I don't pretend to be expert and I am happy to accept critic to my comments. But the expression we don't live in time of WWII was paternalistic.
On the other hand, the situation I have described has really happened in the Ukranian war. Air defenses operating in passive mode to remain hidden until a plane shows up.
As crazy as it may look there were actual reports of how in the cloudy days russians aircraft could be more active due to Ukranians unable to spot them
And specially before the introduction of the glide bombs by Russia, its planes needed to fly low to drop bombs with some precision so it was even easier to spot them.
However, I totally accept the point that Taiwan size is much smaller than Ukraine, and it is an island. So for chinese planes will be much easier.
It was simply a comment of the kind of strategy that taiwanese will employ. Their objective will not be to win, or even maximize survival but to inflict as much damage to chinese air force and army
I also myself want to apologise, that please don’t be paternalistic was aggressive.
Anyway level of comments here is very high, I am happy to interact and read you!!
Fair comments, but the main thing to keep in mind is that Ukraine is a really really bad example because of how many unique and frankly stupid things that are happening over there.
The Russians using 4th gen fighters to drop iron bombs would be a classic example that will not be repeated anywhere else by a top modern military.
Also, Ukraine has the unique advantage of having NATO ISR plugged directly into their kill chains. Which is the fundamental reason their Air Defences have been so effective in the war. That makes SEAD impossible for the Russians without going directly after said NATO ISR, which means they can only do DEAD, which is an order of magnitude more difficult. To give an idea of just how big of a jump that is, DEAD is actually something the US and allies never even managed to achieve during any of their wars despite the overwhelming dominance they enjoyed and total air superiority.
That won’t be the case in any fight for Taiwan, which is why people scoff when you use Ukraine as an example.
The closest example of how a fight for Taiwan is likely to go would be the bombing campaign against the former Yugoslavia, but even more one sided.
With direct US involvement in the war, it would just be suicide with extra steps for Taiwan to resist. That is why the most likely scenario in the event of a US no-show after armed reunification starts is a military coup within Taiwan followed swiftly by unconditional surrender. Because if you are the RoC military, would you rather be live target dummies for the PLA or turn on the politicians who made you said live target dummy?
