Miscellaneous News
- Thread starter bd popeye
- Start date
The view that Colby expressed in his book is actually not that extreme among the US ruling elites, it's just that he has the audacity to write them down and express them so bluntly, without so much wrapping them up in the usual BS like "rule-based international order" or "democracy vs autocracy" and any such nonsense. This book is supposedly very popular in DC. It should be translated into Chinese and distributed among members of Politburo of CCP and on down. Or better yet, make it a required reading beyond certain levels of the elites.
Despite repeated warnings and increasingly clear and unmistaken threats and behaviors from the US, I still see a lot of naivety and wishy-washy among much of the Chinese leadership, elites and general populace. To be sure, China and Chinese are among those who have benefited most from the globalization and relatively peaceful environment of the last three decades. It's natural and understandable that there are a lot of hope/wish/belief that good time will continue despite all the challenges, because, well, time is on China's side and best is yet to come.
This just means that the Jawans are gonna do something stupid this summer.
it is not high when Ukraine federal expenditure estimated for 2022 was close to $55b. now you add super expensive logistics, running large cities budgets, and health care during war time. they really need close to $100b a year. than impact of losing the productive population aka Foreigners and another 24K to Israel.
Overborn you nailed the Ukraine bet, time for me to go on record, China will do tw reunification before end of this year
DuckDuckGo like NordVPN are controlled opposition
They are US companies and dont get to become top of their category without blessings of CIA. Look at what US did to megaupload a decade ago, or how they forced SpiderOak to backdoor all their products under pretext of "emergency security update" in which earlier versions were broken and then pretend their warrant canary didnt die when it fact it did, or how Dallas based Lavabit was forced to shutdown its operations when it refused to implement a backdoor post-Snowden etc...
@clockwork
Even oilprice.com, which is a website about oil industry news, has been co-opted by the spooks. I mean just look at the sponsors of a lot of the latest news. And they even post articles by RFE/RL. Radio Free Europe. CIA news directly sponsored by US government.
Even oilprice.com, which is a website about oil industry news, has been co-opted by the spooks. I mean just look at the sponsors of a lot of the latest news. And they even post articles by RFE/RL. Radio Free Europe. CIA news directly sponsored by US government.
I think the timeframe is wrong, but most importantly the question itself needs to be changed. We should change our thinking first.
Like on Ukraine, my underlined thinking was always more about the US than Russia. Similarly, in a Tw reunification scenario, its the US that is most probably going to be the orchestrator, so we should focus more on it's actions than on China's predictable reaction.
IMO a more suitable question is:
When will the US decide to trigger a Taiwan reunification war?
My hunch is that while Biden is president, the chance is about 10-15%. After the elections, and if a Republican is elected, possibility of a war skyrockets to >50%.
To summarise, I think its too early to make a final bet/prediction about Taiwan. I will probably do so at late 2023 - early 2024