Opinion piece on Russian media on Victoria Nuland's recent visit to Russia. It appears that the primary mission of the visit is to probe Russia flexibility to take "neutrality" stance vis-a-vis US-China strategic contest.
The
is in Russia. Below is the Google Translate of the article:
10/15/2021, 09:53
If Victoria Nuland ever becomes US Secretary of State, then for the first time since Henry Kissinger this position will be occupied by a truly professional diplomat who can see the strategic depth of the problem, and not a political appointee who, at best, is more or less tolerable in solving tactical problems, at worst, not capable of this
Of course,
Kissinger is an old-school diplomat, and
Nuland needs to learn and learn to at least get close to his level, but other American diplomats are much farther to Nuland than the last one to Kissinger.
Victoria possesses all the qualities required of an outstanding diplomat. In addition to the ability to see the problem in all its depth and diversity, she is an extremely skillful, tough and uncompromising negotiator, able, however, to feel at what point it is necessary to compromise and what the depth of this compromise should be, so that the United States does not lose anything of what. what they can get as a result of negotiations. She, like all American politicians of the new generation, is hindered by ideologization and belief in American exceptionalism, but she demonstrates the ability to overcome the vicious practice of American narcissism, in cases where a real-life politician sharply diverges from Washington's ideas about the situation, and the continuation of an ideologized policy threatens an immediate catastrophe.
All in all, Nuland would have a great future in Kissinger's America. However, it is quite possible that in
Biden's America she has already reached her limit, and it is her merits, sharply at odds with the American idea of the "right world", that will prevent her from growing further. In any case, she is far from young, and to the post of Secretary of State she needs to overcome (or jump) the steps of the presidential adviser on national security and / or the US representative to the UN.
It is such a diplomat - the main workhorse of the State Department - that the United States insistently asked to be hosted in Moscow for negotiations to resolve a complex of problematic issues. It was so important to send Nuland, and not just anyone, that Washington even agreed to fulfill the preliminary conditions on lifting personal sanctions from the Russian politician and on issuing visas to Russian diplomats appointed to the UN structures, whose arrival America had illegally slowed down for more than a year.
For the United States, fulfilling the preconditions for the start of negotiations is something unprecedented. Usually, Washington itself tries to put forward preconditions, refusing such attempts in completely critical cases for itself, such as, for example, in the story with the Taliban, who firmly squeezed the American tail in their hands, and then Washington tried to flutter for about a year. In our case, the Americans fulfilled the preconditions quietly and quickly, without unnecessary fuss and unnecessary disputes.
What problems did Victoria Nuland have to solve in Moscow? None. Her current position - Assistant Secretary of State for European and Asian Affairs (in our system of coordinates - Deputy Foreign Minister) does not imply the independent conclusion of any significant agreements. The ceiling of her competence is interdepartmental cooperation, but for this the United States would not fence such a garden. She did not have the authority to conclude more serious agreements and could not receive them.
The role of diplomats at the Nuland level is to probe the soil to reach concrete agreements, to reveal the position of a negotiating partner early so that concessions can be squeezed out of it more efficiently. In this regard, her rigidity and intransigence, combined with the ability to subtly feel the limit of her capabilities, to understand when to stop, because further pressure is counterproductive, are irreplaceable qualities.
Let me remind you that during the meeting between
Putin and Biden in Geneva (also requested by the United States), the parties exchanged views on key issues of the global agenda, outlined their positions, stated the existence of numerous disagreements and agreed to negotiate further. It must be assumed that some contacts (at the level of embassies and meetings of representatives of the Russian Foreign Ministry and the State Department) were maintained before. However, the arrival of Nuland testifies to the fact that the pace of progress towards a comprehensive settlement did not suit the Americans, and they made an attempt to speed up the process.
It is no secret that even under
Trump, the United States shifted the center of gravity of its foreign policy to China. Trump, however, tried, by increasing pressure on the Celestial Empire, to keep his positions in Europe intact. But there were also nuances here. Trump's foreign policy assumed that the main burden (including financial) of maintaining the status quo on the Old Continent would fall on the EU. Since only the old members were creditworthy in the European Union, Trump was ready to give up American control over Eastern Europe in their favor, provided that they did not seriously change anything in the containment policy towards Russia. That is, Europe had to contain Russia while the United States dealt with China.
By the end of the Trump presidency, it became clear that this venture was a failure. Europe did not have sufficient resources for any effective independent containment of Russia. In addition, the EU was openly afraid to enter into open confrontation with the Kremlin without US support. At the same time, Washington could no longer cancel the confrontation with China.
The only way out of this situation is to come to an agreement with Russia. The task of the United States is to achieve, through minimal and insignificant concessions, Moscow's neutrality, favorable to America, in Washington's confrontation with Beijing. Serious efforts aimed at creating a negative public opinion towards China in Russia have been undertaken for a long time. Emphasizing the fact of real Chinese global economic expansion, media and opinion leaders affiliated with the intelligence services and the US State Department disseminate three types of information:
1. China is going to colonize Russian Siberia and the Far East, pushing Russia out of Asia beyond the Urals. (Alternatively, China took control of Central Asia and drove Moscow out of there.)
2. China is leading in tandem with the Kremlin, which is forced to blindly follow instructions from Beijing, because it cannot solve a single problem on its own.
3. The interests of the growing economies of China and Russia collide all over the world, with China winning competitions in Africa, Asia, Latin America, and even Belarus.
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To be continued...