South China Sea Strategies for other nations (Not China)

Asean Members Walk Back Statement on South China Sea
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

...
“The statement is still a product of a least-common-denominator approach, and is careful to allow for multiple interpretations,”
...

A lot of interpretive China-bashing in that op ed piece, at least it's honest enough to include the quote above.
 

confusion

Junior Member
Registered Member
Tough to undo the agreements signed by Aquino:
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

Bobby M Tuazon
Philippine Daily Inquirer
Asia News Network June 18, 2016 1:00 am

While the philippine president-elect favours ‘friendlier ties’ with china, his ‘independent’ foreign policy will have to reconsider relationship with the us
Philippine President-elect Rodrigo Duterte's avowed independent tack in dealing with China over the issue of the South China Sea should be preconditioned on the immediate review of the Philippines' treaty commitments. Both policy options are interwoven: An independent foreign policy will be meaningless without untying the knot that binds the country to a client relationship with the United States.

Under outgoing President Benigno Aquino III, the Philippines' treaty commitments have deepened as America gears for tough actions to counter China's militarisation of the South China Sea. Expecting a decision by the UN Permanent Court of Arbitration that may deny China's sovereign claim over a broad swath of the sea, America is planning moves to bind China to the ruling that may include sanctions.

If this happens, the Philippines as a key ally and a regional hub of US forward-deployed forces, logistics, and maritime operations has to cooperate. As a result, Duterte's plan to take a pragmatic dispute resolution with China will be affected.

Last March - or two years after the signing of the Enhanced Defence Cooperation Agreement (EDCA) - the Philippines agreed to the stationing of US forces and warplanes in five military bases, including Antonio Bautista Air Base in Palawan fronting the South China Sea. These are aside from the harbours and naval facilities now being used by the US Navy.

The Philippines is also America's key operations centre in the new, US-led Maritime Security Initiative (MSI).

Funded to the tune of US$425 million (Bt15 billion), the MSI will involve the Philippines and four other claimant states (Vietnam, Malaysia, Indonesia and Thailand) in a "common operating picture" for intelligence, surveillance and radar, along with joint maritime operations to protect freedom of navigation against Chinese assertiveness. As a start, the Philippines' National Coast Watch Centre will conduct surveillance and patrol operations in the South China Sea.

Under Aquino, treaty commitments and defence cooperation - from the 1951 Mutual Defence Treaty to the Visiting Forces Agreement (VFA) and EDCA - have cemented the Philippines as a key platform of US military power in the region. This makes it a strategic player in the US alliance system that links Japan, South Korea, Singapore and Australia with military cooperation involving some Southeast Asian states. The Philippines has extended the VFA to Australia, and new defence partnerships have been opened with Japan and Vietnam.

From now until 2020, expect America to complete the prepositioning in Asia of 60 per cent of all its global air and naval forces. Thousands of combat troops, along with warships and warplanes, will be using the Philippines for proactive operations in the South China Sea.

The noose of the US-led military infrastructure directed at China is tightening as tensions rise in the South China Sea. In Singapore last June 5, People's Liberation Army deputy chief Admiral Sun Jianguo described as provocative US Defence Secretary Ashton Carter's threat of undefined actions against China. Carter was reacting to reports of a Chinese plan to build an outpost on Scarborough Shoal. US naval and air patrols near China-claimed reefs are an exercise of "military muscle" to force China to "accept" the UN tribunal's ruling, Sun said, adding: "We do not make trouble, but we have no fear of trouble."

Duterte has pledged a foreign policy free of America and a new relationship with China to promote Philippine interests. The marching orders of incoming Foreign Secretary Perfecto Yasay Jr are to reopen bilateral talks with China to settle the maritime feud once it ignores the UN tribunal's decision. But Yasay also said treaties with the United States would be honoured subject to future renegotiations.

These antithetical approaches to China and America need to be harmonised in a new foreign policy. Duterte faces a catch-22 situation: talking to China while treaty commitments push him into a showdown with it once America uses the alliance system and coercive measures to compel compliance with a UN decision that may be unfavourable to China. Duterte may need to calibrate as to whether to work with America by taking tough actions against China. But can he stop the Americans from using military facilities in the Philippines when push comes to shove?

