The text was copied. You can see it on the original post. So idk how he still missed it even if the link was unavailable.
The War in the Ukraine
- Thread starter SampanViking
- Start date
The text was copied. You can see it on the original post. So idk how he still missed it even if the link was unavailable.
Ukrainian DRG landing via speedboat at the left bank of the Dniepr near Kherson gets tracked by Russian drone and their shelter gets blown away by artillery.
Ukrainian ammo depot, a small one near the front lines, gets hit by Russian mortar.
Marines of the 155th blows away Ukrainian observation posts at Ugledar, destroying the high rises. Ugledar turns into an ugly grind as it turns into a stalemate then methodically demolished by artillery.
Ukrainian counterattack using a column of APCs through a forest in the Donetsk, turns bad as a Russian drone discovers them and subjects the column through a hail of artillery. One can see troops retreating and the vehicles abandoned. This via Russian Airborne so this might be around the Bakhmut outskirts.
Ukrainian ammo depot, a small one near the front lines, gets hit by Russian mortar.
Marines of the 155th blows away Ukrainian observation posts at Ugledar, destroying the high rises. Ugledar turns into an ugly grind as it turns into a stalemate then methodically demolished by artillery.
Ukrainian counterattack using a column of APCs through a forest in the Donetsk, turns bad as a Russian drone discovers them and subjects the column through a hail of artillery. One can see troops retreating and the vehicles abandoned. This via Russian Airborne so this might be around the Bakhmut outskirts.
The Ukrainian Army's OSA-AKM air defense system was forced to use retired Jordanian Army 9M33M2 air defense missiles due to a lack of 9M33M3 ammunition spares.
In the April 18 video of the Russian patrol strike, the Russian network discovered that the Ukrainian Army's destoryed OSA-AKM system had spares similar to the Jordanian 9M33M2.
The 9M33M2 was eliminated by Jordan and then passed into the hands of the Armenian army, which demonstrated extremely inefficient combat in the Second Naka War. (lack of maintenance for years)
In the April 18 video of the Russian patrol strike, the Russian network discovered that the Ukrainian Army's destoryed OSA-AKM system had spares similar to the Jordanian 9M33M2.
The 9M33M2 was eliminated by Jordan and then passed into the hands of the Armenian army, which demonstrated extremely inefficient combat in the Second Naka War. (lack of maintenance for years)
Another Ukranian USV attack on Sevastopol overnight. This time drones did not penetrate harbour defense. But from footage appeared to explode next to something outside.
Edit: there's footage of the attack.
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According to Russian blog, 9M33M2 only has a hit rate of 50% while 9M33M3 has a hit rate of 80%. This seriously affects your effiency against drones and low flying aircraft.
The main concern would be how old those missiles are, whether they are receiving refurbishment or not. Old expired missile may malfunction and stray off course.
If the leaks regarding Ukrainian air defence situations hold any water, having bad missiles is better than having no missiles at all, even if they only work half the time. Russian forces will still need to factor in their existence as if they have the normal missiles and plan accordingly. In the mean time more shaheds/cruise missiles might find their mark, but VKS would still be deterred.
You see, it's a win for Bellingcat because "They" have gotten some intels that "They" would have never gotten otherwise.
I believe the correct terminology is "acceptable casualties".
With progress like this Russia could take most of Donestk by end of year. Then they need to ask themselves what is next? Ukraine will not give up. Should they call it a day or keep going for Dniprotrovsk or Kherson? What if they still dont negotiate? They should have a end game ready.
The further they push west the harder to occupy a more disobedient population. On other hand things will get easier as Ukraine exert itself. This is another factor to consider due to limited manpower size of Russia. It could limit the amount of land they occupy.
The further they push west the harder to occupy a more disobedient population. On other hand things will get easier as Ukraine exert itself. This is another factor to consider due to limited manpower size of Russia. It could limit the amount of land they occupy.
They need to do the following to have naturally defensible borders that shrink their lines and concentrate more troops on smaller area:
1. Northern front: Push to Oskil/Siversky Donets confluence. That means retaking Lyman and conquering Kupyansk. A much smaller force can prevent river crossings here.
2. Eastern front: If Donetsk is taken, then Izyum could be possibly be retaken, and that would secure both the northern and eastern front.
3. Southeastern front: Push to Vovcha River after taking Vulvedar to shorten lines in that direction,