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ACuriousPLAFan

Lieutenant General
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Eventine

Senior Member
Registered Member
Now I get why China doesn't really intervene much. There's always a chance you pick a guy that has massive issues inherently and you basically have you spend so much money keeping him alive since he can't make it by himself. And when the cost is too much you have to bail out like this in a embarrassing manner.

The whole Global South thing sounds nice on paper until you realize its only a few countries doing the actual fighting and everyone else expecting them to do the work for them.

India is a prime example of how this can go wrong. They keep calling themselves the leader of the global south. So lets say a lot of countries start having issues and start going to India for help. Thats when you will see ugliness really coming out and will collapse this group quite fast.
Pretty much. It is not China's job to fix other people's cultures / countries. We learned from Bush's War on Terror how expensive, and ultimately futile, it is to try and force change on another civilization; so these days the Middle East is mainly just a proxy region for great powers' intelligence agencies and influence operations. The Great Game in the Middle East is now played on the cheap.

It's also why I've always emphasized and fixated on demographics. It's not China's business to change, save, or rule Arabs, and it shouldn't try to. Instead it should focus on bringing more Chinese into the world. Even if more Chinese don't always benefit China, at least there is the hope that they can be united towards a shared purpose, because of common heritage and cultural psychology. There is little hope of doing that for the so called Global South.
 

FairAndUnbiased

Brigadier
Registered Member
SAA abandon Damascus will be the final nail to the coffin. They gave up Syria entirely.

Is this the fastest collapse we've seen around the world in the past 20 years? Did Assad leave Damascus yet?

Abandoning Damascus might be the only way to go. It is indefensible because there's no land connection from Damascus to the Mediterranean, where both the ports and the Alawite homeland is, other than through Homs.

Assad could probably do a last stand with his Republican Guard and Air Force in Tartus and Latakia, which is behind mountains with only a few roads in and out. He has a much better chance of surviving there than trying to hold positions in the desert. And even if he dies, his clan (with their military positions) should be doing a last stand.

The Republican Guard is 90% Alawite, and they're not going to be able to all flee with Assad, so it's that or... well, we've all seen or heard of the videos.

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PiSigma

"the engineer"
"Changing Cadre Incentives: The Untold Story of China’s Economic Challenge"

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Author
View attachment 140553

"Zhuoran Li is a Ph.D. candidate in China studies and a research assistant at the School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS), Johns Hopkins University. His work has been featured in The Diplomat and the National Interest, and he has appeared on Vox News.

Zhuoran Li is a Ph.D. candidate in China studies and a research assistant at the School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS), Johns Hopkins University. He received his BA at the University of Virginia and MA at SAIS. His research interests include Chinese politics, Japanese politics, and East Asian security and diplomacy. His works have been featured in The Diplomat, SAIS China Studies Review, and the National Interest, and he has appeared on Vox News."

Why is he taking a Phd for China studies in US, instead of CN?
Because he looks like he have down syndrome
 

BlackWindMnt

Major
Registered Member

pmc

Colonel
Registered Member
Ahhh...this must be the SOFT ARAB POWER our dear @pmc has been yammering about all these years!!!
yes this is the practical demonstration of Arab Soft Power. and it will not be the last demonstration of it. Arab soft power has unlimted Wealth, Tech and Manpower behind it. Even China buys Iranian oil in Malaysia not that it matter since size of overall trade small.
Russia has that wiggle room for North-South Corridor due tremendous confidence on its Muslim population but That Soft Power warnings are indirect. Produce the demographic whose first and last priority is Russia land or else. why do you think Putin keep mentioning Russia women should have 8 to 10 children and largest meeting on demographics recently. Putin used Russian Jews to warn Iran not the Soft Power that is always in the background.
Iran was always a non entity and it could not deal with Taliban next door when its diplomats were smashed and it is same group even when non recognized present in Russia in higher profile.
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Exclusive: Russia Warns Iran Against Targeting Israel​


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December 5, 2024, 4:31 PM

Putin called for creating conditions for a turnaround in the demographic situation in Russia in 2025​

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ACuriousPLAFan

Lieutenant General
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