Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) and Global South strategic cooperation

Arnies

Junior Member
Registered Member
BTW. Australia's economy depends on China,that does not prevent Australia from making enemy out of China. Don't overestimate the so called "economic influence"

Australia's issue steems from paranoia because if you look at the map and with Australia's natural resources everyone would assume that it is an easy take because Australia is so hard to defend due to it's size and terrain.

Due to China's rise the aussies are convinced that China will have Australia high on it's agenda because China wants to control the rare earth minerals and Australia generally has alot of recources. The aussies made a big deal out of China-Solomon islands deals and talks. They are panic'ed and scared to death. All the QUAD stuff was to easy Australia but it never did because Australia understood it meant nothing.. Still the aussies are convinced of China moving into the pacific and in the nearby islands
 

TK3600

Major
Registered Member
I have a problem with this statement. Most of my view on Iran vs Arab countries have nothing to do with financial gains and mostly to do with political/geopolitical concerns. I've already discussed the importance of having its own oil & gas platform to its future independence from Western system. Here are some other reasons.

First of all, there is the matter of quantities. How many Sunni Arab countries are there in Asia and Africa vs shiities? While someone in Indonesia might not have the same friendly view of Palestine as Saudi Arabia, it generally is still a net positive when you are seen as standing with sunni Muslims. Just pragmatism when it comes to geopolitical support, market size and such.

Secondly, just what has supporting Iran gotten china? The liberal wing still has no respect for Chinese culture or tech prowess. They would jump toward the west the moment jcpoa concludes. The conservative wing might have turned to china in recent years, but have they done anything to stand with china? They are far more pro Russia than china. Has Iran been selling hydrocarbon to china in rmb? Have they initiated on large pipeline projects to supply china? They still prefer su35 over j10. Generally, they just don't respect china. China is a reluctant partner for them. I don't see why china needs to support such an ungrateful "partner". There have been many years of western alienation toward issue and we have not seen any progress from Iran toward china.

Thirdly, what could China ever gain from supporting Iran? Right now, a current view in Western world is that the only friends China has is with countries like Russia, Iran and North Korea that are cut off from the current world order. That's not where China wants to be. Russia is a strong partner with large area that is the only realistic major power that would be on their side in a major fight. NK is a friend that's been China's loyal partner for 70 years. Iran is neither a strong not a loyal partner. China does not need to be saddled with Iran. By being friend with all of Sunnis world, China will be on better terms with a good chunk of Asia and Africa. Its products will be all over the place in these countries. Sunni Muslim countries actually like Chinese tech and products and are closing to use them to build their infrastructure and future. Having the support of ASEAN countries + Sunni Muslim world means China + old allies in Africa and Latin America means China can become the leader of the Global South. If Western countries don't agree with that, then they are just being racist.

None of this is to say that China needs to be overtly hostile to Iran, but that China should pick Sunnis over them if they had to make the choice. And frankly, it should be a really easy choice. As I said before, China is investing pick into CPEC and infrastructure projects like Gwadar and Karachi in Pakistan. Iran's own Chabahar port is a threat to Gwadar due to their proximity. Iran has not done anything of value for the BRI project. If China can destroy Chabahar's commercial value, it should. It does not need another competition to Gwadar around the Persian Gulf
The more I look at Iran the more I am reminded of India.
 

tonyget

Senior Member
Registered Member
Iran has not done anything of value for the BRI project. If China can destroy Chabahar's commercial value, it should. It does not need another competition to Gwadar around the Persian Gulf

Exactly. China got far more return from the Arab world than Iran in the past decade,numerous construct project(Chinese companies got billions of dollars of contract from Qatar world cup alone),large weapon sells. And unlike Iran who acquire Chinese weapon and make their own copy,Arabs don't reverse engineer Chinese weapons,they just buy more from China if they need it.

Arab are much better customer than Iran
 

tphuang

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US elites are not taking this Saudi news too well

The US is set to levy fresh sanctions against China for its alleged human rights abuse and support for alleged illegal fishing in the Pacific, according to officials familiar with the matter cited by the Wall Street Journal. Do you have any comment?

Mao Ning: I am not aware of the specifics you said. I would like to say, as a principle, that China strongly opposes interference in other countries’ internal affairs under the pretext of human rights. The US is in no position to impose unwarranted sanctions on other countries or act as a “world policeman”. China will act resolutely to safeguard its lawful rights and interests.

also a few more interesting points
The Paper: We noted that the first RMB cross-border payment transaction between Saudi Arabia and China’s Yiwu city, known as “the world’s supermarket”, was completed ahead of the first China-Arab States Summit. Do you have any comment?

Mao Ning: I also noted this good news. The cross-border RMB payment has played an important role in boosting trade between China and Arab states. This is also a telling snapshot of trade and investment facilitation between both sides.

Over the past decade, China-Arab states economic and trade cooperation has scaled new heights. China is Arab states’ biggest trading partner. In 2021, China’s FDI stock in Arab states hit $23 billion, a 2.6 times increase over 10 years. The trade volume topped $330.3 billion, 1.5 times more than 10 years ago. In the first three quarters of 2022, China-Arab states trade reached $319.295 billion, up 35.28 percent year on year and close to the total of the whole year of 2021.