This early, a group identified with former foreign secretary Albert del Rosario is urging Duterte to use the EDCA as a leverage against China in resolving the maritime dispute. It was intended to abort bilateral talks with China since the latter will not deal with a country brandishing a dagger. Duterte is hemmed in between defending US primacy in Asia and negotiating a settlement of the maritime dispute without giving up his country's territorial rights.

Complex as it is, this is an opportunity for Duterte to start navigating an independent course in dealing with China without being bound by an alliance that limits options. Similarly, the United States is bound by a policy of taking no sides in the territorial dispute, more so if bilateral talks are ongoing.

The outcome of future talks with China which may focus on a new economic partnership, as earlier envisioned by Duterte, and, again, without dropping the Philippines' territorial rights, may be too early to predict. Mustering political will should be the first step of a contentious process of renegotiating the alliance system with America, toward a new chapter of relations between equals.

Bobby M Tuazon teaches at the University of the Philippines and is director for policy studies at the Centre for People Empowerment in Governance.
 

confusion

Junior Member
Registered Member
The view from Indonesia, with a subtle comment about the difference between Duterte and his predecessor:
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

'From what I see, this new leader seems like he doesn't really hate China'
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

Published 7:09 PM, June 17, 2016

JAKARTA, Indonesia – What does Indonesia’s Defense Minister think about the likely shift of approach of the Philippines towards China?

Defense Minister Ryamizard Ryacudu said he thinks the new administration will be a lot more “lenient,” adding Philippine president-elect Rodrigo Duterte appears to like China more than the administration of outgoing president Benigno Aquino III.

"From what I see, this new leader seems like he doesn't really hate China,” Ryacudu told foreign journalists on Friday, June 17.

He said he foresees a “slight shift” on policy towards China under Duterte, and while he said Indonesia would stay “neutral” and “set aside impartiality in settling the dispute,” the Minister did imply some support for the incoming Philippine president.

“I think he is more lenient than the previous administration. I think there should be more leniency,” he said.

Indonesian Defense minister Ryamizard Ryacudu says he think the new Philippine administration will be more lenient on China.

He later added, he was “not concerned” about a more lenient policy and admitted, “I hope the new administration will improve relations with China.”

Ryacudu also said he wants to learn more from the Philippines on their view on the South China Sea but emphasized that Indonesia “should not interfere with the Philippines’ stance.”

The Indonesian official was referring to tensions between the Philippines and the superpower due to overlapping claims in the South China Sea.

The Philippines, Taiwan, Brunei, Malaysia, and Vietnam have competing claims to parts of the sea, which is believed to harbor significant oil and gas deposits.

Beijing has bolstered its claims by building artificial islands including airstrips in the area, some of which are suitable for military use.

Citing the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (Unclos), the Philippines is challenging China's 9-dash line, which the Asian superpower uses to claim virtually the entire South China Sea.

The 9-dash line encroaches on the Philippines' 200 nautical mile exclusive economic zone (EEZ), affecting Manila's exclusive rights to fish in these waters. It also covers the high seas, which, under the Unclos, are part of the global commons and are open to all states.

The international tribunal at The Hague is expected to issue a ruling on the historic case filed by the Philippines in a few weeks.

Chinese threat
The minister also mentioned the need to be alert regarding maritime threats but said he did not think Indonesia was in any danger of war with China, adding “dialogue and transparency” were key to dealing with the superpower.

His optimistic statement comes, following recent rows between the nations – particularly after Indonesia sought to detain a Chinese vessel which was allegedly fishing illegally near Indonesia's Natuna Islands.

Beijing has claimed some areas around waters in Indonesia's exclusive economic zone north of the Natunas.

When it was pointed out that China had began to build air strips in some disputed islands in the South China Sea however, Ryacudu conceded that it appears China could be preparing for war.

But Ryacudu still maintained that he does not foresee any threats to Indonesia, adding he was close to both his American and Chinese counterparts.
 

Brumby

Major
U.S. Carriers Sail in Western Pacific, Hoping China Takes Notice
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

BEIJING — In a show of strength before an international court’s ruling on
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
’s claims in the South China Sea, the
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
sent two aircraft carriers and their accompanying ships on training drills in the western Pacific Ocean on Saturday.

