Miscellaneous News

Very interesting opinion, the author argued that in the case of taiwan declares independence, China won't invade instantly, but choose to mobilizise on war footing for a couple of years instead, perhaps by spending up to 50% gdp on defence, the author argued the biggest mistake of ww2 is that the combantants mobilized after the war started, instead of preparing long before hand, and that China won't make the same mistake

bajingan said:

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1512136932024733698

Very interesting opinion, the author argued that in the case of taiwan declares independence, China won't invade instantly, but choose to mobilizise on war footing for a couple of years instead, perhaps by spending up to 50% gdp on defence, the author argued the biggest mistake of ww2 is that the combantants mobilized after the war started, instead of preparing long before hand, and that China won't make the same mistake

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50% gdp on defence? you mean 5% ?

9dashline said:

50% gdp on defence? you mean 5% ?

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He mentioned 50% gdp, he argued in WWII, US spent 40%, UK 50%, USSR 60% , Germany and Japan 70% at the end, but yea i think 50% its way too high lol

bajingan said:

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1512136932024733698

Very interesting opinion, the author argued that in the case of taiwan declares independence, China won't invade instantly, but choose to mobilizise on war footing for a couple of years instead, perhaps by spending up to 50% gdp on defence, the author argued the biggest mistake of ww2 is that the combantants mobilized after the war started, instead of preparing long before hand, and that China won't make the same mistake

Click to expand...

a 10 trillion defense budget doesn't buy 10x the things of a 1 trillion defense budget but it does halve your civilian economic output. instantly I know this guy is shit.

bajingan said:

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1512136932024733698

Very interesting opinion, the author argued that in the case of taiwan declares independence, China won't invade instantly, but choose to mobilizise on war footing for a couple of years instead, perhaps by spending up to 50% gdp on defence, the author argued the biggest mistake of ww2 is that the combantants mobilized after the war started, instead of preparing long before hand, and that China won't make the same mistake

Click to expand...

Spending a couple years to mobilize for war after Taiwan declares independence is an idiotic move. China will have to react in a short time frame. It’s the same issue in Ukraine. Russia let the Ukrainians build up for several years. Maybe by the time China invades there will be 100k US marines on the island.

50% GDP on defence would freak everyone out from Taipei, Washington, Tokyo and New Delhi. It would also be unsustainable so you'd have to use it to delete your threats quickly otherwise you end up breaking up like the USSR did.

FriedButter said:

Spending a couple years to mobilize for war after Taiwan declares independence is an idiotic move. China will have to react in a short time frame. It’s the same issue in Ukraine. Russia let the Ukrainians build up for several years. Maybe by the time China invades there will be 100k US marines on the island.

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it is wishful thinking of what they think China should do to make things easier for them.

I remember someone here talked about a college essay about what Saddam should've done during Desert Storm to maximize Iraqi interests and achieve an Iraqi victory, if possible.

Most of the white murican students answered "Saddam should've surrendered first" "Saddam shouldn't have invaded Kuwait" "Saddam is an evil dictator". they all got F's because they did not maximize Iraqi interests but US interests.

One Chinese student answered "Saddam should've struck first during the middle of Desert Shield when it had a numerical advantage, blitzed Saudi Arabia to inflict as many casualties as possible on the US forces, and negotiate from a position of strength. After Vietnam the US military was untested and not very confident in its new theories. Massive casualties would be a deterrence against an overseas adventure instead of inciting them to anger just like in Vietnam. In the worst case scenario, Iraq would've fared no worse than it did after 2003."

He got an A.

Crang said:

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1515252361538998274

Of course featuring

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1515429539735875589

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This is funny as heck. Suddenly Gordon is interested in Chinese citizens lives due to so called failure in covid zero. Wat about the million dead Americans? Is he concerned about the failure of live with covid policy

FriedButter said:

Might as well use Google at that point lol. I don’t see how DuckDuckGo is gonna convince new customers for their search engine when Google is superior in literally everything to DuckDuckGo.

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Yeah. Long before this I was told duck is more concerned about user privacy and not as friendly to US authorities so I tried it. But after few days I switched back to google cuz it's really better. Turns out now duck is aligned with US government anyway.

FriedButter said:

Spending a couple years to mobilize for war after Taiwan declares independence is an idiotic move. China will have to react in a short time frame. It’s the same issue in Ukraine. Russia let the Ukrainians build up for several years. Maybe by the time China invades there will be 100k US marines on the island.

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There's still got to have some time to prepare though. Besides building up troops, china got to take more steps to decouple from west in anticipation of all out sanctions like wat they did to Russia. Russia didn't invade immediately after the maidan coup and when Ukraine forces start attacking the Russian majority regions in eastern Ukraine. They had to make some preparations while trying some diplomatic stuff too. I don't think china will wait as long as the Russians but I also don't think it will be immediate.