The War in the Ukraine

LawLeadsToPeace

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I'm still skeptical as it is a cropped video where he isn't directly naming Gazprom, he just uses an adjective and its the subtitles made by that pro-Ukrainian account that claim he is refering to Gazprom without any other context whatsoever.



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This other source I found got a statement from Gazprom itself saying that their purpose was for security of Gazprom owns installations around Russia which makes sense in the context of attempted sabotage by the Ukranians and dwidling resources provided by the Russian Armed Forces as they focus on the war
Cropped or not cropped, that video of Prigozhin cursing the 72nd Brigade for fleeing adds more credence to @MixedReality ‘s post which directly mentioned that event. Nonetheless, just to clarify this more, @MixedReality , can you send a link that has the whole text or video of Prigozhin’s recent tirade? Also in the future can you please add a source for us to access? In the future we would have no choice but to delete your post if you don’t.
 
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gelgoog

Lieutenant General
Registered Member
This other source I found got a statement from Gazprom itself saying that their purpose was for security of Gazprom owns installations around Russia which makes sense in the context of attempted sabotage by the Ukranians and dwidling resources provided by the Russian Armed Forces as they focus on the war
Rosvgardiya's budget was also massively increased and they are supposed to hire more staff. It is not just the military.
Russia definitively has been expecting to have to tighten up security internally inside Russia for sabotage and terror attacks since the conflict started.
 

Sinnavuuty

Senior Member
Registered Member
It's been clear from day one that the Russian military command had major issues. This directly led to the present situation where the most combat effective Russian military factions are a PMC and a local warlord (Kadyrov). As history has shown time and again, cultivating a private military may be a quick band-aid solution, but can ultimately create a bigger threat in the long run.
Just take the history of friction between Prigozhin and the Russian military leadership.

See the history between this friction:
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The numbered main points:
1 - But as reports of Russia's losses in Ukraine circulated in September last year, Prigozhin expressed misgivings about the Kremlin's management of the war to Putin, the Washington Post reported at the time.
Period: September 2022
2 - When the Chechen Republic's head, Ramazan Kadyrov, called out a Russian commander and senior officers after Russia was forced out of Lyman in Ukraine, Prigozhin echoed those criticisms, according to BBC.
Period: September 3rd – October 2nd, 2022
3 - Last month, Wagner claimed victory in the eastern Ukrainian town of Soledar, only for the Ministry of Defense to later say it was Russian soldiers who took the town.

"They are constantly trying to steal victory from the Wagner PMC [Private Military Company] and talk about the presence of the unknown, only to believe their merits," Prigozhin said in a statement published by the press service of Concord on its Telegram channel.
Period: August 3, 2022 - January 16, 2023
4 - Russia released a video of Shoigu meeting soldiers on a rare visit to Ukraine in early March.

An intelligence report by the British Ministry of Defense said the video was published possibly "in response to recent footage of [Prigozhin] visiting his fighters on the front line."

"Wagner is in a high-profile dispute with the Russian Ministry of Defense and Shoigu is likely sensitive to being compared to Prighozin," the briefing said.

Last month, Prighozin also attacked Shoigu's son-in-law for apparently liking a series of anti-war posts on social media, calling him a "Z-lowlife," The Daily Beast reported.
Period: March 2023

5 - Prigozhin said that all of the mercenaries were killed on February 21, 2023, and that their deaths could have been avoided if Russia's Defense Ministry would have provided them with ammunition.

Russia denied his claims from him.

"All statements allegedly made by assault units on shell shortages are absolutely untrue," he said in a statement published by the BBC. They did not name either Prigozhin or the Wagner group.
Period: February 2023

6 - In the video, released on Telegram, Wagner complained that the mercenary group was running short of ammunition.

"We have a 70% ammo shortage! Shoigu! Gerasimov! Where the [beep] is the ammo?" he said in the video.

He also said that Russian military leaders, like Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu and General Valery Gerasimov, would "have their insides eaten in hell."

"You animals are hanging out in expensive clubs," Prigozhin continued. "Your children are enjoying their lives, making videos for YouTube. Do you think that you are the masters of this life and that you have the right to control their lives?"
Period: April to May 2023
7 "I withdraw units of PMC Wagner because in the absence of ammunition, they are doomed to a senseless death," Prigozhin said in a statement published by his press service on Telegram.

The military boss then published a second video in which he continued to lambast the Russian military, saying they are responsible for the deaths of thousands of Wagner mercenaries.
Period: May 2023

What does all this have in common?

