The recent proliferation of guided bombs shows Ukrainian anti-air network has finally been worn down. There seems to be no shot down yet compared to previous attempt. The new guidance kit has some reliability issues but war is the quickest way to improve weapons. With VKS finally able to function properly tide should begin to turn in Russian favor. Ukrainian counter attack without anti-air network would be suicide.
On the Russian side the status quo is favorable. If this continues it would be a favourable trade to eventually exhaust Ukrainian military and western economy. Not much else needs to be said.
On the Ukrainian side western arsenal is running out of vital supplies, they must expand the scope of support if they want Ukraine to stay in the fight. Some people said South Korean artillery shells which could be a game changer. Otherwise US needs to expand scope of their involvement by providing weapons like F-16, and possibly get Israel on board as part of supply chain. All of those plans have costs. It would weaken American might in Asia and Middle East, and possibly escalate response from Russian side.
On the American side they need to rethink their strategy. The idea of out trading Russia by pitting Ukraine against them paid off at first. Russian took a lot of sanctions, and US was harmed less. Even if they minimized support after 3 month the outcome would be a favorable trade. However politically giving up Ukraine just is not viable, so the support needs extension. First Europeans paid the cost and managed to keep Ukraine in the first for another year. The trade was not as favorable as before. Now Europeans ran out of old stocks American face a harsh decision. Either give up and accept the damage was inflicted enough, or go in even further long past the favorable trade. Harvesting South Korea and Israel stockpile is the last low hanging fruit. Any further would be buying new weapons and paying full price for Ukraine and it will quickly become unaffordable.
On the Russian side the status quo is favorable. If this continues it would be a favourable trade to eventually exhaust Ukrainian military and western economy. Not much else needs to be said.
On the Ukrainian side western arsenal is running out of vital supplies, they must expand the scope of support if they want Ukraine to stay in the fight. Some people said South Korean artillery shells which could be a game changer. Otherwise US needs to expand scope of their involvement by providing weapons like F-16, and possibly get Israel on board as part of supply chain. All of those plans have costs. It would weaken American might in Asia and Middle East, and possibly escalate response from Russian side.
On the American side they need to rethink their strategy. The idea of out trading Russia by pitting Ukraine against them paid off at first. Russian took a lot of sanctions, and US was harmed less. Even if they minimized support after 3 month the outcome would be a favorable trade. However politically giving up Ukraine just is not viable, so the support needs extension. First Europeans paid the cost and managed to keep Ukraine in the first for another year. The trade was not as favorable as before. Now Europeans ran out of old stocks American face a harsh decision. Either give up and accept the damage was inflicted enough, or go in even further long past the favorable trade. Harvesting South Korea and Israel stockpile is the last low hanging fruit. Any further would be buying new weapons and paying full price for Ukraine and it will quickly become unaffordable.
