The War in the Ukraine

Tam

Brigadier
Registered Member
If you remember the video where a T-64BV trying to push a MaxxPro out of harms way but ended up crushing it instead, the artillery and the Lancet attack was from obtf Kaskad. Note the T-64BV took the Lancet on the side but survived and still moved. This is one of the few videos I have seen of tanks pushing APCs out of harms way although this attempt failed. Another recent one involved a Leopard trying to push a burning Bradley but ended up catching fire itself.


Probably the work of the Russian 200th Brigade, who have been accurately shelling Ukrainian units north of Artemevosk.


Russian Marines of the Pacific Fleet, namely the 40th and 155th, have been redeployed from Ugledar to Novodonetsk. Here they engaged foreign mercenaries and managed to destroy a number of vehicles including Humvee, Husky, Mastiff and AMX-10R.


Various vehicles including Leopard and Bradley destroyed by Russian Airborne. The watermark on this video is from a Telegram channel associated or close to the VDV. This indicates the VDV units are now operating in Zaporzhyzhia.


Ukrainian assault force towards the village of Kusmino found by Russian scouts and called in artillery. In the footage, a Ukrainian tank was destroyed.


Unmanned kamekaze MT-LB filled with explosives, managed to reach Ukrainian positions in the Marinka sector with devastating effect. You are going to see more of this tactic in the future.

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M777 destroyed in Zaporzhyzhia. This is the result of counter battery fire from a BM-21 Grad.

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Stealthflanker

Senior Member
Registered Member
Daym, that's some serious numbers there. Gotta say tho the CV-90 looks great and practical IFV's.

Also, some twitter channels hyped about the destruction of one Russian major depot in Kherson region. The thing is i'm curious if there is any apparent effect to that currently observed like, maybe reduction of fire rate or major Ukrainian advance.

The other concern would be the drying Kakhova reservoir which might allow ground assault. Russians did mined the shores but i guess the mine washed away or just no longer provide enough cover. The advantage for Russian forces however is that there is no cover in the reservoir and it's kinda low ground so anything passing there will be visible.
 

HighGround

Senior Member
Registered Member
Apparently Oryx will no longer continue counting. The task seems unfortunately eating deeply into his well being without proper appreciation. I wish him well in his future endeavour.

If you say so. He's said some horrific things in the past. I certainly have as well in private, but I certainly wouldn't if I had a big platform on Twitter. It's just not a good look to make fun of Russians and mock their dead.

I hope the "chickens come home to roost" quite frankly, and all those who said horrible stuff about each other, find their comments catch up to them in their professional lives. That's the only way people will have a chance to learn to stop being scumbags to each other.

Eh, the trade in opportunity cost is probably not worth it. Adding anything on the drone itself lowers the flight endurance and alters the flight characteristics. It might be fine to strap random things like an
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, but that's because one can get away a lot more on the ground. It is not fine when the "automatic" shotgun (Saiga-12 is not fully automatic) one tries to strap is the same weight as the drone they are trying to fly (at least order-of-magnitude-wise) and still trying to fly it for however long.

This isn't ArmA. You can't just attachTo arbitrary things to a drone and still expect it to work as intended.

Well, ARMA can model things decently well if you want it to. You can certainly add a mod that makes it take an hour to add a Machine Gun to a drone, and consequently reduce the drone's loiter time and max altitude.

The summary of footage I can see is Ukrainians using quadrotors and up-close combat, like point-blank range anti-tank and grenades, while Russians use larger Lancets, attack helicopters, artillery, and so-on. In fact I haven't really even seen many sniper videos from the Ukrainians lately.

So my thinking is, the Russians are much more lethal than the Ukrainians long range, but once up close the Ukrainians hold an advantage.
This video would be further proof of that.

My though process is, if the Russians and the Ukrainians both know UKR is dangerous close up and RUS is dangerous far away, that would explain the constant pulling back from the Russians as well as the advancing despite all odds behavior of the Ukrainians, as each tries to position themselves where they're most lethal.

In this case, it could be that the Russians just lacked the training or discipline to pull back fast enough and got caught out.

I do agree though that with how this particular video was pushed, something like this probably isn't commonplace.

Ukraine has published Sniper videos in the past. There are several reasons for why available footage is the way it is.

1. Sniper footage is pretty rare because 99% of Sniper work is extremely boring. So it's hard to get footage for a rather specialized unit who's general work is even more boring than a grunt's typical day.

2. The reason for discrepancy, is because Ukraine is generally tighter on OPSEC. This is why so many of their videos have higher production value. This is also why you tend to see more videos in cases like Battle of Bakhmut. As discipline and C2 breaks down, OPSEC breaks down as well.

By contrast, Russia is much more liberal with how videos gets published. I don't know if Russian MoD simply doesn't care as much about OPSEC or whether it simply cannot control its troops as well as Ukraine does in this regard. One can only hope that the troops are all smart enough to use airplane mode when they're on the front.

3. There is a chronic case of over-interpretation of available footage. I keep saying this, but we need to be really careful about what takeaways we make from available footage. It is highly selective.

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I've seen a discussion center around how Ukraine lacks SHORAD and they shouldn't be advancing without air coverage. Anyway, so I talked to a friend of a friend who was in ADA this weekend.

He told me that there simply aren't any good answers that he can think of, that would sufficiently cover a column advancing on a road, from FPV drones and Lancets like we've seen in the past two weeks.

Air defense, believe it or not, is actually a pretty complex mission and no NATO force has ever had to operate in an environment where airspace is either extremely heavily contested or completely absent, and when they are facing a distinct fires disadvantage. Trying to provide air cover to a static position, let alone covering an offensive in such an environment is not an easy task.

I neglected to ask if US has any equivalent to Russian EW units and who I should talk to about that, perhaps for the next time.

Anyway, just thought I should add this snippet as I've seen the SHORAD discussion pop-up. Even if you had hundreds of Gepards, by no means are you guaranteed to sufficiently protect your assets from FPV drones and Lancets. So don't think it's that simple or that Ukrainians are stupid.
 

Cult Icon

Junior Member
Registered Member
Does anyone have sources on whether or not the 4th Tank division, 90th Tank division, and 144th Motor-rifle division are in on the front-line or in the rear area of the LPR?
 

Tam

Brigadier
Registered Member
In a previous post, I described an unknown PGM hitting a Ukrainian vehicles from a UAV perspective using night vision. Turns out this has been identified as a Forpost UAV strike, footage of which tends to be uncommon.

This is another similar video that says a Kornet ATGM hitting Ukrainian APC from a UAV perspective. To me this can be a Forpost, Orion or Sirius UAV strike using an airborne version of the Kornet.


Damaged and captured Bradley, along with a Ukrainian D-30 howitzer that was drone tracked to it's ammo depot. Both depot and howitzer was subsequently destroyed by artillery.


S-300 command vehicles hit by Lancet in the Kherson sector. Previously posted the Telegram version, this time from YouTube.


Ukrainian base in Avdiivka destroyed by the 10th Tank Regiment of the Russian Army. We are seeing more new and never deployed units now in the front.


80th Arctic Motorized Rifle Brigade using a new ZALA drone, which I suspect is either a Super Cam or a new drone that looks like an extended flying wing, spotting and geolocating Ukrainian troops for subsequent bombardment.

 
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