Surovikin.

Viewing the history of friction between Prigozhin and the Russian military leadership, it evidently starts before Surovikin took over SMO as the Russian top commander in Ukraine and criticism returns soon after he was demoted in January 2023. Before Surovikin took over, it was not only Prigozhin ripping up constant criticism against the Russian military leadership, but also Kadyrov, due to the incompetence of Shoigu and Gerasimov in executing the SMO.

Before Surovikin takes over, such facts happen:
The numbered point 1
The numbered point 2

Points 1 and 2 were early September to early October 2022, where Russia was defeated in the counter-offensive in Kharkiv and in Lyman.

Surovikin takes over on October 9, 2022, shortly after the attack on the Crimean bridge, decisively when Russia had already been defeated in Kharkiv and Lyman, moreover, in addition to Prigozhin, Kadyrov consistently called for a change in the execution of the SMO, although it was more timid in his criticism than compared to Prigozhin.

After Surovikin is demoted, such events happen:
The point numbered 3
The point numbered 4
The point numbered 5
The point numbered 6
The point numbered 7

Point numbered 3 happens just when Surovikin had already been relegated on January 11, 2023, Soledar fell and the Russian MoD declared victory glory to the Russian regular army, not to PMC Wagner.

Here the friction starts to get more serious between Prigozhin and the Russian military leadership.

Then came points 4, 5, 6 and 7, culminating in this recent news that Wagner would receive the ammunition and Surovikin would be the link between PMC Wagner and the Russian MoD.

In other words, we have two military groups here that want to conduct SMO in a different way. The first group is led by Shoigu and Gerasimov as main commanders, in addition to other minor generals, such as Aleksandr Lapin himself who was defeated at Izyum, commander Rustam Muradov who had serious defeats at Vuhledar, among others.

On the other side there is the group commanded by Surovikin as the main general in the execution of the SMO with Prigozhin and Kadyrov being his subordinates just as it was when Gen. Armageddon took over until he was demoted in Jan 2023, clearly Surovikin had the support of other minor generals, we publicly know that one of them is Mikhail Mizintsev himself, after he was dismissed on April 30, 2023, he joined PMC Wagner, clearly he falls into this second group, it was after his resignation at the end of April 2023 that Prigozhin started talking about Bakhmut's departure.

You see there is internal friction in the way SMO is run, with one side being Shoigu and Gerasimov and the other being Prigozhin, Kadyrov and Surovikin. After this recent news that Surovikin will end up being the link between the PMC and the Russian MoD, there is no doubt about this internal friction. As Shoigu and Gerasimov clearly have more access to Putin and more power than Surovikin even because he is a silovik, he had to give in and demote Surovikin by placing him below Gerasimov in the execution of the SMO.

Putin had to end up rewarding the incompetent and demoting the competent. Just look at the mess SMO was in from February to October 2022, culminating in the final act, the Crimean Bridge attack, things only started to get less worse when Surovikin took over, stabilizing the entire frontline, starting to creating the set of fortifications and attacking facilities and infrastructure in Ukraine, something that until then was not accomplished by the previous incompetent leadership (except at the beginning of the war), this with the military in an ongoing war of attrition, which only leaves even more Clearly these guys had no idea what they were doing.

It is worth remembering, when the Russians had to retreat from the right bank of the Dnieper in Kherson, Prigozhin and Kadyrov did not criticize as they used to do with Shoigu and Gerasimov, they understood Surovikin's decision that even assuming he had to retreat from the bank right of the Dnieper river in Kherson, obligatorily due to the incompetence of the previous leaderships, shortly before starting to effectively carry out this, he was giving the opinion that he would have to make difficult decisions, which he clearly ended up doing, retreating all Russian units from the right bank of the river Dnieper river in Kherson.

The relationship between Surovikin and PMC Wagner became so helpful that Prigozhin was starting to receive modern tanks, the T-90M.
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MixedReality

Junior Member
Registered Member
Cropped or not cropped, that video of Prigozhin cursing the 72nd Brigade for fleeing adds more credence to @MixedReality ‘s post which directly mentioned that event. Nonetheless, just to clarify this more, @MixedReality , can you send a link that has the whole text or video of Prigozhin’s recent tirade? Also in the future can you please add a source for us to access? In the future we would have no choice but to delete your post if you don’t.

I copied a Pepe Escobar post on Telegram. Pepe himself cut and pasted what the link below posted.

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solarz

Brigadier
Just take the history of friction between Prigozhin and the Russian military leadership.

