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siegecrossbow

siegecrossbow

General
Staff member
Super Moderator
tokenanalyst said:
I found the algorithm that is powering Think Tank stooges like the CSET or Georgetown or the AEI.

while(stillStupid){
createFictionalProblemDidntExist();
sellStupidSolutionToFictionalProblem();
watchTheFictionalProblemBecomeReal();
sellStupidSolutionToRealProblem();
watchRealProblemBecomeEvenWorse();
collectSalary();
};
Click to expand...

Literally will lead to memory overflow…
 
M

montyp165

Senior Member
Serb said:
Yeah, I've been observing the collapse intensely and it truly seems that no matter what the US tries to do nowadays it always practically ends up in failure like the Gordian knot (anything in terms of building back their own internal capability or narrowing distance with China). Just like in many similar end-stage collapses of empires in history.

At this point, to me, the most logical outcome is that they decide simply to give it one final go that they have yet not tried, and provoke China directly into a hot war around Taiwan in this presidency (quite easy to do actually, not very unrealistic scenario).

The basis is that since they can't improve themselves, better try to bring your main competitor down with all that rusting old military hardware you still have a lot of thanks to past generations before even they become fully obsolete and rot away as well.

Ofc, they would have been beaten badly and fragmented in a few months by current China; but if they were smart enough to realize this now, they would have not been in this predicament in the first place. They would not have given China 20+ free years to develop while pointlessly bombing/fixating on some random Muslims everywhere.
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The US would have been hard pressed to fight China even in a 2007 scenario, let alone the present day, as the necessary organizational basis for China was already present even before the bulk of the technological breakthroughs were achieved for arms tech parity, let alone superiority. Indeed, the Chinese tech advancements being presented now are already occurring much faster than my own best expectations, to the extent that by 2027 China can effectively face down the combined AUKUS+SK+JP and win decisively even before adding in Russia and NK. Additionally, if a conflict breaks out after 2030 the US forces would then be the equivalent of a Cold War era army facing against a Gundam-tech level force, which would also be capable of unilaterally upend nuclear MAD as well. Very interesting times for sure...
 
P

pmc

Major
Registered Member
quim said:
Russia and the US have seen that they cannot win unilaterally and will have to make a deal in which both will concede part of their plans. Russia will get Donbas and Crimea, and the US will gain control of the exploration of rare earths and western positions in Ukraine.

But those who can be called "winners" of the war will be Poland, Italy and Spain, who will take advantage of the weakness of Germany and France to increase their influence and desires in the EU.
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Arabs expelled Europeans from Africa with Russian assistance and you think Russia cannot expel Ukranians from Ukraine? think again. and how are Poland, Italy and Spain with there non existing GDP can become winners when financial tsunami can ruin what ever left of there demographics.
Arabs are waiting for conclusion for this Ukraine conflict so that Russia can transform this whole African continent for Arabs into a giant PMC and this just start and everything regarding Ukraine Arabs are some where in background. This one battlefield of Soft Power and Hard Power.

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02/13/2025

Russia hands over 8 children to Ukraine through Qatari mediation​

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Agreement on “all details” to establish a Russian naval base in Sudan​

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Q

quim

Junior Member
Registered Member
supersnoop said:
How is there an "old artificial Ukraine"? The Ukrainian SSR was the first time there was a real unified Ukraine as a political entity rather than the dreams of nationalists. Before it was just land split between Poland, Russian Empire, Austria-Hungary. By your logic, the whole idea of Ukraine would be artificial since it never existed.
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Yes, this former Ukraine was an artificial country that never existed before and that cannot stand on its own without foreign assistance.

It only came into existence temporarily after the collapse of the USSR.

The population was diverse and with opposing interests, the territory was donated by the USSR without any real fight.

The east of the former country was pro-Russia and the west was pro-West. There was no way an artificial country like that could work and that's why the former Ukraine was the most corrupt and poor country in Europe.

Now, however, a new and more cohesive Ukraine could emerge following the agreement between Russia and the US. Russia will maintain its territories in the east, some demilitarized zone will be created in the center and the west of the territory could be a more cohesive country, similar and aligned with Poland and perhaps even Hungary and Slovakia, after Zelensky leaves the scene.
 
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