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Rettam Stacf

Junior Member
Registered Member
That is the ultimate responsibility of being a superpower. No matter how much they hate each other, they have to do what they need to do as superpowers, even though it means acting sometimes. Just imagine superpowers stop talking......I am not sure if you have anything in a 401K or a stock market. Even a house for that matter. Cold war is by nature deflationary. I am not saying I am glad seeing acting. I am just saying people at level gotta do what they have to do.

For a country in the North America continent and another in the Asia continent to talk and decide on the fate of a war ongoing in the European continent, do the Europeans feel ashamed of their impotence ? Is that really the new world order they want to see ?
 

4Runner

Junior Member
Registered Member
For a country in the North America continent and another in the Asia continent to talk and decide on the fate of a war ongoing in the European continent, do the Europeans feel ashamed of their impotence ? Is that really the new world order they want to see ?
If you ask Chinese inside China, you would find vast majority agree with you. But reality is brutal and life is not fair. Human history is indeed shaped by superpowers, not democratic nobodies.
 

horse

Colonel
Registered Member
This would be a long story. But I remember every major event since 1991 that US has taken to monetize everything. The very fact that Clinton defeated Bush and unleashed those genies is exactly because US won the cold war and the shackle is off. Then you compare monetary policies between 1945 and 1991. Also let me remind that if Bush pushed Paul Volcker (and Allen Greenspan) to adopt similar FED policies to what were implemented after 1992, there would have no chance for Clinton to win that election. In a nutshell, you can also mark 1992 election as the beginning of the hubris, a.k.a. the end of history a.k.a. Pax Americana. They all converged to a financial angle that indicates Cold War is deflationary vs Pax Americana as inflationary.

That war between Israel and the Arab states in the 1970's, lead to the OPEC oil embargo.

The idea back then, that cartels were not suppose to work. That was right from the textbook. But that proved to be untrue, as the oil cartel did work together and caused an oil shortage.

This oil shock as it became to be known by OPEC, cause gas prices to rocket in the United States, which lead to a recession, and persistent inflation.

The Vietnam War at the time was winding down, but the Americans were still funding it. That needed money, apparently which they were running out of. Cannot remember that angle.

So the Americans had war, inflation, oil shortages. This lead to the recession. This was the general malaise of America during the 1970's.

What happened next, was the recession turned into stagflation. The inflation was still there, but economic stagnated. That too was not in the textbook. The world never seen that, stagflation. That lasted all the 1970's in America, until Ronald Reagan came onto the scene.

Reagan was not important. Who was important was the Fed Chairman at the time, Paul Volker, who raised interests rates above 20%, (forget), in order to crush inflation in America once and for all.

What Volker did, raising interest rates that high cause the worst recession in US history since the Great Depression. But it worked. Inflation was crushed.

After Volker raised rates, and crushed inflation in the US, that ushered in a period known as disinflation in America, that happened to last decades, until recently.

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Blah blah blah.

What is important I think, is that there is inflation, but they won't let it get out of hand. They will allow it, but try to manage it at the same.

Seems to me there is a grand experiment with managing the US economy through various methods. Will it work? Who knows.

When Volker raised those interest rates sky high, apparently he was asked under testimony to the US congress to review these things, and Volker testified that indeed that was his plan to raise interest rates, but he did not know if it would work.

Hey, what Volker did that half year, that effect lasted decades, and he claimed he did not know it will work.

But, we still got to do something right? Just go long the stocks, and avoid the bonds, maybe buy commodities, probably should just listen to Ray Dalio.

:D
 

siegecrossbow

General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Judging by how much the west despises Xi, I am pretty damn confident he is making the right moves. Remember, a strong China is directly antithetical to western interests and notions of Anglo supremacy. The west's ultimate wet dream is for China to forever remain the world's factory of cheap, plastic goods, for it to never climb the value chain and become technologically independent and competitive. In other words, they want a weak China that can be controlled with sanctions, and at the same time acts as a permanent buffer against inflation. Under Xi's tenure, we are seeing the complete opposite of that.

Go on reddit (or any western social media for that matter) and comment something braindead along the lines of 'winnie pooh xi', you'd get hundreds of upvotes, reddit gold, and a blowjob or two. On the other hand, nobody even knows who Hu Jintao or Jiang Zemin is in the west. Gorbachev was worshipped by Americans. Xi is reviled. I know who I'd rather place my trust in.

A strong China is not necessarily inimical to Western interests. China is actually a beneficiary of the rules based order before Trump swung a massive sledge hammer on it. They just had to adjust their strategies because Western powers don’t see the relationship as beneficial, even though it is.
 
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