His videos on Ukraine are pretty good and unbiased when you compare them to the other "analyses" done by "experts" in the West. Unlike the other analysts who analyzes and predicts what may happen using their feelings, he actually uses historical examples and some military terminology and tactics to analyze the war efforts by both sides. That's commendable. Also, he is Canadian.
I think they might be going for a single-envelopment, from the south, as opposed to the pincer-encirclement (double-envelopment) from the north. They can close the pocket by simply continuing the northward advance.
Supposedly Ukraine’s high command actually reinforced the cauldron with elite forces from Kharkiv that could have taken part in the counter offensive. It’s just an absolute mess.
So much for the Donbass offensive being a stalemate like Western journos were claiming. The Russian blob has been moving relentlessly ever since the second stage of the special operation began. And Ukraine didn't take advantage of the Russian withdrawal near Kharkiv to attack the railways supplying the Russian offensive. They never crossed the river. Major fail.
The biggest problem is they act like they will receive reinforcement from NATO or allies and need to buy some times. The only things they received are weapon systems from old stockpiles and a couple of new-tech weapons for testing them on Russians. The troops in that cauldron will turn to boiled blood if they don't surrender, what a mess.
Frontlines haven't been stationary, but in the scheme of things all these advances have been small. In a country the size of the Ukraine a frontline shifting to a village 2-5km down the road isn't changing much. The past few days it seems that
There's also a railroad connection that passes through Bakhmut from the west and goes past Siversk to a fuel processing plant 10km southwest of Lysychansk.
I believe the Ukrainians are doing dumb maneuvers like that because Zelenskyy is afraid of losing Western support if he appears to be losing. If I remember correctly, this happened before during the Battle of Shanghai during the Second Sino-Japanese War: Jiang Jieshi wanted the West to militarily intervene and defeat Japan and doubled down in Shanghai. As a result, he lost all of his German trained elite troops and a huge chunk of his best troops and had to retreat anyway. Plus, the League of Nations only condemned Japan but didn’t do anything.
holy fvck! that Kamikaze drone was brutal. It looks like most were killed, and the two guys on the left, who look like they survived, sustained serious injuries.