Re: The End of the Carrier Age?
At the very least they can detect the launch of the DF-21 and that added warning time is golden for a carrier under attack
A UCAV in the area will give you not much extra warning time than the early warning radars and satellites they'll have in orbit, if any at all... And that's if the UCAV is pointed in the right direction and its small sensors are potent enough to detect what could be hundreds of km away.
They can. This is what X-47 is being designed for
Designed for what? Certainly not A2A shoot downs of boosting missiles. It's designed for persistent, dangerous strike/surveillance missions -- meaning it's too dangerous for pilots, meaning the chances they'll be shot down is very very high.
The stated range of the UAV seems to be enough plus the X-47 is being designed to be re-fueled in flight
True it can be refueled in flight, just as any other aircraft aboard a carrier.
It's max unreueld range of 3900km and is different to combat radius, the maximum of which you can determine by halving said unrefueld range. Likely it will be lower due to payload. So <1950 km is decent but not quite enough. Of course IFR can change that but you'll need tankers in the air in the first place
The thinking is 'could'. However there are at least two missiles with the range to close with an aircraft operating in defended airspace and these are the retired Phoenix and the Russian Novator K-100.... it is a Russian air-to-air missile designed as an "AWACS killer"[4] at ranges up to 200km
First, the phoenix never had much of a good record, and K-100 is still in development. Even the example of the YJ-91 is unfounded -- we hear this talk from ausairpower and the like of anti AEWC A2A missiles but little real world demonstrations. But let's assume there is such a missile....
You'll still need to develop both a larger and different plane to the intended X-47B (which is a strike/surveillance aircraft). You said X-47B could be/is a counter to the AShBM. Clearly it isn't, case closed.
Could there be a future UCAV that may fill your requirements? Possibly, but X-47B isn't it.
As you said about A2A missiles shooting down boosting missiles, the same could be said about mid course manuevers of these proposed ASBMs. Until tested know one knows what is happening.
Err we know A2A missiles can obviously shoot down boosting missiles. Give me an apache with stingers a distance from a boosting scud. But can an A2A missile cross some 200km in time before the ballistic missile gets too high for it? Possible, but depends on the situation namely how close the UCAV is to the launch site. And given the massive possible launch area of potential launch sites and IADS protection... shooting down boost phase DF-21Ds sound more and more unlikely and difficult.
Yes mid course maneuvers aren't a given yet for DF-21D, but that wasn't my point. IRBMs are all exoatmosperic for most of their flight, compard to SRBMs. Unless your UCAVs can operate and fire their missiles at the edge of space it would be easier to leave aegis ships in attempt to intercept instead. Basically, a hypothetical larger X-47B like UCAV armed with long range A2A missiles won't be able to shoot down a DF-21D midflight because they're flying at entirely different levels.
Shooting down such missiles midcourse will require ASAT like technology.
X-47 is the next wave. Just posting the news on where carrier aviation is heading. Besides as the saying goes...Drones are fearless
But before I close this out can you tell me why the US Navy is working on X-47 type UAVs that are designed to fly off of carriers. What is your idea why they are putting all this time and money to develop these carrier borne UAVs?
You're not posting news about carrier aviation -- I've heard no news at all of turning X-47B into a counter to DF-21D by giving it A2A in attempt to shoot down boosting missiles.
But I completely agree UCAVs are the "next wave". They can go where it may be too dangerous for piloted crafts to go, and are not limited by pilot endurance either. They will make excellent long range strikers (as of yet there's nothing to suggest X-47B's range will outdo AShBM's 2700km unrefueled however), and persistent surveillance.
But are UCAVs, and X-47B in particular the counter to AshBM? No.