"White elephant" means if it costs more than its worth, has to be maintained because of prestige, and doesn't have much practical use. This can be the case if China's carrier program is at the opportunity cost of deploying an overall more effective force whether it be by sea, air, or land, if it provokes more than it deters others, and if it isn't actually used in a way where nothing else could have done the job.
Similar to what you described regarding 2030, before China's carriers are deployable, defensible, and likely to survive and serve its purpose against all likely opponents it falls under both "sitting duck" and "white elephant" definitions.
Would you accept that any goal to deploy an effective carrier capability would inherently require a period whereby a carrier would inevitably have a "sitting duck" and "white elephant" phase?
As it happens China's likely opponents include at least two of the top navies and air forces of the world and a number of significant albeit smaller militaries with competent naval and air arms.
Yes, but China's more likely foes and missions for carriers also include a number of smaller militaries and irregular forces beyond the western pacific where carriers are far more survivable (if not invulnerable), and those are combat missions where carriers would likely be actually used during normal extended operations rather than merely high intensity conflict.
Carriers offer a unique capability but they are not particularly flexible and are high maintenance especially in terms of finances and force organization. Consider the resources devoted to the carrier program could also make a lot of progress in other programs whether it be destroyers, cruisers, nuclear subs, tanker aircraft, strategic bombers, satellites, or missiles, all of which are much more flexible than carriers.
On the contrary, aircraft carriers are inherently flexible as they are the only ability any nation has to deploy fixed wing airpower to distant locations without the need for foreign basing, and the only ability a nation has to provide a naval task group with organic combat air patrol beyond land based air power.