What if China decides to invest 200 billion per year (and continuously for 30 years) in microelectronics, nanoelectronics, microprocessor, microcontroller, software and information systems right now . China has the financial strength, talent, manpower, and facilities to do that.
China's starting point is lower, but will be the winner in the end
They need to look into leapfrog technologies, not just costly retracing the steps of US industry for the last 20 years. If they invest 100 billion per year continuously for 30 years in quantum computing I bet it would have a higher payoff than 200 billion per year in traditional semiconductors.