See the history between this friction:
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The numbered main points:

Period: September 2022

Period: September 3rd – October 2nd, 2022

Period: August 3, 2022 - January 16, 2023

Period: March 2023


Period: February 2023


Period: April to May 2023

Period: May 2023

What does all this have in common?

Surovikin.

Viewing the history of friction between Prigozhin and the Russian military leadership, it evidently starts before Surovikin took over SMO as the Russian top commander in Ukraine and criticism returns soon after he was demoted in January 2023. Before Surovikin took over, it was not only Prigozhin ripping up constant criticism against the Russian military leadership, but also Kadyrov, due to the incompetence of Shoigu and Gerasimov in executing the SMO.

Before Surovikin takes over, such facts happen:
The numbered point 1
The numbered point 2

Points 1 and 2 were early September to early October 2022, where Russia was defeated in the counter-offensive in Kharkiv and in Lyman.

Surovikin takes over on October 9, 2022, shortly after the attack on the Crimean bridge, decisively when Russia had already been defeated in Kharkiv and Lyman, moreover, in addition to Prigozhin, Kadyrov consistently called for a change in the execution of the SMO, although it was more timid in his criticism than compared to Prigozhin.

After Surovikin is demoted, such events happen:
The point numbered 3
The point numbered 4
The point numbered 5
The point numbered 6
The point numbered 7

Point numbered 3 happens just when Surovikin had already been relegated on January 11, 2023, Soledar fell and the Russian MoD declared victory glory to the Russian regular army, not to PMC Wagner.

Here the friction starts to get more serious between Prigozhin and the Russian military leadership.

Then came points 4, 5, 6 and 7, culminating in this recent news that Wagner would receive the ammunition and Surovikin would be the link between PMC Wagner and the Russian MoD.

In other words, we have two military groups here that want to conduct SMO in a different way. The first group is led by Shoigu and Gerasimov as main commanders, in addition to other minor generals, such as Aleksandr Lapin himself who was defeated at Izyum, commander Rustam Muradov who had serious defeats at Vuhledar, among others.

On the other side there is the group commanded by Surovikin as the main general in the execution of the SMO with Prigozhin and Kadyrov being his subordinates just as it was when Gen. Armageddon took over until he was demoted in Jan 2023, clearly Surovikin had the support of other minor generals, we publicly know that one of them is Mikhail Mizintsev himself, after he was dismissed on April 30, 2023, he joined PMC Wagner, clearly he falls into this second group, it was after his resignation at the end of April 2023 that Prigozhin started talking about Bakhmut's departure.

You see there is internal friction in the way SMO is run, with one side being Shoigu and Gerasimov and the other being Prigozhin, Kadyrov and Surovikin. After this recent news that Surovikin will end up being the link between the PMC and the Russian MoD, there is no doubt about this internal friction. As Shoigu and Gerasimov clearly have more access to Putin and more power than Surovikin even because he is a silovik, he had to give in and demote Surovikin by placing him below Gerasimov in the execution of the SMO.

Putin had to end up rewarding the incompetent and demoting the competent. Just look at the mess SMO was in from February to October 2022, culminating in the final act, the Crimean Bridge attack, things only started to get less worse when Surovikin took over, stabilizing the entire frontline, starting to creating the set of fortifications and attacking facilities and infrastructure in Ukraine, something that until then was not accomplished by the previous incompetent leadership (except at the beginning of the war), this with the military in an ongoing war of attrition, which only leaves even more Clearly these guys had no idea what they were doing.

It is worth remembering, when the Russians had to retreat from the right bank of the Dnieper in Kherson, Prigozhin and Kadyrov did not criticize as they used to do with Shoigu and Gerasimov, they understood Surovikin's decision that even assuming he had to retreat from the bank right of the Dnieper river in Kherson, obligatorily due to the incompetence of the previous leaderships, shortly before starting to effectively carry out this, he was giving the opinion that he would have to make difficult decisions, which he clearly ended up doing, retreating all Russian units from the right bank of the river Dnieper river in Kherson.

The relationship between Surovikin and PMC Wagner became so helpful that Prigozhin was starting to receive modern tanks, the T-90M.
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Very informative.

My takeaway from the above is that Russia has been infiltrated by the West at the highest echelons of its military and most likely civilian command. Putin has less control over the MOD than is widely believed. We should not forget that before the Ukraine War, most Russians were still looking to Europe as their main partner. Putin may have forced some events with the SMO, but there are surely still a lot of people in power with the old mindset.
 
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