During his trip to Saudi Arabia, President Xi Jinping expressed China’s hope to level up trade, investment and financial cooperation and expand cooperation in such areas as e-commerce and digital economy with Saudi Arabia. We are confident that this visit will boost sustained, solid progress in China-Saudi Arabia cooperation for mutual benefits of higher quality and at a deeper level.
Right you need general RMB cross border payment, Yuan clearing facilities, currency swaps and such. More of them in Middle East to promote the greater usage of Yuan in these trading. You need to have Saudis actually spend more of their Yuans. Just holding a bunch of RMB does no good. China need to allow countries to actually invest that money in local bond market and stock market and such.

This is the first step in a longer shift. I think they discussed this in the joint statements. Being worked on since 2019
 

taxiya

Brigadier
Registered Member
No, it's this part from joint statement with Saudi Arabia that's important

Who do you think has been fight a proxy war against Saudis and damaging Saudi oil infrastructure? Who do you think China was advertising all those weapon systems to during Zhuhai air show. Who do you think are buying all the Chinese anti-drone equipment? Who do you think is the target of China supplied DF-21s in Saudi Arabia? Aside from possible Western efforts to destabilize Saudi Arabia, Iran is the major target here. China is staking a position as Saudi's protector. Who do they need protection from?

What about this statement from GCC declaration?

This seems specifically aimed as Iran with the nuclear part and waring about proliferation of ballistic missiles and UAVs in damaging international waterways and oil facilities. Is anyone in the Middle East outside of IRGC and Houthis engaged in these activities?

What about the comments targeting Iranian nuclear program?

If I'm Iran, I'd be wondering why China and GCC is dedicating a statement targeting all 3 countries where shiites are fighting for control with Sunnis


If I'm Iran, I'd be wondering why China is discussing Afghanistan with GCC nations without any input from me? Why is China butting its head in every conflict/wartorn nation in the region that I'm trying to extend influence over.
I don't see anything special. Most of the them are principles that China does not object and can not object, like stability in various countries, safety of civilian such as in SA. If the host ask for, there is no excuse to refuse. But agreeing with the universal principle is not taking side.

Agreeing to right principles does not equate to siding with someone. Otherwise, China respecting Ukraine's sovereignty would have been interpreted as anti-Russia and siding with Ukraine, but we know the truth is the opposite.
 
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infinity_wor;d

New Member
Registered Member
China should not sell them weapons, Iran wants to make nuclear weapons, which is going to destabilize entire gulf region because it will push Saudi Arab to build their own nukes and even it may make them to ask USA for protection from Iran nukes by giving them permanent militry base like what we see in South korea and north korea case. If Iran makes nukes then gulf region will mostly go to USA camp because they need protection from Iran nukes and only USA can provide them. So china is moving early and from the statement they made so it's clear that china support nuclear free middle East , nukes will only destabilize middle East. If china needs to become a global superpower so they need to take burden of global Geopolitics , and you can't make everyone happy , so it's better if china keep certain distance from Iran and should try to make sure that middle East remain nuclear free region , but some leftist can't swallow china closeles with gulf countries and distance from Iran . China economy benefits alot from gulf countries then Iran , if Iran end up making nuke then I won't be amazed if they start threathing America with nuke or even start crazily attacking Saudi Arab oil tanks etc because nukes provides you a big deyerance even against superpower.
Well, Iran can get a nuclear weapon soon if they want. But they simply don't do that. They just want some diplomatic leverage. How many years has Iran been enriching uranium? At least a decade. Iran should have
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. And they are still not making a real one.
 

tphuang

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I don't see anything special. Most of the them are principles that China does not object and can not object, like stability in various countries, safety of civilian such as in SA. If the host ask for, there is no excuse to refuse. But agreeing with the universal principle is not taking side.

Agreeing to right principles does not equate to siding with someone. Otherwise, China respecting Ukraine's sovereignty would have been interpreted as anti-Russia and siding with Ukraine, but we know the truth is the opposite.
Again, China is claiming itself as protector against Saudi's enemies. Who has been attacking Saudi infrastructure? it was not a simple statement to make. When you take the role of protecting GCC countries, you are stepping up your game and picking Sunnis ahead of other players in the region.
 

tphuang

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About $50 billion of investment agreements were signed during the China summit held in Saudi Arabia last week, the kingdom’s investment minister said.

The pacts included both the private and public sectors, Khalid Al Falih told Bloomberg on the sidelines of a conference Sunday in the Saudi capital, Riyadh. The ministry later said the agreements were only between Saudi Arabia and China, and did not include other Middle East countries that attended summits with the Chinese leader.
A lot of business got done. Dwarfs the initial claim of just $29 billion. In fact, I was surprised how all encompassing it was with all the signings and such.

I think the entire Yuan oil/gas thing was worded in a way to make it sound like a ask rather than an agreement is because the system is not ready yet and Saudis don't want to take the full incoming from Western powers. Over the next couple of years, there will be a lot more military exports (which America is afraid of) from China to GCC countries as well as other high tech exports. Similarly with Algeria, Morocco and Egypt probably. This is just the start.
 

vincent

Grumpy Old Man
Staff member
Moderator - World Affairs
I think China is just building up the framework for RMB transactions with all the developing countries for now so when the Hegemon cut China off from its financial network, everyone can just switch to the RMB network.
 
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