The War in the Ukraine

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Soldier30

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Footage of a Ukrainian FPV drone striking a Russian T-72 tank. The drone was armed with an RPG-7 grenade, the attack took place in the Maryinka area. Despite the impact, the tank continued to carry out its combat mission, the crew was saved by the dynamic protection installed on the tank.


A Russian T-64 tank breaks through a minefield in Ukraine. Footage has been published of a Russian T-64 tank overcoming a minefield of American mines of the M70 and M73 types, both types of mines are now used by the Ukrainian army. Mines are produced in anti-personnel and anti-tank versions and do not differ from each other outwardly. Mines are installed by the RAAMS remote mining system at a distance of up to 24 km, they are delivered by 155 mm M741 / M718 shells, each contains 9 mines. The first part of the video shows the found remains of these mines in Ukraine, the second part is the direct overcoming of the minefield by the tank.


Published footage of a massive bombing strike by Russian aircraft in Ukraine. There are no details of the bombing strike when it was carried out. According to preliminary data, the air strike was carried out in the area of the Oskol river bank in the Kupyansk direction.


Footage of an attempt by a Ukrainian T-64BV tank to attack a stronghold of the Russian army. For some unknown reason, the T-64 tank, without support, went to attack the stronghold alone. The tank received two ATGM hits and was destroyed.


The disguised radar 79K6 "Pelican" of the Ukrainian army came under attack from the Russian kamikaze drone "Lancet". Radar 79K6 "Pelikan" was put into service in 2007, the detection range of radar targets is up to 400 km, at an altitude of 100 meters up to 40 km. The number of tracked targets is more than 300. The deployment time of the Pelican radar is 30 minutes.

 
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Tam

Brigadier
Registered Member
Armed reconnaissance group from the Ukrainian 110th Brigade was found by thermal imaging and subjected to heavy fire. This should be in the Avdiivka area.


Ka-52 firing ATGMs, destroying a tank and a BMP-1. This at Ugledar. With Ukrainian air defenses again, Russian attack helicopters are more aggressive now, using line of sight attacks with ATGMs instead of spraying rockets over an arc.

 
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Atomicfrog

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Deino

Deino

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Tam

Brigadier
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Deino said:
... not sure if this is correct! At the moment the reports are contradicting.... I think we need to wait for more information!

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1650085240113692673

vs.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1650075072177242114
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Russian Telegram channel Colonel Cassad is saying fake news. This isn't the first nor the last of twitter phantom counteroffensives, including the latest one rolling back the Wagner offensive at the west side of Bakhmut. No mention of this in other and biggest Russian Telegram channels, i.e. Rybar, Wargonzo, Rvvoenkor, milinfolive,... some of whom have connections to the ground. To say this was confirmed and geolocated by Russian Telegram bloggers is definitely a lie.

Only report I have connected to this is a repulsed Ukrainian commando attack on the Kherson left bank.

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Fake: The Armed Forces entered the left bank of the Kherson region: now they are 7 kilometers from the administrative center, reports ISW with reference to a certain Russian military correspondent.

Truth: Employees of the American analytical center ISW lie. Firstly, Russian military equipment and bloggers ( by the way, American and Ukrainian also ) did not publish personnel confirming the landing of the Armed Forces on the left bank of the Kherson region. Domestic Telegram channels wrote only that the soldiers of the Russian Armed Forces repelled an attempt to land the Ukrainian sabotage and intelligence group on the left bank of the Dnieper. The speeches about « fastening » or taking the left bank by the WAWERS did not go. Ukrainian media and telegram channels simply distorted information in their favor.

Secondly, the news of the alleged landing of the Armed Forces on the left bank of the Dnieper is distributed exclusively by Western and Ukrainian sources — those who are clearly interested in misinformation and escalating the situation around the alleged counteroffensive of the Armed Forces. There is currently no real evidence of the landing of the Ukrainian army on the left bank of the Kherson region.

Moreover, the spokeswoman for the « South » operational command denied reports that the Armed Forces managed to take positions on the banks of the Dnieper 7 kilometers from Kherson.

« I want everyone to understand: when the front line passes through such a wide powerful river as the Dnieper, to overcome such an obstacle — is a very difficult job. Therefore, here you need to be patient even with the best "students" of the Institute for the Study of War », — said Gumenyuk.

Recently, Ukrainian media and Telegram channels have been actively replicating rumors about the planned counteroffensive of the Armed Forces. In particular, they are repeatedly
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archive shots,
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, that they allegedly captured the preparation of the Ukrainian army for the offensive. Thus, propagandists are trying to raise the morale of the Armed Forces against the background of the absence of real victories, as well as sow panic among Russian citizens.

