Equation
Lieutenant General
I say five...just in time for "made in China 2025" to arrive.Five to ten years at the absolute maximum.
I say five...just in time for "made in China 2025" to arrive.Five to ten years at the absolute maximum.
I say five...just in time for "made in China 2025" to arrive.
Not only will Huawei not die at all but it will continue to grow;
Huawei is pretty much dead as a company. Even SCMP is sounding the death knell. The biggest problem is China's unwillingness to use state power to retaliate against US for Huawei. China obviously has its reasons about why it is not retaliating. Right now, China is too weak to fight US head-on. Or fight head-on without hurting itself more.
The biggest advantage China has is its rapid potential for fast GDP growth and rapid tech catch-up. So, it is focusing on developing itself rather than decoupling with US even further. Any action to retaliate for Huawei will probably hurt itself more. So, it is not going for that.
I don't think China has a choice but to give up on some tech advances it made that was too much dependent on US platform tech. Mainly Smartphone business, Laptop Business and app business. All dependent on US platform of Chips, Android and Windows. China can probably rely on homegrown platform in its home market. But it cannot use homegrown alternative to android or windows outside China. They will always be at a disadvantage compared to the huge app library of Windows and Android. These are simply too entrenched. Same thing with X86 and ARM instruction set.
China will have to grow from the bottom up. Start with low tech chips used in low tech parts then slowly move up the value chain to finally get to smartphone level. As long as they rely on US tech for this, they can always be cutoff. So, Xiaomi and Oneplus are on borrowed time. Now that Xiaomi is gaining market share in Europe, it is almost certainly the next target.
China will have to make a strategic decision sooner or later to completely give on Smartphone, Laptop and App business outside China and focus on its home market to develop the necessary chips and Operating system, Database software and so on. Even programming languages are all US made. That cannot work. China needs to develop its own programming languages now. Every single US tech must have a Chinese alternative. Only then it can survive the full onslaught of Western decoupling that is coming.
Of course many of these tech are open source or can be copied easily. But, China will still have to make sufficient changes to make them uniquely Chinese to break away from US dominance.
Huawei is pretty much dead as a company. Even SCMP is sounding the death knell. The biggest problem is China's unwillingness to use state power to retaliate against US for Huawei. China obviously has its reasons about why it is not retaliating. Right now, China is too weak to fight US head-on. Or fight head-on without hurting itself more.
The biggest advantage China has is its rapid potential for fast GDP growth and rapid tech catch-up. So, it is focusing on developing itself rather than decoupling with US even further. Any action to retaliate for Huawei will probably hurt itself more. So, it is not going for that.
I don't think China has a choice but to give up on some tech advances it made that was too much dependent on US platform tech. Mainly Smartphone business, Laptop Business and app business. All dependent on US platform of Chips, Android and Windows. China can probably rely on homegrown platform in its home market. But it cannot use homegrown alternative to android or windows outside China. They will always be at a disadvantage compared to the huge app library of Windows and Android. These are simply too entrenched. Same thing with X86 and ARM instruction set.
China will have to grow from the bottom up. Start with low tech chips used in low tech parts then slowly move up the value chain to finally get to smartphone level. As long as they rely on US tech for this, they can always be cutoff. So, Xiaomi and Oneplus are on borrowed time. Now that Xiaomi is gaining market share in Europe, it is almost certainly the next target.
China will have to make a strategic decision sooner or later to completely give on Smartphone, Laptop and App business outside China and focus on its home market to develop the necessary chips and Operating system, Database software and so on. Even programming languages are all US made. That cannot work. China needs to develop its own programming languages now. Every single US tech must have a Chinese alternative. Only then it can survive the full onslaught of Western decoupling that is coming.
Of course many of these tech are open source or can be copied easily. But, China will still have to make sufficient changes to make them uniquely Chinese to break away from US dominance.
It won't work because many companies outside the US: from China, SK, Japan, and EU will use these opportunities to sell more to China!
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The United States is considering new restrictions on exports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment and associated software tools, lasers, sensors, and other technology to prevent them from falling into the hands of U.S. adversaries like China.
The U.S. Commerce Department said in a posting on a government website on Wednesday it was seeking public input on how to define new technologies as it determines "whether there are specific foundational technologies that warrant more restrictive controls" in the export process.
Numbers do matter;A complete supply chain might exist already, just not state of the art. The question is how competitive the domestic supply chain will be by 2025.
If China can do 14nm alone, then there is hope.
This demonstrate that he is a typical capitalist who is willing to sell his mother if he can make a big money.Hard to believe that this is the same guy who wanted President Xi to name his daughter .
5G in US averages 51Mbps while other countries hit hundreds of megabitsIt won't work because many companies outside the US: from China, SK, Japan, and EU will use these opportunities to sell more to China!
Chinese companies will increase their R&D and within a couple years new products and services will come online.
But one must ask why the US is imposing these new rules? It's a sign of a sinking ship, and companies will ignore those rules, after all China's economy will be much larger by 2025 and 2035.
BEIJING, Aug. 27 (Xinhua) -- China's spending on research and development (R&D) hit a record high at 2.23 percent of its GDP in 2019, up by 0.09 percentage points from the previous year, data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) showed Thursday.Western sources often take the stance "Its not quantity, its quality that counts.," while also suggesting there is a certain amount of plagarism in the published works.
To substantiate this claim they often provide statistics that show Chinese published papers are the least cited by researchers from other nations.
"China leads the US in the deployment of hypersonics, small drones, quantum communications, 5G, facial recognition, e-commerce, electric vehicles, clean tech (wind and solar), high-speed rail, and the world’s largest database of genetic engineering data"Hahaha, once China becomes independent in regards to Chip making, guess who are going to suffer the consequences. Not to mention that if it is the case here, it certainly backfired in regards to sales in China going down due to the whole WeChat/tick tock situation
Investment in basic research stood at 133.56 billion yuan last year, accounting for 6 percent of the total spending, the data showed.