to watch right now, other than avdeevka and kupyansk, is kherson. I am not sure why ukraine insists on attacking across the river there. but if they were successful in securing their beach head and attack in depth, there is a significant risk that if their attacking force loses momentum they could be stuck on the left bank without adequate supply.FABs hitting Ukrainian positions across Novomikhailovka.
Lancet with autolock takes out M2A2 Bradley.
Ukrainian machine gun nest gets knocked out with artillery, direct fire or mortar.
Knocked out Polish Krab somewhere in the DPR. The turret was blown clean off the vehicle.
Some of the exploits of the Klen Battalion, their UAVs and BMD-4s. The 100mm gun of the BMD-4 is used in conjunction with UAV support for fire effect against Ukrainian assaults and strongholds in the Verbove front. The Klen or Maple Battalion is a special force detachment of the 247th Cossacks VDV Regiment, currently defending the Rabotino and Verbove sector. The Maple Battalion provides UAV targeting and FPV drone attacks, but they also use the BMD-4M with it's 100mm gun as fire support.
Artillery fire from the 247th Cossacks VDV and the Klen Battalion working on Ukrainian assaults towards Verbove.
FAB strike observed from a drone of the Klen Battalion.
Kh-38ML hit Ukrainian deployment points in South Donetsk.
Tiger detachment force using 2S1 Gvozdika working on Ukrainian positions in Ugledar.
2S3 Akatsya shelling Ukrainian positions in Kremenna front.
Hyacinth-S working on Ukrainian positions in Krasnoliman front.
Latest vehicular kills by Beaver.
Compilation of Sudoplatov Battalion vehicle kills of late, including a Strela-10 and a YPR-765.
The FPV drone kill zone around the Rabotino Verbove sector is mainly due to the Beaver detachment, the Sudoplatov Battalion, the 14th and 22nd SPN Brigade. Lately joined by the Klen Battalion and now the Crimea Battalion.
Drone training is institutionalized now in Russia as part of voluntary military training in 'Warrior' centers.
Ukraine was consuming about 7-8,000 shells per day during their offensive, which has largely culminated. They obviously need far less when defending, but it is debatable whether there will be enough ammunition to support another offensive next year.One or two days worth of shell in a month ? How will they able to replenish stocks ?