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, to prevent yourself from being deceived.
 
A

Anlsvrthng

Captain
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Tam said:
Want to know how cheap a FAB-500 is? Nearly 250 of them for one Kaliber cruise missile.
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I think it is from this vide o:
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The important bit is from here :
So, data :
-80k Uk soldier around Bakhmut
-30k in the trenches in the front of Mr. Wagner
-if Wagner wants to move forward by 100-200 m/day then :

a. opitmal ammount of shells is 6k/day, with that 60 loss on Wagner side ( 20 deat/40 wound) , Uk side 500 loss
b. Only 3k/day shell , Wagner loss is 360 /day (120 dead + 240 wound) , Uk loss 300



Wow, first analysis of the impact of artilleryshell suply.

Means as things stand the USA can't supply an offensive in Ukraine, WITHOUT using up big or all part of the 1.5 million 155mm war shell stock of Korea.

But, it means the only way for Ukraine to penetrate deep into the Russian frontline, causing 50-100k Russian caulaity if they could use Korean 155mm


From othe part of equation, reason why Russia said that IF Seoul supply shells the USA , then they will supply NK with weapons - maybe second front in the Koreasn pensitula, to liberate the south territories of Korea?
Prigozhin's math means if Seoul give up its artillery shells then they will be easy ride for the Koreans.

Wow, hard math to do, we can say the most important part of Seoul defense is the artillery ammunition stock. F-35 is a nice toy, but the real force is the 155mm.
 
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Right_People

Junior Member
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Deino said:
... not sure if this is correct! At the moment the reports are contradicting.... I think we need to wait for more information!

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1650085240113692673

vs.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1650075072177242114
Click to expand...
That village has been in the "Grey Zone" for half year, you can move, claim u occupy it and then what?
You will have to leave cause its in the middle and you are easy target for enemy artillery and you need crossing the river to even get food.

The back and forth for those river islands has been like that since the Kherson counter offensive and hasnt meant anything to either side, for obvious reasons.
 
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RobertC

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A theory of Russian strategy is gaining traction
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After having considered [Was the whole thing perhaps about forcing the Russian Army to attack through the Donbass and taking on the defensive lines – specifically to tie it down – to keep it busy while the Ukrainians and NATO carried out the rest of their plan?], the Russians must have asked themselves the following question: “What do the Ukrainians and NATO want more than anything?” And since it’s actually the Americans and the British running the show: “What do the Americans and the British want more than anything?” The question isn’t hard to answer. What the Americans, the British, and the Ukrainians want more than anything is Crimea. Crimea is the key to “dominating” the Black Sea, and capturing it would be a dagger into the belly of Russia.
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Rather than letting the Americans, et al know they were onto that intent by preparing defenses of Crimea, the Russians preempted as follows:
Objective 1 (main objective): To capture Kherson and Zaporizhzhia oblasts to create a buffer zone between Crimea and the rest of Ukraine. This objective had to be reached extremely fast while the area was still lightly defended. This operation was all-important at that point in time, far more important than anything happening in the Donbass or the Kiev area. Capturing Kherson was not enough to create the buffer zone because the Ukrainians had to be prevented from attacking the Crimean Bridge. The Zaporizhzhia coast line is only 150 kilometers from the bridge so Zaporizhzhia oblast had to be taken immediately as well.

Objective 2 (secondary objective): While a large part of the Ukrainian Army was positioned in the Donbass, there was still a large force kept back, possibly for the Crimean operation. This part of the Ukrainian army would have to be kept from engaging the Russian forces going after Kherson and Zaporizhzhia. The only way to do that was to threaten something that had to be defended at all cost, even at the cost of the Crimea plan. There was only one location the Ukrainians would defend at all cost outside the Donbass – Kiev itself. The Russians therefore decided to advance on Kiev in an extremely threatening manner. The forces they used were not sufficient to take Kiev outright but enough to hold the area north of the city and seriously threaten it. The Ukrainians would have no choice but to take the threat seriously and move forces toward Kiev, including the forces intended for the Crimean operation. This would prevent the Ukrainians from responding to the Russian occupation of Kherson and Zaporizhzhia oblasts.

Objective 3 (secondary objective): To force Ukraine to negotiate peace on Russian terms. The Russians most likely assumed that if the Kherson/ Zaporizhzhia buffer operation was successful the Ukrainians might want to negotiate. They would want to negotiate not only because Kiev was threatened, but primarily because their main objective, the capture of Crimea, had been thwarted. This part of the plan was partly successful because the Ukrainians were ready to sign a treaty before the Americans and the British intervened.
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And here we are...
 
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