If anyone remember, that the recent construction at the flight training facility, which resembles catapults? If and when they decide on EM or steam cat, the first thing we can expect is that there'll be buzz on the activities there.
Yes, the land based training facility I think is where the competition will be held -- by78's post 5551 on the last page shows us the most up to date satellite pic of the construction there...
It is nice because we can actually see the clear differences between the configuration of the two supposed catapults. Vincent a few days ago posted a picture comparing the different configurations of the suspected catapults. It's attached below -- note, I'm not sure if the three pictures of the three different sites are "scaled" correctly at the same height.
It is thought that the "longer/thinner" catapult may be the steam catapult (the most left picture below suggesting construction of a similar configuration steam cat demonstrator began in 2008 at a site supposedly in Shanghai), and that the "shorter/wider" catapult may be the EM catapult (the most right picture below suggesting construction of the similar configuration EM cat demonstrator began in 2011 supposedly in Wuhan)... with the middle picture at the land based naval aviation training facility at Xing Cheng/Huangdicun with photos from late 2015, showing the configurations of both the "longer/thinner" suspected steam catapult, alongside the "shorter/wider" suspected EM catapult.
At this stage I think it is enough to confirm that the two suspected catapults are definitely different in some way, however we do not have enough evidence to strongly claim that one is steam and one is EM.
It will also be difficult for us to confirm that either one is even a catapult, for at least many months, possibly a year or more, even after construction of the suspected catapult or catapults is finished, because we will have to rely only on satellite imagery which may take months or years to update to show us some J-15s or other aircraft around the suspected catapult site at Huangdicun to strongly suggest that the catapults are actually catapults.
In other words, even if those two structures at Huangdicun are catapults, it may be a few years until we get picture confirmation that they are. Furthermore, it will likely be even more years until we get definitive picture or video confirmation that they are testing two different types of catapults (such as steam vs EM as has been rumoured recently) -- that will likely require videos or pictures of the catapults launching the aircraft for the full sequence, and if the catapult does not expel any steam then it will strongly suggest it would be EM rather than steam.
Of course, the Chinese Navy might feel generous, throw us a bone, and confirm it officially, which would be great.