The carriers John C. Stennis and Ronald Reagan sailed close together in the Philippine Sea as part of air defense and sea surveillance operations that involved 12,000 sailors, 140 aircraft and six smaller warships, the United States Pacific Fleet in Hawaii said in a
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
.

“We must take advantage of these opportunities to practice war-fighting techniques that are required to prevail in modern naval operations,” Rear Adm. John D. Alexander said in a statement.

The operations occurred on the eastern side of the
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
, in a body of water that is not adjacent to the South China Sea but is close, a spokesman for the Pacific Fleet said. China seeks to dominate the western Pacific Ocean as part of its long-term strategy, American strategists say.

The message of the exercise by the two carriers and their attendant warships was unmistakable, and the timing was deliberate, said an American official familiar with the planning of the operation who spoke on the condition of anonymity because he was not authorized to speak publicly on the matter. It could have been conducted later, he said.

An international arbitration court in The Hague is deliberating a case filed by the Philippines in 2013 against
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
, and its decision is expected in the coming weeks.

The Philippines is challenging China’s claims to what has come to be known as the nine-dash line, an area that covers almost all of the South China Sea, including waters close to the Philippine coast.

The issue of the nine-dash line is delicate because China has claimed it since ancient times as its territory, and the South China Sea has become part of the increasingly nationalistic vocabulary of President Xi Jinping.

In the past two years,
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
equipped with military runways in the Spratly archipelago, inside the line and not far from the Philippines.

In a statement on the exercise involving the carriers, the Pacific Fleet said: “As a Pacific nation and a Pacific leader, the United States has a national interest in maintaining security and prosperity, peaceful resolution of disputes, unimpeded lawful commerce, and adherence to freedom of navigation and overflight throughout the shared domains of the Indo-Asia-Pacific.”

The Stennis conducted exercises with Japanese and Indian naval forces in the western Pacific and the South China Sea earlier in the week, an operation that was shadowed by a Chinese surveillance vessel.

The Stennis then joined the Reagan, which had been undergoing maintenance at a United States base in Japan, the Pacific Fleet spokesman said.

Early this month, Senator John McCain, Republican of Arizona and the chairman of the Senate Armed Services Committee, foreshadowed the dual-carrier exercise during a speech in Singapore, saying it was part of the United States’ increased vigilance in the Pacific.

Advertisement

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

“The United States will soon have two aircraft carriers operating together in the Pacific, which is a strong statement about America’s enduring commitment to regional security,” Mr. McCain said.

Also this past week, the United States dispatched four Navy electronic attack aircraft, known as Growlers, and 120 military personnel to Clark Air Base in the Philippines.

At a conference in Beijing on Saturday hosted by Global Times, a state-run newspaper known for its strident coverage, some analysts warned of an arms race in the western Pacific.

“The Chinese side is determined to increase its power, and Obama is determined to defend the United States’ position,” said Shi Yinhong, a professor of international relations at Renmin University in Beijing.

Both militaries need to be cautious in the South China Sea, said another participant, Teng Jianqun, the director of the department of American studies at the China Institute of International Studies. “Any misunderstanding could lead to a disaster between the two countries,” Mr. Teng said.
 
This should be interesting, too bad it is in the increasing range of military domains where it is difficult for the public to independently verify any action:

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!


US Navy Sends Electronic Attack Warplanes to Philippines Amid South China Sea Tensions
Four aircraft arrived at Clark Air Base for pilot training and to support U.S. Navy operations in the South China Sea.

By Franz-Stefan Gady
June 17, 2016

Amid rising tensions in the South China Sea, the United States Navy dispatched four U.S. Navy EA-18G Growler airborne electronic attack aircraft and about 120 military personnel to Clark Air Base, an air force base located on Luzon Island in the Philippines, according to a U.S. Seventh Fleet press release.

The four aircraft and 120 personnel arrived on June 15 for training with Armed Forces of the Philippines (AFP) FA-50 aircraft pilots and to support U.S. and Philippine naval operations in the South China Sea, as the statement makes clear with a veiled reference to so-called freedom of navigation operations (FONOPs) in the disputed waters.

“In addition to bilateral training missions, Growler aircraft will support routine operations that enhance regional maritime domain awareness and assure access to the air and maritime domains in accordance with international law,” the press release reads.

