This is the best thing ever.
China can then attack and destroy taiwan's cities at well !
PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency
- Thread starter pugachev_diver
- Start date
This is the best thing ever.
China can then attack and destroy taiwan's cities at well !
No article 5 in the ocean. Russia can't declare Romanian airspace to be a war zone, but China's EEZ alone extends past Taiwan.
China can declare a danger zone for foreign planes in international waters that aren't in anyone's EEZ or territorial waters, as a buffer surrounding Taiwan. This is perfectly legal.
Anyone that flies inside takes the risk of being shot down by a "misfired" missile. Accidents happen.
Would the Japanese island of Yonaguni be a problem? Yonaguni is only ~120km from Yilan and ~160km from Taipei, so AEW planes circling above Yonaguni will have radar coverage of most/all of Taiwan.
It's hard to say. If the United States requests Japan to provide a base, Japan will not refuse.
According to the previous assumption of the Japanese hawks, they would deceive themselves and declare that they had "not" intervened in the war. But when these bases are really attacked, they can assist the United States in self-defense.
Of course, this is only the imagination of unofficial or semi official individuals.
the way I understand it is that Beijing sees the Taiwan reunification issue NOT as a Beijing-Taipei contention, but as a Beijing-Washington contest of will and might. The defense capabilities of Taiwan nowadays are inadequate to meet the challenges and withstand the onslaught across the strait as many members have rightly pointed out. Public opinion in Taiwan recognizes this fact, therefore die-hard separatists there pin their only hope on US whole-hearted intervention should AR occur. However, given the US's dismal performance in the Russia-Ukraine war, the Israel-Hamas fight, and the ragtag Houthis ability to blockade the Red Sea passageway, more and more Taiwanese people are skeptical about US resolve to face a peer challenge in the form of PLA. Accordingly, a recent poll in Taiwan shows that only 38% of respondents strongly believe that the US would come to Taiwan's aid should a war break out.
The above poll notwithstanding, Beijing still needs to plan carefully and is building up its capabilities on the premises of a definite joint
American / Japanese intervention in the AR process. In the grand scheme of strategy, the Taiwanese AR war, once broken out, can be considered a Chinese-determined effort to push the Americans out of the Western Pacific for good. Hence, all gloves are off, and all American forces will be attacked and destroyed, including airforce and naval bases in Japan.
this is a very scary scenario, and the fight may escalate to a nuclear exchange if American flattops are sunk by DF missiles.
I just wish and pray that what plawolf predicts will happen: "That is why the most likely scenario in the event of a US no-show after armed reunification starts is a military coup within Taiwan followed swiftly by unconditional surrender."
The two survivors claim the Taiwanese coast guard rammed their ship which flipped it over. I think at this point if someone doesn't resign or get fired, this event won't blow over.
Looks like Chinese coast guard have normalized crossing over Kinmen's supposed borders.
Looks like Chinese coast guard have normalized crossing over Kinmen's supposed borders.
At first TW side claimed the fishing boat was fleeing in zig zag pattern, which caused it to capsize. This led people to speculate that TWCG boat was shooting at the fishing boat, as otherwise fleeing boat would have been speeding off in a straight line.
After dithering for a few days, TWCG now say they don't have a video record of what happened, because <some non-convincing reasons>.
TW authorities wanted to cremate the two dead, but their families refused. Not sure what current situation is. Obviously TW side can't hold on to the bodies indefinitely.
After China Marine Surveillance had their fun yesterday today is China Fishery Law Enforcement's turn:
China Maritime Safety Administration is up tomorrow I'm guessing
Comment under :
This is because 郭正亮 was talking on TV last night about how no one in Taiwan dared to talk about the marine surveillance ship getting within Kinmen's zone, he only knew about it because he too was following Shenyi on Weibo. DPP still trying to play this one down.
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