Enjoying this article? Click here to subscribe for full access. Just $5 a month.
Boeing EA-18G Growler aircraft are designed to detect, jam, and destroy enemy radar emissions, as well as disrupt electronic warfare attacks by an adversary, according to Defense Industry Daily:

The EA-18G Growler electronic warfare version is a derivative of the F/A-18F Block II that removes the internal gun, adds electronics within the aircraft to help it detect and jam enemy radars, and mounts four specialized ECM (Electronic CounterMeasures) pods under the wings.

The dispatch of electronic warfare planes makes sense given that the U.S. Navy has repeatedly reported difficulties in collecting data in the past due to Chinese electronic countermeasures. For example, in April 2015, a Global Hawk Long-Range surveillance drone was not able to gather data on Chinese military installations on the Spratly Islands due to Chinese electronic interference.

The EA-18G Growler aircraft are part of an air contingent at Clark Air Base stood up on April 16, following a joint announcement by U.S. Secretary of Defense Ash Carter and Philippine Defense Secretary Voltaire Gazmin in Manila. The contingent at Clark Air Base was made possible by a new U.S.-Philippines defense pact. This so-called Enhanced Defense Cooperation Agreement (EDCA) provides U.S. military personnel and equipment access to Philippine military bases on a rotational basis, among other things.

“The first temporary Air Contingent was comprised of five A-10C Thunderbolt aircraft, three HH-60G Pave Hawk helicopters and approximately 200 personnel deployed from multiple Pacific Air Forces units. The forces deployed to the Philippines for exercise Balikatan and completed their final mission April 28, 2016,” the press statement notes.

As I explained last month:

The United States (…) dispatched A-10C Thunderbolt II aircraft and HH-60 Pave Hawk helicopters near Scarborough Shoal, 120 nautical miles off the coast of the Philippines’ Luzon Island, to demonstrate its commitment to the Philippines, which lays claim to Scarborough Shoal and had administered it until 2012, when China seized the feature by force. Now China appears to be getting ready to launch a land reclamation campaign on Scarborough Shoal.

The Philippines have taken China to court over the South China Sea disputes, including Scarborough Shoal. A ruling by the Permanent Court of Arbitration (PCA) in The Hague is expected soon.
 

SamuraiBlue

Captain
Chinese fishing boat caught again poaching in Indonesian waters.

Indonesian navy fires on Chinese boat, Beijing says one injured

An Indonesian naval vessel fired on a Chinese fishing boat on Friday, injuring one person, China's foreign ministry said, the countries' third reported confrontation this year near a chain of islands as regional tensions mount in the South China Sea.

Indonesia's navy said it had fired warning shots at several boats with Chinese flags that it accused of fishing illegally near the Natuna Islands - but a spokesman told Reuters there had been no injuries.

Indonesia is not part of a broader regional dispute over China's reclamation activities in the South China Sea and Beijing's claims on swathes of key waterways.

But Jakarta has objected to China's inclusion of parts of the Indonesian-ruled Natuna Islands within a "nine-dash line" that Beijing marks on maps to show its claim on the body of water.

China has said it does not dispute Indonesia's sovereignty over the Natuna Islands, although the statement said the area where the incident occurred is subject to overlapping interests.....to read more click here

The last part doesn't really make sense if there is no dispute then how is there any overlapping of interest?
It's either Indonesian sovereign territory in which case Indonesia has exclusive rights or PRC disputes over claim.
 

Brumby

Major
The last part doesn't really make sense if there is no dispute then how is there any overlapping of interest?
It's either Indonesian sovereign territory in which case Indonesia has exclusive rights or PRC disputes over claim.
It is a new spin using traditional fishing grounds as the basis. I am looking forward to China's argument on this one although I don't expect the defence will deviate beyond the rhetoric that it is China's traditional maritime rights.

A NYT article on this.
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
 
Indonesian corvette class of the boat that fired on the Chinese fishing boats from:
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!


1451231_-_main.jpg

An Indonesian Navy Kapitan Pattimura (Parchim I)-class corvette, KRI Pati Unus. The ship is similar to KRI Imam Bonjol, the ship that opened fire on a group of Chinese vessels said to be fishing illegally in the Natuna islands region in June 2016. Source: Indian Navy
 
Top